{"id":45898,"date":"2026-04-30T15:53:17","date_gmt":"2026-04-30T15:53:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%95%84%ec%8b%9c%ec%95%84-%ec%b4%88%eb%b0%98-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-rba-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ec%86%8d-%eb%af%b8%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%8c%80%eb%b9%84-0-5\/"},"modified":"2026-04-30T15:53:17","modified_gmt":"2026-04-30T15:53:17","slug":"%ec%95%84%ec%8b%9c%ec%95%84-%ec%b4%88%eb%b0%98-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-rba-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ec%86%8d-%eb%af%b8%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%8c%80%eb%b9%84-0-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%95%84%ec%8b%9c%ec%95%84-%ec%b4%88%eb%b0%98-%ed%98%b8%ec%a3%bc%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-rba-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ec%86%8d-%eb%af%b8%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%8c%80%eb%b9%84-0-5\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \ucd08\ubc18 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec, \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 RBA \uae30\ub300 \uc18d \ubbf8\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 0.5% \uc0c1\uc2b9\u2026\uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub860 \ubcf4\ud569\uad8c"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \ubd81\ubbf8 \uc7a5 \ucd08\ubc18 \ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 0.5% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 0.7150\uc120\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub978 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44\ub85c\ub294 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9b0 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\uc73c\uba70, \uc62c\ud574 \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA\u00b7\uc900\ube44\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ud568\uaed8 \ubc18\uc601\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9)\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc9c4\ud589\ub418\uba74\uc11c RBA\uac00 5\uc6d4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc62c\ub9b4 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 1\ubd84\uae30 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI\u00b7\uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc9c0\ubd88\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc804\uae30 \ub300\ube44 1.4% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\uc5d0 \ubd80\ud569\ud588\uace0, 2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30\uc758 0.6%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud3ed\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud638\uc8fc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc RBA \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n

\uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uae30 \ub300\ube44\ub85c\ub294 CPI\uac00 4.1%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc \uac19\uc558\uace0, \uc774\uc804 \uc218\uce58 3.6%\uc5d0\uc11c \ub192\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. RBA\ub294 3\uc6d4 \uc815\ucc45\ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(Official Cash Rate\u00b7\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc124\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac)\ub97c 25bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac 0.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 4.1%\ub85c \uc62c\ub838\uc73c\uba70, \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ub41c \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc774\uc804\ubd80\ud130 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc774\ubbf8 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uac00 \u201c\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \uc81c\ub86c \ud30c\uc6d4 Fed \uc758\uc7a5\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uae30\uc870\uac00 \uc801\uc808\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \uc911\ub3d9 \uc815\uc138\uac00 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c\ub294 1\ubd84\uae30 GDP(\uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0\u00b7\ud55c \ub098\ub77c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub41c \uc7ac\ud654\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc758 \ucd1d\ud569) \uc18d\ubcf4\uce58\uac00 \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uae30 \ub300\ube44 2%\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 2.3%\uc5d0\ub294 \ubabb \ubbf8\ucce4\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc9c1\uc804 0.5%\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \ub192\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc758 \ucc28\uc774\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba74 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. RBA\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc778) \uae30\uc870\ub294 Fed\uc758 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uae30\uc870\uc640 \ub300\ube44\ub418\uba70, AUD\/USD(\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728)\ub294 0.7150\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc815\ucc45 \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucc38\uac00\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud574\uc57c \ud560 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

AUD\/USD \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n

\ucd5c\uadfc \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 RBA\uc758 5\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uacac\uace0\ud558\ub2e4. 1\ubd84\uae30 CPI\uac00 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 4.1%\ub85c \ub6f0\uba70 RBA\uc758 \ubb3c\uac00 \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704(2~3%)\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc544, \ucd94\uac00 \ub300\uc751 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uace0\uc6a9\uc2dc\uc7a5\ub3c4 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. 3\uc6d4 \uae30\uc900 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 3.7%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

RBA\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 3\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 4.1%\ub85c \uc62c\ub838\uace0, \ucd5c\uadfc \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1 \uc774\uc804\ubd80\ud130 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 5\uc6d4\u00b76\uc6d4\u00b78\uc6d4 \ub4f1 \uc5f0\uc18d \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uac70\ub860\ub418\uba70, \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc778 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\uac00 \ud615\uc131\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ucca0\uad11\uc11d \ub4f1 \ud575\uc2ec \uc218\ucd9c \ud488\ubaa9 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud1a4\ub2f9 115\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc774\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4 \uacbd\uae30 \uc5ec\uac74\uc5d0 \ud798\uc744 \ubcf4\ud0e0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubc18\uba74 \ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 Fed\uac00 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \uc774\uc720\ub85c \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc6d4 \uc758\uc7a5\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc740 \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95(\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub354 \uc62c\ub9ac\uac70\ub098 \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uc904\uc5ec \uacbd\uae30\ub97c \uc2dd\ud788\ub294 \uc815\ucc45)\uc744 \uc11c\ub450\ub974\uc9c0 \uc54a\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. 1\ubd84\uae30 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 2%\ub294 \ud50c\ub7ec\uc2a4 \ud750\ub984\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(2.3%)\uc5d0\ub294 \ubabb \ubbf8\uccd0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \ub17c\ub9ac\ub97c \uc81c\ud55c\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c 3.1%\ub85c \uc644\ud654\ub418\ub294 \ud750\ub984\ub3c4 Fed\uc758 \uad00\ub9dd\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \ud638\uc8fc\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d ISM \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI(\uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218\u00b750\uc744 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uae30 \ud655\uc7a5\/\uc704\ucd95\uc744 \uac00\ub974\ub294 \uc124\ubb38 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 49.5\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5\uc774 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc704\ucd95 \uad6d\uba74\uc784\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud574, Fed\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uba48\ucd9c \uc774\uc720\uac00 \ub354 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654 \uc870\uc9d0\uc740 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd98\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc815\ucc45 \ubd84\ud654\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04 AUD \uac15\uc138(USD \ub300\ube44)\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \ubcc0\ud558\ub294 \uae08\uc735\uc0c1\ud488) \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub294 AUD\/USD \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(call option\u00b7\ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud55c \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 RBA \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc \ub2ec\ub9ac \ud658\uc728\uc774 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc190\uc2e4 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ucc38\uc5ec\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u2018RBA 5\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1\uc124\u2019\uc5d0 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \uae09\ub4f1\u2026AUD\/USD 0.7150 \uadfc\uc811. 1\ubd84\uae30 CPI 4.1%\ub85c \ubaa9\ud45c \uc0c1\ud68c, Fed\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138. \uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac \ud655\ub300.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45898","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45898","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45898"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45898\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45898"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45898"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45898"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}