{"id":45821,"date":"2026-04-29T22:53:52","date_gmt":"2026-04-29T22:53:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/boc-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ed%9b%84-usd-cad-1-3680%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%ec%9d%bc\/"},"modified":"2026-04-29T22:53:52","modified_gmt":"2026-04-29T22:53:52","slug":"boc-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ed%9b%84-usd-cad-1-3680%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%ec%9d%bc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/boc-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%eb%8f%99%ea%b2%b0-%ed%9b%84-usd-cad-1-3680%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%ec%9d%bc\/","title":{"rendered":"BoC \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0 \ud6c4 USD\/CAD 1.3680\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc \uc720\uc9c0\u2026\uc774\ub780 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\uc5d0 \uc77c\uc2dc \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4 \ubc18\ub77d"},"content":{"rendered":"

USD\/CAD\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c 1.3680 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc5c6\uc774 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\ub2e4. \ud55c\ub54c 1.3710 \uc548\ud30e\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc 1\uc2dc\uac04 \uc548\uc5d0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ubd84\uc744 \ub418\ub3cc\ub838\ub2e4. \ud654\uc694\uc77c 1.3600 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud55c \ub4a4, \uc720\ub7fd\uc7a5 \uc624\uc804 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84\uc740 40\ud54d(pip\u00b7\ud658\uc728\uc758 \ucd5c\uc18c \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ub2e8\uc704) \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(BoC)\uc740 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(overnight rate\u00b7\uc740\ud589 \uac04 \ud558\ub8e8\uc9dc\ub9ac \uc790\uae08 \uac70\ub798\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uc774 \ub418\ub294 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac)\ub97c 2.25%\ub85c \ub124 \ubc88\uc9f8 \uc5f0\uc18d \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ubd80\ud569\ud558\ub294 \uacb0\uc815\uc774\uba70, 2025\ub144 10\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc774\ud6c4\uc758 \ud750\ub984\uc774\ub2e4. \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c(MPR\u00b7\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \uc815\ucc45 \uac00\uc815\uc744 \ub2f4\uc740 \uc815\uae30 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c) \uae30\ubcf8 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub294 2027\ub144 \uc911\ubc18\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc6d0\uc720(WTI\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud45c \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 75\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\uc544\uac04\ub2e4\ub294 \uac00\uc815\uc774\uba70, BoC\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc870\uc815 \ud3ed\uc774 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Usd Cad Rangebound Near Key Levels<\/h3>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d\uc7a5\uc740 \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \ubbf8 \ub3d9\ubd80\uc2dc\uac04(ET) \uc624\uc804 4\uc2dc \uc774\ub780 \uad00\ub828 \uae00\uc744 \uc62c\ub9b0 \ub4a4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \ud611\uc0c1 \uad50\ucc29\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \ubd09\uc1c4\ub85c \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \uc6d0\uc720 \ud574\uc0c1 \uc6b4\uc1a1\ub7c9\uc758 \uc57d 20%\uac00 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 WTI\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 100\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uba70 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec(CAD\u00b7\uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\uacfc \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub418\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \ud070 \ud1b5\ud654)\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\uace0, USD\/CAD\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub3c4 \uc81c\ud55c\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ud6c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \ud55c\uad6d\uc2dc\uac04 \uae30\uc900 18:00 GMT(\uadf8\ub9ac\ub2c8\uce58 \ud45c\uc900\uc2dc) \uc608\uc815\ub41c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc73c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac14\ub2e4. \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 3.50%~3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. 15\ubd84 \ucc28\ud2b8 \uae30\uc900 USD\/CAD\ub294 1.3678\ub85c, \uc77c\uc911 \uc2dc\uac00 1.3677 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\uba70 \uc2a4\ud1a0\uce90\uc2a4\ud2f1 RSI(Stochastic RSI\u00b7\uac00\uaca9\uc758 \uacfc\uc5f4\/\uce68\uccb4\ub97c \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uc220 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 47.95 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud574\ub2f9 \uae30\uc0ac\uc5d0\ub294 \uc778\uacf5\uc9c0\ub2a5(AI) \uae30\ubc18 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ubd84\uc11d\uc774 \ud65c\uc6a9\ub410\uc73c\uba70, 4\uc6d4 29\uc77c 17:12 GMT\uc5d0 \uc815\uc815\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4\ub294 \uc124\uba85\uc774 \ud3ec\ud568\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

USD\/CAD\ub294 1.3680 \uc8fc\ubcc0\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc744 \ub450\uace0 \ud798\uaca8\ub8e8\uae30 \uc591\uc0c1\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc740 \uc720\uac00\ub97c \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 100\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ubc00\uc5b4 \uc62c\ub824 \ud1b5\uc0c1 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \ud1b5\ud654\uc778 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc704\ud5d8\ud68c\ud53c \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc5d0\uc11c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc120\ud638(\uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc218\uc694\u00b7\ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \ub54c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc0ac\ub824\ub294 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784)\uc640, Fed\uac00 \ubcf4\uc720\ud55c \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac(\uae08\ub9ac \uba54\ub9ac\ud2b8)\uac00 \uc774\ub97c \uc0c1\uc1c4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Key Catalysts For A Volatility Breakout<\/h3>\n

BoC\uc758 2.25% \ub3d9\uacb0\uc740 \uad00\ub9dd \uae30\uc870\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc778\ub0b4\uc2ec\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\uc624\ub294\uc9c0 \uc810\uac80\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 \uadfc\uc6d0\ubb3c\uac00(core inflation\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\uc2dd\ud488 \ub4f1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \ud488\ubaa9\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00)\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc73c\ub85c 3.1%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc804\ubc18 \ubb3c\uac00\ub85c \ud655\uc0b0\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 BoC\uac00 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c(dovish\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \uc18c\uadf9\uc801\uc774\uace0 \uc644\ud654\uc801 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \uc131\ud5a5) \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc811\uace0, \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc774\ub974\uac8c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\uc0c1(hike\u00b7\uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1)\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc804\uac1c\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \uac08\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc635\uc158(options\u00b7\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uace0\ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac\ub97c \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488)\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\uc218\uc5d0 \ub098\uc11c\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774 \ub300\ud45c\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218)\uc774\ub098 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(strangle\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\uc5d0\uc11c \uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\u00b7\ud48b\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218) \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \ub3cc\ud30c\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774\ub2e4. \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubbf8\ub798 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300)\uc740 \ub192\uc740 \ud3b8\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ucd5c\uadfc \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub0a0 \ucd09\ub9e4\ub294 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

2022\ub144 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ucda9\uaca9 \ub2f9\uc2dc\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ud1b5\uc81c \ubc16\uc73c\ub85c \uce58\ub2ec\uc744 \ub54c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ubc14\uafc0 \uc218 \uc788\ub294\uc9c0 \ud655\uc778\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \ubd09\uc1c4\ub294 \uc644\ud654 \uc870\uc9d0\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\uba70, \ucd5c\uadfc \ud574\uc0c1 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc815\uc0c1 \uc720\uc870\uc120 \uc6b4\ud56d\uc758 90% \uc774\uc0c1\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub9c9\ud600 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4\uace0 \uc804\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uacf5\uae09 \uc81c\uc57d\uc5d0 \ub354\ud574 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ubbf8\uad6d \uc6d0\uc720 \uc7ac\uace0\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud06c\uac8c \uac10\uc18c(\uc7ac\uace0 \uac10\uc18c\u00b7\uc218\uae09 \ud0c0\uc774\ud2b8 \uc2e0\ud638)\ud55c \uc810\uc740 \uc720\uac00\uac00 USD\/CAD\uc5d0 \uacc4\uc18d \ubd80\ub2f4(\ud5e4\ub4dc\uc708\ub4dc\u00b7\uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uac00\ub85c\ub9c9\ub294 \uc694\uc778)\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uad00\uce21\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubc18\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub3c4 \ubb34\uc2dc\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4. Fed \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 3.50%~3.75%\ub85c \ud6e8\uc52c \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \ub3d9\uacb0\uc774 \uc720\ub825\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c(fed funds futures\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c)\uc740 7\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 40% \ub118\uac8c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub0b4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \uc7a1\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ub300\uc751\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud574\uc11d\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28(rate differential\u00b7\ub450 \ub098\ub77c \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774)\uac00 \ud655\ub300\ub418\uba74 USD\/CAD\uc5d0\ub294 \ud558\ub2e8 \uc9c0\uc9c0(\uac15\ud55c \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \uc5ed\ud560)\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc18d\ubcf4: USD\/CAD 1.3680\uc11c \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\u2026BoC 2.25% 4\uc5f0\uc18d \ub3d9\uacb0. \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ubc1c\uc5b8\u00b7\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uae34\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc720\uac00 100\ub2ec\ub7ec, CAD \uac15\uc138 vs \ub2ec\ub7ec \uae08\ub9ac\uba54\ub9ac\ud2b8, Fed \uacb0\uc815\uc774 \ubd84\uc218\ub839.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45821","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45821","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45821"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45821\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45821"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45821"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45821"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}