\uc601\uad6d\uc758 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960)\uacfc \uae30\uc5c5 \uc124\ubb38 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uba74\uc11c, \ub2e4\uc74c \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BOE) \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \u2018\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\ud1b5\ud654\uae34\ucd95 \uc120\ud638) \uc18c\uc218\uc758\uacac(dissent\u00b7\ubc18\ub300 \uc758\uacac)\u2019\uc774 \ub098\uc62c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae30\ubcf8 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub294 \u2018\ub9cc\uc7a5\uc77c\uce58\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0\u2019\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI(\uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7\uae30\uc5c5 \uc124\ubb38\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uae30 \ud655\uc7a5\/\uc704\ucd95\uc744 \uac00\ub2a0\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 51.0\uc5d0\uc11c 53.6\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uace0, \uc2e0\uaddc\uc8fc\ubb38\uc740 52.6\uc73c\ub85c \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 PMI\ub294 50.5\uc5d0\uc11c 52.0\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc2e0\uaddc\uc8fc\ubb38\uc740 50.1\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
3\uc6d4 CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218) \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2\uc6d4 3.0%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.3%\ub85c \ub192\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d0\ubb3c\uac00(\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \ud488\ubaa9\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud574 \uae30\uc870 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 3.1%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 4.5%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uace0, \uc7ac\ud654(\uc0c1\ud488) \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 2.1%\ub85c \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ubd80\ubb38 \ube44\uc6a9 \ubb3c\uac00(\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 \uae30\uc5c5\uc758 \ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 1996\ub144 7\uc6d4 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc9c0\ud45c \uc9d1\uacc4 \uc2dc\uc791 \uc774\ud6c4 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \uc6d4\uac04 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc740 1\ubd84\uae30(Q1)\uc5d0\uc11c 2\ubd84\uae30(Q2)\ub85c \ub118\uc5b4\uac00\uba70 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \ub454\ud654\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \ud3c9\uade0 \uc57d 3% \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 0.3%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ud558\ub77d\ud574 4.9%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc0c1\uc5ec\uae08\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \ud3c9\uade0 \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 2\uc6d4 \uae30\uc900(3\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc774\ub3d9 \uae30\uc900 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44) 1\uc6d4(\uc0c1\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub41c 4.1%)\uc5d0\uc11c 3.8%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbfc\uac04 \ubd80\ubb38 \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 3.3%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.2%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc774\ubc88 \ud68c\uc758 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \u20189\ub3000 \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0\u2019\uc774\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c 2027\ub144\uc5d0 3\ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc788\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc774\ubc88 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589 \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc2e0\uc911\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58 2%\ub97c \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uace0 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(Bank Rate\u00b7\uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac)\uac00 4.25%\uc778 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ucd5c\uadfc CPI\uac00 2.8%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \ud574\uc18c\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2025\ub144 \uc774\ub9d8\ub54c \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc73c\ub85c \ub192\uc740 3.3% \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba70 \u2018\uc815\uc0c1\ud654(\ubb3c\uac00\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \uc548\uc815\uc801 \ubcf5\uadc0)\u2019 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ud754\ub4e4\ub838\ub358 \uc0c1\ud669\uacfc \ube44\uc2b7\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
2025\ub144 \ub2f9\uc2dc\uc5d0\ub294 PMI\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud588\uace0 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ubd80\ubb38 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\uba74\uc11c \u2018\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc18c\uc218\uc758\uacac\u2019 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ubd80\uac01\ub410\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 PMI 51.5\ub294 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc774\uba70, \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\ub840\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74 \uc635\uc158 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \u2018\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ub3d9\uacb0(\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \ub3d9\uacb0\ud558\ub418 \uac15\uacbd\ud55c \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0)\u2019\uc774\ub098 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ubc1c\uc5b8 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ub2a6\ucd9c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ub258\uc559\uc2a4\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c(\ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488)\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
2025\ub144\uacfc \ub2e4\ub978 \uc810\uc740 \uc784\uae08 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub2e4. \uc601\uad6d \ud1b5\uacc4\uccad(ONS) \ucd5c\uc2e0 \ubc1c\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 \uc57d 4.5% \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc815\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc544 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(MPC\u00b7\uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815 \uae30\uad6c)\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc9c8\uc784\uae08(\uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc5d0\uc11c \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc744 \ube80 \uac12)\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d \ub298\uba74 \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uc790\uadf9\ud574 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc62c\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc62c\ud574 \ud558\ubc18\uae30\uc5d0 \uae30\ub300\ud558\ub294 \u2018\ube60\ub978 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\u2019 \ub17c\ub9ac\ub97c \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc774\ub294 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654(GBP) \ub2e8\uae30 \uc635\uc158(\ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \uc9e7\uc740 \uc120\ud0dd\uad8c \uacc4\uc57d)\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c\ub3c4 \uc5f0\uacb0\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\uacbd\ud55c \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba74 GBP\/USD(\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\/\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728)\uac00 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae09\ub4f1\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294\ub370, 2025\ub144 \u2018\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ub3d9\uacb0\u2019 \uc774\ud6c4 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub358 \ub2e8\uae30 \ubc18\ub4f1 \ud328\ud134\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ucd08\uc810\uc774 \uacb0\uad6d \u2018\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074(\uc778\ud558 \uad6d\uba74)\u2019\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uac08 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uae09\ub4f1\ubd84\uc774 \ub418\ub3cc\ub824\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ub300\uc751 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc138\uc6b8 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\uc601\uad6d CPI\u00b7PMI \uc11c\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc988\uc5d0 BOE \u2018\ub9e4\ud30c \uc18c\uc218\uc758\uacac\u2019 \uacbd\uacc4\uac10. \uae30\ubcf8\uc740 9\ub3000 \ub3d9\uacb0\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\ube44\uc6a9 \uae09\ub4f1\u00b7\uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ud754\ub4e4\uba70 \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uac00\ub2a5.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45468","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45468","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45468"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45468\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45468"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45468"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45468"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}