{"id":45949,"date":"2026-05-01T04:23:11","date_gmt":"2026-05-01T04:23:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/uob-%ed%98%b8%ec%9b%8c%ec%9d%b4%ec%b2%b8-%eb%8c%80%eb%a7%8c-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5%ec%84%b8-%ea%b2%ac%ec%a1%b0%ec%88%98%ec%b6%9c-%ec%a3%bc%eb%8f%84%ec%97%90-%eb%82%b4%ec%88%98%eb%8f%84\/"},"modified":"2026-05-01T04:23:11","modified_gmt":"2026-05-01T04:23:11","slug":"uob-%ed%98%b8%ec%9b%8c%ec%9d%b4%ec%b2%b8-%eb%8c%80%eb%a7%8c-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5%ec%84%b8-%ea%b2%ac%ec%a1%b0%ec%88%98%ec%b6%9c-%ec%a3%bc%eb%8f%84%ec%97%90-%eb%82%b4%ec%88%98%eb%8f%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/uob-%ed%98%b8%ec%9b%8c%ec%9d%b4%ec%b2%b8-%eb%8c%80%eb%a7%8c-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5%ec%84%b8-%ea%b2%ac%ec%a1%b0%ec%88%98%ec%b6%9c-%ec%a3%bc%eb%8f%84%ec%97%90-%eb%82%b4%ec%88%98%eb%8f%84\/","title":{"rendered":"UOB \ud638\uc6cc\uc774\uccb8 \u201c\ub300\ub9cc \uc131\uc7a5\uc138 \uacac\uc870\u2026\uc218\ucd9c \uc8fc\ub3c4\uc5d0 \ub0b4\uc218\ub3c4 \ud655\ub300, 2026\ub144 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 9% \uc0c1\ud68c \uc804\ub9dd\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ub300\ub9cc\uc740 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP)\uc774 \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uae30 \ub300\ube44 13.69% \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \uc218\ucd9c \ud638\uc870\uc640 \ub0b4\uc218(\uad6d\ub0b4 \uc18c\ube44\u00b7\ud22c\uc790) \ud68c\ubcf5\uc774 \uc131\uc7a5\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud588\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 \uc5f0\uac04 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub294 \uae30\uc874 7.7%\uc5d0\uc11c 9%\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\ud5a5\ub410\uace0, 2025\ub144 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960(8.68%)\ub3c4 \ub118\uc5b4\uc124 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2e0\ud765 \uae30\uc220(\uc0c8\ub86d\uac8c \uc0c1\uc6a9\ud654\ub418\ub294 \ucca8\ub2e8 \uae30\uc220) \uc751\uc6a9 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uacfc \uc124\ube44\ud22c\uc790 \uc99d\uac00\uc138\uac00 \uacac\uc870\ud560 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub294 \u2018\uae30\uc800\ud6a8\uacfc\u2019(\ube44\uad50 \ub300\uc0c1\uc774 \ub418\ub294 \uc791\ub144 \uc218\uce58\uac00 \ub192\uc544, \uc62c\ud574 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544 \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)\ub85c \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 \ub454\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Inflation Outlook And Policy Rate<\/h3>\n

2026\ub144 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00(CPI\u00b7\uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uad6c\uc785\ud558\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \ud488\ubaa9 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubaa8\uc544 \uc0b0\ucd9c\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c) \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub294 1.9%\uc5d0\uc11c 2.0%\ub85c \uc0c1\ud5a5\ub410\ub2e4. 1\ubd84\uae30 1.2%\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd9c\ubc1c\ud55c \ub4a4, 2026\ub144 \ub0a8\uc740 \uae30\uac04 \ud3c9\uade0 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 \uc57d 2.3%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 2026\ub144 \ub0b4\ub0b4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub85c, \uc2dc\uc911 \uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uc774 \ub418\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac)\ub97c 2.00%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub300\ub9cc\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728\uacfc \ub300\ub9cc \ub0b4 \uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

1\ubd84\uae30 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 13.69%\ub85c \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub300\ub9cc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(CBC)\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 2026\ub144 \ub0b4\ub0b4 2.00%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4. \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 \ub192\uc740\ub370 \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uad6c\ub3c4\ub294 \ud2b9\uc815 \uac70\ub798 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ucd5c\uadfc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c 4\uc6d4 \uc218\ucd9c\uc8fc\ubb38\uc774 \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uae30 \ub300\ube44 15% \uc99d\uac00\ud558\ub294 \ub4f1 \uacbd\uae30 \uc5ec\uac74\uc774 \uac15\ud574 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub300\ub9cc \uac00\uad8c\uc9c0\uc218(TAIEX\u00b7\ub300\ub9cc \ub300\ud45c \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 \uc5f0\ucd08 \uc774\ud6c4 12% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uace0, \ucd5c\uadfc 2\ub9cc5000\uc120\ub3c4 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ud588\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\uc120\ubb3c(\uc9c0\uc218\ub97c \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c) \ub9e4\uc218(\ub871) \ub610\ub294 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Taiwan Dollar Range Bound Strategy<\/h3>\n

\ub300\ub9cc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc548\uc815\uc801 \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \uacbd\uae30 \ud638\uc870\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \uc808\uc0c1(\ud1b5\ud654 \uac00\uce58 \uc0c1\uc2b9)\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\ub300\ub9cc\ub2ec\ub7ec(USD\/TWD) \ud658\uc728\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \ud55c \ub2ec\uac00\ub7c9 30.50 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\uace0, \uc774\ub7f0 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uac70\ub798) \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub300\uc548\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uc1fc\ud2b8 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\u00b7\ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\ub3c4)\uc774\ub098 \uc1fc\ud2b8 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(\uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\u00b7\ud48b\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4)\ucc98\ub7fc \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

2025\ub144\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc5f0\uac04 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 8.68%\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \uc608\uce21 \uac00\ub2a5\ud574 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub358 \uc804\ub840\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub300\ub9cc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\uc77c\uc815 \ubc94\uc704 \ub0b4 \ub4f1\ub77d) \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc778\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc 2025\ub144 \ub9d0\uc5d0\ub294 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd \uc6b0\ub824\ub85c \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ubc18\uc601)\uc774 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub6f0\uba70 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c4 \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud575\uc2ec \uc704\ud5d8\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc1fc\ud06c)\uc774\ub2e4. \ub0a8\uc740 \uae30\uac04 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 2.3%\ub85c \ub192\uc544\uc9c4 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ub3d9\uacb0\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uc5f0\uc911 \u2018\uae5c\uc9dd \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\u2019 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \ubc30\uc81c\ud558\uae34 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4. \uc774 \uacbd\uc6b0\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub2e8 \uacc4\uc57d(\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc77c\uc815 \uc218\uc900 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub3c4\ub85d \ud558\ub294 \uad6c\uc870\ub85c, \uae08\ub9ac \uae09\ubcc0 \uc2dc \uc190\uc775\uc744 \uc644\ud654\ud558\ub294 \ubaa9\uc801)\uc774\ub098 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money\u00b7\ud604\uc7ac \ud658\uc728\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud55c \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758) \ub300\ub9cc\ub2ec\ub7ec \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc800\ube44\uc6a9 \ud5e4\uc9c0(\uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ubc18\ub300 \uac70\ub798)\ub85c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\uace0\uc131\uc7a5\uc778\ub370 \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \ub3d9\uacb0?\u201d \ub300\ub9cc 1Q GDP 13.69% \uae09\uc99d, \uc5f0\uac04 \uc804\ub9dd 9%+ \uc0c1\ud5a5. \ubb3c\uac00 2.0%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed\u2191, \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac 2.00% \uc720\uc9c0. \uc8fc\uc2dd \ub871\u00b7\uc635\uc158, TWD \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc720\ud6a8.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45949","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45949","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45949"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45949\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45949"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45949"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45949"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}