{"id":45904,"date":"2026-04-30T17:23:12","date_gmt":"2026-04-30T17:23:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/ecb-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ec%86%8d-eur-usd-1-1690%ea%b9%8c%ec%a7%80-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ed%98%bc%ec%a1%b0%ec%84%b8-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac\/"},"modified":"2026-04-30T17:23:12","modified_gmt":"2026-04-30T17:23:12","slug":"ecb-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ec%86%8d-eur-usd-1-1690%ea%b9%8c%ec%a7%80-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ed%98%bc%ec%a1%b0%ec%84%b8-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/ecb-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ec%86%8d-eur-usd-1-1690%ea%b9%8c%ec%a7%80-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ed%98%bc%ec%a1%b0%ec%84%b8-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%ec%97%90-%eb%8b%ac\/","title":{"rendered":"ECB \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc18d EUR\/USD 1.1690\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\u2026\ud63c\uc870\uc138 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc555\ubc15, 1.1655 \uc800\uc810 \uc774\ud6c4"},"content":{"rendered":"

EUR\/USD\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c 1.1690\uc120\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \uc7a5\uc911 3\uc8fc \uc800\uc810\uc778 1.1655\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub0b4\ub824\uac04 \ub4a4 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub0a0 \uae30\uc900 0.11% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 1\ubd84\uae30 \uc5f0\uc728(\ubd84\uae30 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc744 1\ub144 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud658\uc0b0\ud55c \uc218\uce58) GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 2%\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub410\ub2e4. \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(2.3%)\ub97c \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774\uc804\uce58(0.5%)\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \ub192\uc558\ub2e4. 3\uc6d4 PCE \ubb3c\uac00(\uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\ub85c, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ubb3c\uac00 \ud310\ub2e8\uc5d0 \uc911\uc2dc\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.5%\uc600\ub2e4. \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c\uac74\uc218\ub294 21\ub9cc5\ucc9c \uac74(\uc218\uc815\uce58)\uc5d0\uc11c 18\ub9cc9\ucc9c \uac74\uc73c\ub85c \uac10\uc18c\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Fed Policy Uncertainty<\/h3>\n

\uc5c7\uac08\ub9b0 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900)\uc758 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc870\uc815 \ub4f1) \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ub0a8\uc558\ub2e4. \uc81c\ub86c \ud30c\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc7a5\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \u201c\ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uae30\uc870\uac00 \uc801\uc808\ud558\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\uace0, \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc774 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\ub2e4. \uae30\uc900(\uc8fc\uc694 \uc7ac\uc735\uc790)\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 2.15%, \ud55c\uacc4\ub300\ucd9c\uae08\ub9ac(\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc740\ud589\uc5d0 \ud558\ub8e8\uc9dc\ub9ac\ub85c \ube4c\ub824\uc904 \ub54c \uc801\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uae08\ub9ac)\ub294 2.4%, \uc608\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(\uc740\ud589\uc774 ECB\uc5d0 \ub9e1\uae30\ub294 \ucd08\uacfc \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc5d0 \uc801\uc6a9\ub418\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac)\ub294 2%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\ub2e4. ECB\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub300\uccb4\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \ubd80\ud569\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9) \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc704\ud5d8\uacfc \uc131\uc7a5 \ud558\ubc29 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud06c\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2f4 \ub77c\uac00\ub974\ub4dc ECB \ucd1d\uc7ac\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc774 \u201c\uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c(data-dependent)\u201d \ub9e4 \ud68c\uc758\ub9c8\ub2e4 \uc774\ub904\uc9c8 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \ub3d9\uacb0\uc774 \ub9cc\uc7a5\uc77c\uce58\ub85c \uacb0\uc815\ub418\uae30 \uc804 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\ub3c4 \ub17c\uc758\ub410\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud788\uba70, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ud22c\uc790\uc640 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Positioning For A Breakout<\/h3>\n

\uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \ub9e4\ub9e4(\uc77c\uc815 \uac00\uaca9 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc624\ub974\ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc804\uc81c\ub85c \ud55c \uac70\ub798) \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uace7 \ud55c\uacc4\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub52a\ud790 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc774 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784(\ube0c\ub808\uc774\ud06c\uc544\uc6c3\u00b7\ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc774\ud0c8)\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uacfc ECB \ubaa8\ub450 \u201c\uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c\u201d \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ub0b4\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc635\uc158 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300\uce58)\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc\uc694 \ubb3c\uac00\u00b7\uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ub098\uc62c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ube44\ud574 \ub0ae\uc544 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uac00\uaca9 \ubc29\ud5a5\uacfc \ubb34\uad00\ud558\uac8c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5(\uc608: \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\uc218\ud615 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5)\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc720\ud6a8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

2025\ub144\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uacfc \ub454\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uc131\uc7a5 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \uade0\ud615\uc744 \uc7ac\uace0 \uc788\uc5c8\uace0, \ud604\uc7ac\ub3c4 \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \uad6c\ub3c4\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 \ud6c4\ubc18 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc77c\ubd80 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud55c \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc774\ub7f0 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \u0431\u044b\u0441\u0442\u0440\u043e \ub418\ub3cc\ub824\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc6d4\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c(\ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c)\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc778\uc0ac\ub4e4\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8 \ub258\uc559\uc2a4 \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc720\ub7fd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 2025\ub144 ECB\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ub17c\uc758\ud558\ub358 \uad6d\uba74\uc740 \uc9c0\ub098\uac14\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774\uc81c\ub294 \uc5b8\uc81c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud560\uc9c0\uac00 \ud575\uc2ec\uc774\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 \ub454\ud654\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc 2.6%\ub85c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc644\uac15\ud574(\ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub3fc) ECB\uac00 \uc870\uae30 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ub0b4\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \u2018\uc815\ucc45 \uacf5\ubc31\u2019\uc740 \uc5b4\ub290 \ud55c\ucabd \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ub2e4\ub978 \ucabd\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uba3c\uc800 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uc218\ubc16\uc5d0 \uc5c6\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uadf8 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

2025\ub144 \uc0ac\ub840\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec\uc740, \uc0c1\ubc18\ub41c \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uad00\ub9dd \ubaa8\ub4dc\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uac00\uba74 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd94\uc138 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae09\ub4f1\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ubc29\uc5b4\ud558\uac70\ub098, \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc774\ud0c8\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \uc548\uc815 \uad6d\uba74\uc740 \ub300\uc11c\uc591 \uc591\ucabd\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ub204\uc801\ub418\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c \uc624\ub798 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

EUR\/USD 1.1690 \ubc18\ub4f1\u2026\ubbf8 GDP\u00b7PCE\u00b7\uace0\uc6a9 \ud63c\uc870\uc5d0 Fed \uacbd\ub85c \u2018\uc548\uac2f\uc18d\u2019, ECB \ub3d9\uacb0\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uacf5\uc874. \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \ub05d\uc790\ub77d, \ub0ae\uc740 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \u2018\ube0c\ub808\uc774\ud06c\uc544\uc6c3\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\uc218\u2019 \uae30\ud68c.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45904","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45904","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45904"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45904\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45904"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45904"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45904"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}