{"id":45896,"date":"2026-04-30T15:23:06","date_gmt":"2026-04-30T15:23:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/3%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-pce-%eb%ac%bc%ea%b0%80%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-%ec%a0%84%eb%85%84-%eb%8c%80%eb%b9%84-3-5%eb%a1%9c-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%ec%b9%98-%eb%b6%80%ed%95%a9\/"},"modified":"2026-04-30T15:23:06","modified_gmt":"2026-04-30T15:23:06","slug":"3%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-pce-%eb%ac%bc%ea%b0%80%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-%ec%a0%84%eb%85%84-%eb%8c%80%eb%b9%84-3-5%eb%a1%9c-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%ec%b9%98-%eb%b6%80%ed%95%a9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/3%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-pce-%eb%ac%bc%ea%b0%80%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-%ec%a0%84%eb%85%84-%eb%8c%80%eb%b9%84-3-5%eb%a1%9c-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%ec%b9%98-%eb%b6%80%ed%95%a9\/","title":{"rendered":"3\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218, \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.5%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 \ubd80\ud569"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8\uad6d \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 3\uc6d4 \uae30\uc900 \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 3.5%\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\uc640 \uc77c\uce58\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ubc88 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc9c0\ubd88\ud55c \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 1\ub144\uac04 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158)\ub97c \ucd94\uc801\ud558\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \uc9c0\ud45c \uc911 \ud558\ub098\ub2e4. (PCE\ub294 \uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \uc804\ubc18\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\ud45c\uc774\uba70, \u2018\uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44\u2019\ub294 \uc791\ub144 \uac19\uc740 \ub2ec\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud55c \uc99d\uac00\uc728\uc744 \ub73b\ud55c\ub2e4.)<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751\uacfc \ub2e4\uc74c \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218<\/h3>\n

3\uc6d4 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub300\ub85c 3.5%\ub85c \ub098\uc628 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ud070 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc694\uc778 \ud558\ub098\uac00 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \ud574\uc18c\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\uac70\ub098 \uae09\ub77d\ud558\ub294 \u2018\uac00\uaca9 \ucda9\uaca9\u2019\uc774 \uac11\uc790\uae30 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc740 \uace7\ubc14\ub85c \ub2e4\uc74c \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\uc778 \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac08 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16 \uacb0\uacfc\uac00 \uc5c6\uc5c8\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc740 \uc635\uc158\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \u2018\ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucc38\uc5ec\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58)\u2019\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud6a1\ubcf4\uc7a5\uacfc \uc2dc\uac04 \uacbd\uacfc\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uac00\uce58 \uac10\uc18c\ub85c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5(\ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ub9e4\ub3c4: \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud314\uc544 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud3ec\ud568\ub41c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd)\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\ub9ac\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uacf5\ud3ec \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \ubd88\ub9ac\ub294 VIX(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218: S&P500 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ud655\uc778\ub418\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc VIX\ub294 14 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc774\ubbf8 \ub110\ub9ac \uc608\uc0c1\ub410\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2e4\ub9cc 3.5%\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900)\uc758 \ubb3c\uac00 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58 2%\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c3\ub3c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558) \ub17c\uc758\uac00 \ub2f9\uc7a5 \uc7ac\uac1c\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ub0ae\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \u2018\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4\u2019\ub294 \uc774\ub978\ubc14 \u2018Higher for longer(\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654)\u2019 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud55c\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc778 SOFR \uc120\ubb3c(\ub2f4\ubcf4\ubd80 \uc775\uc77c\uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ubc18 \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c)\uacfc \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c(Fed Funds futures: \uc5f0\uc900 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c)\ub3c4 \uc5ec\ub984\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0(\ud604 \uc218\uc900 \uc720\uc9c0)\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uacc4\uc18d \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

CME FedWatch Tool(\uc120\ubb3c\uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ud5a5\ud6c4 FOMC \uae08\ub9ac \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud574 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ub3c4\uad6c) \uae30\uc900 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 7\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc774\ub904\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 20% \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\ucd08\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub410\ub358 60% \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c4 \uc218\uce58\ub85c, \uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ubcf4\uc218\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc811\uadfc\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc7a5\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n

\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\uba70 \u2018\ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\uc77c\uc815 \ubc94\uc704 \uc548\uc5d0\uc11c \uc624\ub974\ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \ud6a1\ubcf4 \uad6c\uac04)\u2019 \uc7a5\uc138\ub97c \uc5fc\ub450\uc5d0 \ub454 \ub300\uc751\uc774 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud558\uac70\ub098 \uc57d\ud55c \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uac00 \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \uc7a0\uc7a0\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uae68\ub294 \ubcc0\uc218\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadf8\uc804\uae4c\uc9c0\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud558\ub77d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574, \ub0ae\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8 PCE \ubb3c\uac00 3\uc6d4 3.5%\u2026\uc608\uc0c1 \ubd80\ud569\uc5d0 \u2018\uac00\uaca9\ucda9\uaca9\u2019 \uc6b0\ub824 \uc644\ud654. VIX 14 \ud558\ud68c\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub454\ud654, \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc720\ub9ac. \ub2e4\ub9cc 2% \ubaa9\ud45c \uc0c1\ud68c, \uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u00b77\uc6d4 \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960 20%\u2193. \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45896","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45896","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45896"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45896\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45896"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45896"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45896"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}