{"id":45894,"date":"2026-04-30T14:53:17","date_gmt":"2026-04-30T14:53:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/3%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b7%bc%ec%9b%90-pce-%eb%ac%bc%ea%b0%80%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%eb%8c%80%eb%a1%9c-%ec%a0%84%ec%9b%94-%eb%8c%80%eb%b9%84-0-3-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ed%95%98\/"},"modified":"2026-04-30T14:53:17","modified_gmt":"2026-04-30T14:53:17","slug":"3%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b7%bc%ec%9b%90-pce-%eb%ac%bc%ea%b0%80%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%eb%8c%80%eb%a1%9c-%ec%a0%84%ec%9b%94-%eb%8c%80%eb%b9%84-0-3-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ed%95%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/3%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b7%bc%ec%9b%90-pce-%eb%ac%bc%ea%b0%80%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81%eb%8c%80%eb%a1%9c-%ec%a0%84%ec%9b%94-%eb%8c%80%eb%b9%84-0-3-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ed%95%98\/","title":{"rendered":"3\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218, \uc608\uc0c1\ub300\ub85c \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.3% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58 \ubd80\ud569"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 3\uc6d4 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE\u00b7Personal Consumption Expenditures) \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.3% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\uc640 \uac19\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ubc88 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\uacfc \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \u2018\uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\u2019\uac00 \ub9e4\ub2ec \uc77c\uc815\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc624\ub974\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c \uac00\uc7a5 \ub9ce\uc774 \ucc38\uace0\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c \uc911 \ud558\ub098\ub2e4. (PCE\ub294 \uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc9c0\ucd9c\ud55c \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\ud45c\ub2e4.)<\/p>\n

\uadfc\uc6d0 \ubb3c\uac00, \uc27d\uac8c \uaebe\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc544<\/h3>\n

3\uc6d4 \uadfc\uc6d0 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub300\ub85c 0.3%\ub85c \ub098\uc624\uba74\uc11c \ub2e8\uae30 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \uc904\uc5c8\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uad73\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0(\u2018\ub048\uc801\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00\u2019), \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \ubaa9\ud45c \uc218\uc900\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud588\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \u2018\ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub97c \uac83\u2019\uc774\ub77c\ub294(\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654) \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uac15\ud654\ub410\uace0, \uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \uc2dc\uc77c \ub0b4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud604 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \ud655\uc778\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc5ec\ub984 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \ub354 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\ubbf8\ub798 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud574 \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uae08\uc735\uc0c1\ud488) \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc774\ub7f0 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub09c\ub2e4. CME FedWatch Tool(\uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\u00b7\ub3d9\uacb0 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ucd94\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 7\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9b4 \ud655\ub960\uc740 30% \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\ub2e4. \ub450 \ub2ec \uc804 \uc57d 60%\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c4 \uc218\uce58\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc644\ud654(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558) \ubca0\ud305\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uace0, \uace0\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \ub54c \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \u2018\uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\u2019\ub97c \uc8fc\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba74\uc11c, \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc635\uc158(\ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uace0\ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac\ub97c \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488) \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58)\uc740 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. VIX(\ubbf8\uad6d S&P 500 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \ub300\ud45c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218)\ub3c4 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804 \ub192\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4\uac00 \ucd5c\uadfc 17 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c 14.5\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\ub294 \ub4f1 \ud558\ub77d \ud750\ub984\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc7a5 \ud070 \uc815\ucc45 \ucda9\uaca9 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uc904\uc5c8\ub2e4\uace0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud3ec\ud568\ub41c \ube44\uc6a9)\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ubd80\uac01\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774 \ud750\ub984\uc740 2025\ub144 \ub0b4\ub0b4 \ubc18\ubcf5\ub410\ub358 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uacfc \ube44\uc2b7\ud558\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uacc4\uc18d \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc2dc\uc810\uc744 \uacc4\uc18d \ub4a4\ub85c \ubbf8\ub918\uace0, \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc8fc\uc694 \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc744 \ud655\uc2e0\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4f1\ub77d\uc744 \uac70\ub4ed\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uacbd\ud5d8\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc7a5(\uac15\uc138\uc7a5)\uc744 \uc5ec\ub294 \uacb0\uc815\uc801 \uc7ac\ub8cc\uac00 \ubd80\uc871\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ub300\uc751\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc9c0\uc218 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud1b5\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\ub3c4 \ub298\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 S&P 500\uc5d0\uc11c \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(\ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uace0, \ub354 \ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub418 \ubc29\uc5b4 \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uae09\ub77d\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \u2018\uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \ud558\ub77d\u2019 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ubcf4\ud638 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub97c \uc8fc\uba74\uc11c \uc190\uc2e4 \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uace0\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc8fc\uac00 \ubc38\ub958\uc5d0\uc774\uc158(\uae30\uc5c5\uac00\uce58 \ud3c9\uac00)\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\ud6a8\ud55c \uc120\ud0dd\uc9c0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138, \ud658\uc728 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0 \ud798<\/h3>\n

\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654 \uac15\uc138\ub3c4 \ud575\uc2ec \ud30c\uae09 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub2e4. \uc774 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \ud1b5\ud654 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\ud658\uc728\uc744 \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \ub4f1)\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud574\uc9c4\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc720\ub7fd\uacfc \uc77c\ubcf8\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY\u00b7\uc8fc\uc694 6\uac1c \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c 1\ubd84\uae30 \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP\u00b7\ud55c \ub098\ub77c\uc758 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \ud65c\ub3d9 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub3c4 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc5f0\uc728 2.1% \uc131\uc7a5\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uba70, \ub2e4\ub978 \uc8fc\uc694\uad6d\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uacac\uc870\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8 3\uc6d4 \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE 0.3%\u2191\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1 \ubd80\ud569\u2014\u2018\ub048\uc801\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00\u2019 \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\uc5d0 \uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654 \uc6b0\uc138. 7\uc6d4 \uc778\ud558\ud655\ub960 30%\u2193, VIX \ud558\ub77d. S&P \ud48b\uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ubc29\uc5b4\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec\ucf5c \ud65c\uc6a9 \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45894","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45894","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45894"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45894\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45894"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45894"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45894"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}