{"id":45909,"date":"2026-04-30T18:25:25","date_gmt":"2026-04-30T18:25:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/4%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%8b%9c%ec%b9%b4%ea%b3%a0-%ea%b5%ac%eb%a7%a4%ea%b4%80%eb%a6%ac%ec%9e%90%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98pmi-49-2%eb%a1%9c-53-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ec%b9%98-%ed%95%98%ed%9a%8c\/"},"modified":"2026-04-30T18:25:25","modified_gmt":"2026-04-30T18:25:25","slug":"4%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%8b%9c%ec%b9%b4%ea%b3%a0-%ea%b5%ac%eb%a7%a4%ea%b4%80%eb%a6%ac%ec%9e%90%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98pmi-49-2%eb%a1%9c-53-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ec%b9%98-%ed%95%98%ed%9a%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/4%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%8b%9c%ec%b9%b4%ea%b3%a0-%ea%b5%ac%eb%a7%a4%ea%b4%80%eb%a6%ac%ec%9e%90%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98pmi-49-2%eb%a1%9c-53-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ec%b9%98-%ed%95%98%ed%9a%8c\/","title":{"rendered":"4\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc2dc\uce74\uace0 \uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218(PMI) 49.2\ub85c 53 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58 \ud558\ud68c"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8\uad6d \uc2dc\uce74\uace0 PMI(\uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 4\uc6d4 49.2\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub410\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(53)\ub97c \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

PMI\uac00 50 \uc544\ub798\uba74 \uae30\uc5c5 \ud65c\ub3d9\uc774 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4dc\ub294 \u2018\uc218\ucd95\u2019\uc744 \ub73b\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc81c\uce58\uc640 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58 \ucc28\uc774\ub294 3.8\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uc57d\uc138, \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc2dc\uc810 \uc55e\ub2f9\uae38 \uc2e0\ud638<\/h3>\n

\uc2dc\uce74\uace0 PMI\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\uac8c \ub098\uc628 \uac83\uc740 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uacbd\uace0 \uc2e0\ud638\ub2e4. \uacbd\uae30\uac00 \uc88b\uc544\uc838\uc57c \ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd24\ub358 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5\uc774 \uc624\ud788\ub824 \uc704\ucd95\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \uacbd\uae30\ub97c \ub5a0\ubc1b\uce58\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uac00 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube68\ub9ac \ub0b4\ub9b4 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6b8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc57d\uc138\ub294 \uc804\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ube44\uc2b7\ud558\uac8c \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c\ub2e4. 4\uc6d4 ISM \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 50.1\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ud574, \ud655\uc7a5 \uad6d\uba74(50 \uc774\uc0c1)\uc744 \uac04\uc2e0\ud788 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. ISM\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790 \uc124\ubb38\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uae30 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \uc9c0\ud45c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc758 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\ub294 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6cc \ubcf4\ud1b5 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)\uc744 \ub192\uc778\ub2e4. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218\uc778 VIX(\ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \u2018\uacf5\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc218\u2019, S&P500 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0)\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac 14 \ubd80\uadfc\uc778\ub370, \uc800\ud3c9\uac00\ub3fc \uc788\uc73c\uba70 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc \uc548\uc5d0 18~20 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc624\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc774 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 VIX \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc774\ub098 VIX \uc120\ubb3c(\ubbf8\ub798\uc758 \ud2b9\uc815 \uc2dc\uc810 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud574 \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d)\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud574\uc11d\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd80\uc815\uc801(\uc57d\uc138) \uc7ac\ub8cc\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 \uacbd\uae30 \ubbfc\uac10\ub3c4\uac00 \ud070 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc7ac\u00b7\uc6b4\uc1a1 \uc5c5\uc885\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. S&P500 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc870\uc815 \uc704\ud5d8(\ub2e8\uae30 \ud558\ub77d)\uc744 \uaca8\ub0e5\ud558\ub294 \uad00\uc810\ub3c4 \uc81c\uae30\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud558\ubc18\uae30 \uae30\uc5c5\uc774\uc775 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\uac00 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c8 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc9c0\uc218\ub3c4 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 PMI\ub294 1\ubd84\uae30\uc758 \uac15\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc815\uc810\uc774\uc5c8\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ucd08\uae30 \u2018\uc2e4\ubb3c \uc9c0\ud45c\u2019\ub85c \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2e4\ub9cc 2025\ub144 3\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \uc9c0\uc5ed \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uc9c0\ud45c \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uacbd\uc81c\ub294 \ubc84\ud2f0\uba70 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud0c4\ub825\uc774 \ubd99\uc5b4 \uacf5\ub9e4\ub3c4(\uc8fc\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305) \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \ubcf8 \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9(\ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c \ub18d\uc5c5\uc744 \ube80 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \uc99d\uac00\ubd84)\uacfc \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uc5c5\ud669 \uc9c0\ud45c \ub4f1 \ucd94\uac00 \ud655\uc778\uc774 \ub098\uc624\uae30 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0\ub294 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud55c \uc57d\uc138 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158(\ud070 \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \ud558\ub77d \ubca0\ud305)\uc740 \uacbd\uacc4\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uae08\ub9ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uba3c\uc800 \ubc18\uc751\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131<\/h3>\n

\uc774\ubc88 \ub274\uc2a4\uc5d0 \uac00\uc7a5 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud558\ub294 \uacf3\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c \uc2dc\uc7a5(\ubbf8\ub798 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud574 \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5)\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uc804\ub0a0 \uae30\uc900 \uc57d 45%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ub410\ub358 9\uc6d4 FOMC(\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uacb0\uc815 \ud68c\uc758)\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc774 60%\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. \ub610 SOFR \uc120\ubb3c(\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ub300\ud45c \ub2e8\uae30 \ubb34\uc704\ud5d8 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778 SOFR\uc744 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c)\uc5d0\uc11c 2026\ub144 \ub9d0 \uc774\ud6c4 \ub354 \uc644\ud654\uc801\uc778(\ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801) \uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc8fc\uc694 \uac70\ub798 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uad00\uc810\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ucda9\uaca9\uc758 \uc2dc\uce74\uace0 PMI 49.2\u2026\uc608\uc0c1(53) \ud558\ud68c\ub85c \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uc218\ucd95 \uc2e0\ud638. \uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uc2dc\uc810 \uc55e\ub2f9\uae38 \uae30\ub300\u2191, VIX 18~20 \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc804\ub9dd. \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc7ac\u00b7\uc6b4\uc1a1 \ubd80\ub2f4, \uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c 9\uc6d4 \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960 60%+ \uad00\uce21.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45909","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45909","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45909"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45909\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45909"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45909"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45909"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}