{"id":46084,"date":"2026-05-04T09:57:13","date_gmt":"2026-05-04T09:57:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%9c%a0%eb%9f%bd%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b0%9c%ec%9e%a5-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-usd-jpy-%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%ea%b0%9c%ec%9e%85-%ea%b0%80%eb%8a%a5%ec%84%b1%ec%97%90-155-70%ea%b9%8c%ec%a7%80-%ea%b8%89\/"},"modified":"2026-05-04T09:57:13","modified_gmt":"2026-05-04T09:57:13","slug":"%ec%9c%a0%eb%9f%bd%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b0%9c%ec%9e%a5-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-usd-jpy-%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%ea%b0%9c%ec%9e%85-%ea%b0%80%eb%8a%a5%ec%84%b1%ec%97%90-155-70%ea%b9%8c%ec%a7%80-%ea%b8%89","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9c%a0%eb%9f%bd%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b0%9c%ec%9e%a5-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-usd-jpy-%ec%97%94%ed%99%94-%ea%b0%9c%ec%9e%85-%ea%b0%80%eb%8a%a5%ec%84%b1%ec%97%90-155-70%ea%b9%8c%ec%a7%80-%ea%b8%89\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc720\ub7fd\uc7a5 \uac1c\uc7a5 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 USD\/JPY, \uc5d4\ud654 \uac1c\uc785 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 155.70\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae09\ub77d \ud6c4 156.80 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\ub4f1"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\ub294 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uc77c\ubcf8 \uc5d4\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \uc77c\ubd80 \ub099\ud3ed\uc744 \ub9cc\ud68c\ud558\uba70 \uc720\ub7fd\uc7a5 \uc2dc\uc791 \uc804 156.80 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4(USD\/JPY)\uc740 \uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uba87 \ubd84 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \uc57d 150\ud54d(pip\u00b7\uc678\ud658\uc5d0\uc11c \uc4f0\ub294 \ucd5c\uc18c \uac00\uaca9 \ub2e8\uc704) \uae09\ub77d\ud574 155.70 \ubd80\uadfc\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\ub2e4\uac00 157.00\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc77c\ubcf8 \uc7ac\ubb34\uc131\uc740 \ubcc4\ub2e4\ub978 \uc5b8\uae09\uc744 \ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc7ac\ub8cc(\uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \ub9cc\ud55c \ub274\uc2a4)\uac00 \uc5c6\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774 \ub098\uc654\uace0 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc5d4\ud654 \uad50\ucc28\ud658\uc728(\uc5d4\uacfc \ub2e4\ub978 \ud1b5\ud654\uc758 \uc870\ud569)\ub3c4 \ube44\uc2b7\ud558\uac8c \ud754\ub4e4\ub838\ub2e4. \ub85c\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ubcf4\ub3c4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BOJ\u00b7Bank of Japan)\uc774 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uc5d4\ud654 \ubc29\uc5b4\ub97c \uc704\ud574 5\uc8704,800\uc5b5 \uc5d4(\uc57d 350\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec)\uc744 \ud22c\uc785\ud588\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc804\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc5d4\ud654 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc7ac\ud655\ub300<\/h3>\n<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4\uc774 160.00\uc744 \ub118\uc5b4\uc120 \ub4a4 \uc77c\ubcf8 \uc7ac\ubb34\uc0c1 \uc0ac\uc4f0\ud0a4 \uac00\ud0c0\uc57c\ub9c8\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654 \ud22c\uae30\uc138\ub825(\ud658\uc728 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucc38\uc5ec\uc790)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub2e8\ud638\ud55c \uc870\uce58\ub97c \ud560 \uc900\ube44\uac00 \ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uc5d4\ud654\ub294 160.00 \ub3cc\ud30c \uc774\ud6c4 \uc5ec\ub7ec \ucc28\ub840 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ubc18\uc740 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc774\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611(Strait of Hormuz\u00b7\uc911\ub3d9 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc218\uc1a1\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ud574\uc0c1 \ud1b5\ub85c)\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9c9\ud78c \uc120\ubc15\uc744 \ud480\uc5b4\uc8fc\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud55c \uc774\ud6c4 \uc911\ub3d9 \uc815\uc138\uac00 \uc8fc\ubaa9\uc744 \ubc1b\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc740 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc218\ub85c\uac00 \uacc4\uc18d \ub2eb\ud600 \uc788\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc77c\ubcf8\uc740 \uace8\ub4e0\uc704\ud06c\ub85c \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c \uc77c\uc815\uc774 \ube44\uc5b4 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uacf5\uc7a5\uc8fc\ubb38(Factory Orders\u00b7\uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uc8fc\ubb38 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc774 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\uba70, \ud654\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 ISM \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 PMI(\ubbf8 \uacf5\uae09\uad00\ub9ac\ud611\ud68c\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud558\ub294 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 \uacbd\uae30 \uc124\ubb38\uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. \uae08\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(NFP\u00b7Nonfarm Payrolls, \ub18d\uc5c5\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uc6d4\uac04 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00 \uc218\uce58) \ub4f1 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc904\uc904\uc774 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc635\uc158\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc2e0\ud638<\/h3>\n<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4 \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(Implied volatility\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58)\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4. 1\uac1c\uc6d4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 13.5%\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc11c\uba70 2025\ub144 \ucd08 \uc740\ud589\uad8c \ubd88\uc548 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub77c\uc654\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\uba70, \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(premium\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc774 \ube44\uc2f8\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ud5e4\uc9c0(hedge\u00b7\uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4 \uac70\ub798) \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ub298\uc5c8\uace0, \uc608\uce21\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \uc5d4\ud654 \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uac11\uc790\uae30 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2f9\uad6d \uac1c\uc785\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc5d4\ud654 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(JPY call\u00b7\uc5d4\ud654\uac00 \uac15\ud574\uc9c8 \ub54c \uc218\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc774\ub098 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud48b\uc635\uc158(USD put\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c8 \ub54c \uc218\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \uc0ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc190\uc2e4 \ud55c\ub3c4\uac00 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d \uae09\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 2024\ub144 \uc0ac\ub840\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74 \uba87 \uc2dc\uac04 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \uc218\ubc31 \ud54d\uc774 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\uace0, \uc774\ub7f0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \ud070 \uc218\uc775\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc774 \ube44\uc2f8\uc9c0\ub9cc(\ud655\ub960\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4\uace0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b), \ub2e8\uae30 \ud22c\uae30 \ubaa9\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uba74 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uac10\uc218\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubc18\ub300\ub85c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac 4.75%\uc640 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589\uc758 0.25% \uc0ac\uc774\uc758 \ud070 \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28(interest rate differential\u00b7\ub450 \ub098\ub77c \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28)\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud55c 21\ub9cc5,000\uba85 \ub298\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \ub17c\ub9ac\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub41c \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc774\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \uac1c\uc785\uc73c\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4\uc774 \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uc7a5\uae30 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ub9e4\uc218 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \ud798\uc774 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ucc59\uae30\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc704\ud5d8\ud558\ub2e4. \uac1c\uc785\uc73c\ub85c \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc20f \ubca0\uac00(short vega\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ucde8\uc57d\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158)\ub098 \uc20f \uac10\ub9c8(short gamma\u00b7\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \ub54c \uc190\uc2e4\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158)\uc5d0\uc11c \uce58\uba85\uc801 \uc190\uc2e4\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \ud070 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(long straddle\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\/\ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uacfc \ud48b\uc744 \ubaa8\ub450 \ub9e4\uc218)\uc774\ub098 \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(long strangle\u00b7\uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uacfc \ud48b\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218) \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub354 \uc801\ud569\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d ISM \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960) \uc9c0\ud45c\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uae30\uc758 \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc62c\ub77c \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc758 \ub300\uc751 \uc758\uc9c0\ub97c \uc7ac\ucc28 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uae30\ubcf8 \ud750\ub984\uacfc \uc815\ubd80 \uc870\uce58 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc815\uba74\uc73c\ub85c \ucda9\ub3cc\ud558\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub300\uc751\uc740 \ube60\ub974\uace0 \uc720\uc5f0\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4\uc774 160\uc5d4 \ub3cc\ud30c \ub4a4 \uae09\ub77d\u00b7\ubc18\ub4f1\ud558\uba70 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc7ac\ud655\ub300. \uc77c\ubcf8 \uac1c\uc785\uc124 \uc18d \uc635\uc158 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae09\ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \ud5e4\uc9c0\ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9. \ubbf8 \uc9c0\ud45c\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac\ucc28\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc9c0, \uae09\ubcc0\ub3d9 \ub300\ube44 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46084","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46084","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46084"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46084\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46084"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46084"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46084"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}