{"id":45741,"date":"2026-04-29T04:21:44","date_gmt":"2026-04-29T04:21:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ed%9a%8c%ec%9d%98%eb%a5%bc-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-nzd-usd-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd0-5885%ec%84%a0-%ec%95%88\/"},"modified":"2026-04-29T04:21:44","modified_gmt":"2026-04-29T04:21:44","slug":"%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ed%9a%8c%ec%9d%98%eb%a5%bc-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-nzd-usd-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd0-5885%ec%84%a0-%ec%95%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ed%9a%8c%ec%9d%98%eb%a5%bc-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-nzd-usd-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd0-5885%ec%84%a0-%ec%95%88\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900 \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 NZD\/USD \ud558\ub77d\u20260.5885\uc120 \uc548\ucc29"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>NZD\/USD\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c 0.4% \ud558\ub77d\ud574 0.5885 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\ub2e4. \uc7a5\uc911 0.5925 \uc548\ud30e\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub790\uc9c0\ub9cc 0.5900\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub9c9\ud614\ub2e4. 0.5860~0.5925 \uc0ac\uc774(65\ud54d\u00b7pip: \ud658\uc728\uc774 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \ucd5c\uc18c \ub2e8\uc704\ub85c, NZD\/USD\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 0.0001=1\ud54d)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\uace0, \ucd08\ubc18 \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uaebe\uc774\uba74\uc11c \uace0\uc810\uc774 \uc810\ucc28 \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ube0c\ub808\ub9cc\uc758 RBNZ(\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589) \uc5f0\uc124\uacfc \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c ANZ-\ub85c\uc774\ubaa8\uac74 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2e0\ub8b0\uc9c0\uc218 \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \ud575\uc2ec\uc774\ub2e4. \uc9c1\uc804 \uc2e0\ub8b0\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 91.3\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780 \uad00\ub828 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\uacfc \ud574\uc0c1\uc6b4\uc784\uc774 \uc62c\ub77c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9) \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\uace0, \ud638\uc8fc PPI(\uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218: \uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \ubb3c\uac74\uc744 \ucd9c\uace0\ud560 \ub54c \ubc1b\ub294 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Fed Event Risk And Us Data<\/h3>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c 18:00 UTC(\ud55c\uad6d\uc2dc\uac04 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c 03:00) \uc5f0\uc900(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589) \uacb0\uc815\uc774 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac(\uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac)\ub294 3.50%~3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8\uad6d 1\ubd84\uae30 GDP(\uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0: \ud55c \ub098\ub77c\uac00 \uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ud55c \uc7ac\ud654\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc758 \ucd1d\ud569)\uc640 \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE(\uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \ube80 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ub41c\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.2%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70, \uc774\uc804 3%\uc5d0\uc11c \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>15\ubd84 \ucc28\ud2b8 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc77c\uc77c \uc2dc\uac00(\ud558\ub8e8 \uac70\ub798\uac00 \uc2dc\uc791\ud55c \uac00\uaca9) 0.5915 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\uace0, \uc2a4\ud1a0\uce90\uc2a4\ud2f1 RSI(Stochastic RSI: RSI\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud655\ub960\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud574 \uacfc\uc5f4\u00b7\uce68\uccb4\ub97c \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\ub294 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 44 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubd09\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 200\uae30\uac04\u00b750\uae30\uac04 EMA(\uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0: \ucd5c\uadfc \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud070 \ube44\uc911\uc744 \ub454 \ud3c9\uade0\uc120) 0.5850~0.5860 \uc704\uc778 0.5885 \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \uc2a4\ud1a0\uce90\uc2a4\ud2f1 RSI\ub294 74 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>2025\ub144 \uc911\ubc18\uc744 \ub418\uc9da\uc5b4 \ubcf4\uba74, \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc5f0\uc900 \ud68c\uc758 \uc804\ud6c4\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc73c\ub85c \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae34\ucd95\uc801\uc778(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \uc18c\uadf9\uc801\uc774\uace0 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc5b5\uc81c\uc5d0 \ubb34\uac8c\ub97c \ub450\ub294) \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0\ub97c \ub0c8\uace0, \uadf8 \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c NZD\/USD\ub294 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\ub358 0.5850 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub0b4\ub824\uc62c \ub54c \ubc84\ud2f0\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b4 \uad6c\uac04)\uc744 \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud558\ub77d \uc555\ub825\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c 2025\ub144 \ud558\ubc18\uae30\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc 2026\ub144 5\uc6d4\ub85c \uac00\uae4c\uc6cc\uc9c0\uba70 \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ub2ec\ub77c\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 \ub9d0 \uc644\ud654\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\uace0, \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \uc2dd\ud788\ub294 \ub370 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub410\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE \ubb3c\uac00\ub3c4 2026\ub144 3\uc6d4 \uae30\uc900 2.7%\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc838, 2025\ub144\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ub824\ub410\ub358 3.2%\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Rbnz Fed Divergence And Kiwi Bias<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uac04 \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\ubcc4\ud654(\uae08\ub9ac \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9ac\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)\uac00 \ub69c\ub837\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. RBNZ\ub294 ANZ \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc2e0\ub8b0\uc9c0\uc218\ucc98\ub7fc \ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc9c0\ud45c(\ud604\uc7ac 85.1)\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uba74\ud574 2\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(\ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\u00b7OCR: \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc758 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac)\ub97c 5.25%\ub85c \uc778\ud558\ud588\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uc774\uc81c\uc11c\uc57c \uc62c\uc5ec\ub984 \uccab \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \ud0a4\uc704\ub2ec\ub7ec(\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec)\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc778 \uc5ec\uac74\uc774 \ud615\uc131\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub7f0 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 NZD\/USD \ucd94\uac00 \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 2~3\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30, \ud589\uc0ac\uac00(\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uac00\uaca9) 0.6150 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc624\ub97c \ub54c \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc120\ud0dd\uad8c)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uba74 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc2dc \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28(\ub450 \ub098\ub77c \uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \uaca9\ucc28)\uac00 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \ubc14\ub00c\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub610 \ub2e4\ub978 \ubc29\ubc95\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bull call spread: \ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ucf5c\uc744 \uc0ac\uace0, \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ucf5c\uc744 \ud314\uc544 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \ucd08\uae30 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd9c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 0.6100 \ucf5c\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uace0 0.6250 \ucf5c\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\uba74 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucd98 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4. \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \ubc14\ub00c\uc5c8\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c \ud655\uc778\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud574, \uae09\ub4f1\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc9c4\uc801 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>NZD\/USD 0.5885\ub85c 0.4% \ud558\ub77d, 0.5900 \ud131\ubc11\uc11c \ubc18\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900 \ub3d9\uacb0\u00b7PCE \uc0c1\ud5a5, RBNZ \uc644\ud654\ub85c \uc815\ucc45 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9bc \ubd80\uac01. 0.5850 \uc9c0\uc9c0, \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \uc0c1\ubc29 \ubca0\ud305 \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45741","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45741","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45741"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45741\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45741"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45741"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45741"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}