{"id":45833,"date":"2026-04-30T01:54:20","date_gmt":"2026-04-30T01:54:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ed%8c%8c%ec%9b%94-%eb%b0%9c%ec%96%b8-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%88%98%ec%9a%94-%ec%a6%9d%ea%b0%80\/"},"modified":"2026-04-30T01:54:20","modified_gmt":"2026-04-30T01:54:20","slug":"%ed%8c%8c%ec%9b%94-%eb%b0%9c%ec%96%b8-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%88%98%ec%9a%94-%ec%a6%9d%ea%b0%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%8c%8c%ec%9b%94-%eb%b0%9c%ec%96%b8-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%88%98%ec%9a%94-%ec%a6%9d%ea%b0%80\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud30c\uc6d4 \ubc1c\uc5b8 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc5f0\uc900, \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc720\uc9c0\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694 \uc99d\uac00\ub85c AUD\/USD 0.7100\uc120 \uadfc\uc811"},"content":{"rendered":"

AUD\/USD\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c 0.7100\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ubc00\ub9ac\uba70 \uc57d 1% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900)\uac00 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud55c \ub4a4\ub2e4. \uc81c\ub86c \ud30c\uc6d4\uc740 5\uc6d4 15\uc77c \uc758\uc7a5 \uc784\uae30\uac00 \ub05d\ub09c \ub4a4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc774\uc0ac\ud68c(\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc758\uc0ac\uacb0\uc815 \uae30\uad6c)\uc5d0\uc11c \ubb3c\ub7ec\ub098\uc9c0 \uc54a\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uace0, \ud615\uc0ac \uc218\uc0ac\uac00 \uc9c4\ud589\ub418\ub294 \ub3d9\uc548\uc5d0\ub294 \uacf5\uac1c \ud65c\ub3d9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uacac\uc870\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \uba87 \ub2ec \ud070 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uc5c6\uace0, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960)\uc740 \uc774\ub780 \ubd84\uc7c1\uacfc \uc5f0\uacc4\ub41c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610 \uc911\ub3d9 \uc815\uc138\uac00 \uacbd\uc81c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b0\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ub2f9\uad6d\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \u2018\uc774\uc911 \ucc45\ubb34(dual mandate: \ubb3c\uac00 \uc548\uc815\uacfc \ucd5c\ub300 \uace0\uc6a9)\u2019 \ub450 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \ud568\uaed8 \uc800\uc6b8\uc9c8\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Fed Vote Split Details<\/h3>\n

\uc774\ubc88 \uacb0\uc815\uc740 8\ub300 4\ub85c \ud1b5\uacfc\ub410\ub2e4. \uc2a4\ud2f0\ube10 \ubbf8\ub780\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud558\uba70 \ubc18\ub300\ud45c\ub97c \ub358\uc84c\ub2e4. \ubca0\uc2a4 \ud574\ub9e5, \ub2d0 \uce74\uc2dc\uce74\ub9ac, \ub85c\ub9ac \ub85c\uac74\uc740 \uc131\uba85\uc5d0 \u2018\uc644\ud654 \uc131\ud5a5(easing bias: \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638)\u2019\uc744 \ub123\ub294 \ub370 \ubc18\ub300\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

AUD\/USD\ub294 0.7120\ub300\uc5d0\uc11c \ub099\ud3ed\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b0\uba70 0.7110 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\uace0, 0.7100\uc774 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ubd80\uac01\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc218\uc900\uc774 \ubb34\ub108\uc9c0\uba74 50\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(50-day SMA: \ucd5c\uadfc 50\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc885\uac00\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0) 0.7056, \uc774\ud6c4 0.7000\uc774 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA) \uae08\ub9ac, \uc911\uad6d \uacbd\uae30, \ucca0\uad11\uc11d \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uaf3d\ud78c\ub2e4. \ucca0\uad11\uc11d\uc740 \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc218\ucd9c\ud488\uc73c\ub85c, 2021\ub144 \uae30\uc900 \uc5f0\uac04 1180\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec \uaddc\ubaa8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Market Implications For Traders<\/h3>\n

\uc5f0\uc900 \uc131\uba85\uc740 \uc131\uc7a5\uacfc \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uac15\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uac15\uc870\ud588\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ubc18\ubcf5\ub418\ub294 \uc8fc\uc81c\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(Fed funds rate: \ubbf8\uad6d \uc740\ud589\ub07c\ub9ac \ucd08\ub2e8\uae30 \uc790\uae08\uc744 \ube4c\ub9b4 \ub54c \uc801\uc6a9\ub418\ub294 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \uc911\uc2ec)\uac00 5.25~5.50% \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc740 3.5%\ub85c \ub098\uc628 \uc810\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \ub17c\ub9ac\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc791\ub144 \uc815\ucc45 \ub17c\uc7c1\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ud558\uae30 \uc27d\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub0c8\uace0, \uc9c0\uae08\ub3c4 \uadf8 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud638\uc8fc \ucabd\uc740 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9b0 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\ub300 \uad50\uc5ed \uc0c1\ub300\uad6d\uc778 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc9c0\ub09c \ubd84\uae30 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 5.3%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ubd80\ub3d9\uc0b0 \uacbd\uae30 \ubd80\uc9c4\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba70 \ucca0\uad11\uc11d \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ud1a4\ub2f9 115\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \uc57d\uc138\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc \uc218\ucd9c \uc218\uc785\uc744 \uc555\ubc15\ud558\uace0 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud3ed\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(derivatives: \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uacb0\uc815\ub418\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d) \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 AUD\/USD\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \ucabd\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money: \ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9 \uae30\uc900 \ub2f9\uc7a5 \ud589\uc0ac\ud574\ub3c4 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc0b4 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub098 \ubca0\uc5b4 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bear call spread: \ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ucf5c \ub9e4\ub3c4+\ub354 \ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ucf5c \ub9e4\uc218\ub85c \uafb8\ubbf8\ub294 \uc57d\uc138 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub85c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \ub610\ub294 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774 \ub300\uc548\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility: \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300)\uc774 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud558\uac8c \ub192\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4 \uc9c4\uc785 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\ub294 \ud574\uc11d\ub3c4 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2e4\ub9cc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45 \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0\ub294 \uc8fc\uc758\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube68\ub9ac \uc644\ud654\uc801\uc73c\ub85c(dovish: \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\u00b7\uc644\ud654 \uc120\ud638) \ub3cc\uc544\uc124 \uc870\uc9d0\uc774 \ubcf4\uc774\uba74 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ubc18\ub4f1\uc774 \ub098\uc62c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c AUD\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218\ub85c \uae09\ub4f1 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ud5e4\uc9c0(hedge: \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4)\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\ub3c4 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c0.7100 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc120 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9b0\ub2e4\u201d \uc5f0\uc900 \ub3d9\uacb0\u00b7\ud30c\uc6d4 \ubc1c\uc5b8 \uc18d AUD\/USD 1% \uae09\ub77d. \uc131\uc7a5\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc6b0\uc704, \uc911\uad6d\u00b7\ucca0\uad11\uc11d \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc555\ubc15. 0.7056\u00b70.7000 \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45833","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45833","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45833"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45833\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45833"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45833"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45833"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}