{"id":45431,"date":"2026-04-24T07:24:30","date_gmt":"2026-04-24T07:24:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8-nzd-usd-0-5850%ec%84%a0-%ed%95%98%ed%9a%8c%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b0-200%ec%9d%bc-%ec%9d%b4\/"},"modified":"2026-04-24T07:24:30","modified_gmt":"2026-04-24T07:24:30","slug":"%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8-nzd-usd-0-5850%ec%84%a0-%ed%95%98%ed%9a%8c%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b0-200%ec%9d%bc-%ec%9d%b4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8-nzd-usd-0-5850%ec%84%a0-%ed%95%98%ed%9a%8c%ed%95%98%eb%a9%b0-200%ec%9d%bc-%ec%9d%b4\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc774\ub780 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u2026 NZD\/USD, 0.5850\uc120 \ud558\ud68c\ud558\uba70 200\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc11c \uc7ac\ucc28 \ud558\ub77d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>NZD\/USD\ub294 0.5925~0.5930 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc(\uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud6c4 \ud558\ub77d)\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba70 \uc774\ud2c0\uc9f8 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c 0.5840 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0 \uac70\ub798\ub410\uace0, 200\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(SMA\u00b7\ucd5c\uadfc 200\uc77c \uc885\uac00\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0\uc73c\ub85c \uc911\uc7a5\uae30 \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \uac00\ub2a0\ud558\ub294 \uc120) \uadfc\ucc98\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\ub294 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub85c 4\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ud611\uc0c1\uc774 \uad50\ucc29 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Geopolitical Tensions Drive Safe Haven Demand<\/h3>\n<p>\ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8 \ud574\uad70\uc758 \uc774\ub780 \ud56d\uad6c \ubd09\uc1c4\uac00 \uacc4\uc18d\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780\uc740 \ud611\uc0c1 \uc7ac\uac1c \uc804\uc5d0 \ubd09\uc1c4\uc758 \uc804\uba74 \ud574\uc81c\ub97c \uc694\uad6c\ud588\uace0, \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\ub294 \uae30\ub8b0\ub97c \uc124\uce58\ud558\ub294 \uc120\ubc15\uc740 \uc0ac\uaca9\ud558\ub77c\uace0 \ud574\uad70\uc5d0 \uc9c0\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8\ub85c \uad6d\uc81c\uc720\uac00\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158) \uc6b0\ub824\ub3c4 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\uc81c 2026\ub144 \ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c 25bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\u00b70.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) 1\ud68c \uc815\ub3c4\ub85c\ub9cc \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 NZD\/USD\uc5d0\ub294 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc900\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 NZD \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 3\uc6d4 \ubd84\uae30(1\ubd84\uae30) \uc5f0\uac04 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 3.1%\ub85c, \ubaa9\ud45c \ubc94\uc704 1~3%\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\uace0 \ubaa9\ud45c \uc911\uac04\uac12 2%\ub3c4 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>NZD\/USD\ub294 0.5835 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 200\uc77c \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uc744 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ud558\uba70 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba70\uce60 \uc548\uc5d0 \uc774 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(\uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ub9c9\uc544\uc628 \uad6c\uac04)\uc744 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\uac8c \ud558\ud5a5 \uc774\ud0c8\ud558\uba74, \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \ud750\ub984\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \ud0c4\ub825(\ud558\ub77d \uc18d\ub3c4)\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ub73b\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Options Strategies For A Bearish Outlook<\/h3>\n<p>\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc694\uc778\uc740 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774\ub2e4. WTI \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \ud55c \ub2ec\uac04 12% \ub118\uac8c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 95\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uba70, \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \uc790\uadf9\ud588\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0(\uc704\ud5d8 \ud68c\ud53c \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc120\ud638\ub418\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0) \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \ub192\uc600\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 \ub9d0 \uac78\ud504 \uc9c0\uc5ed \uae34\uc7a5 \ub54c\ub3c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c\uc758 \u2018\uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638\u2019\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ubc14\uafe8\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \ub3c4\uad6c(FedWatch Tool\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\u00b7\uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 2026\ub144 6\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc740 25%\ub85c, \ud55c \ub2ec \uc804 60% \uc774\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc778 \uc7ac\ub8cc\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBNZ)\ub3c4 \ubb3c\uac00 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc5f0\uac04 3.1%\uc758 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c OIS(\uc624\ubc84\ub098\uc774\ud2b8 \uc778\ub371\uc2a4 \uc2a4\uc651\u00b7\uc775\uc77c\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488) \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 8\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 RBNZ\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\uc0c1\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 40%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. RBNZ\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc778) \uae30\uc870\ub294 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud574 \ud558\ub77d \ud3ed\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \ud798\uc774 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 NZD\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac\u00b7\ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774, \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \ub54c \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub178\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c \uc190\uc2e4 \ud55c\ub3c4\ub97c \uc815\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. RBNZ\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c \uc815\ucc45\uc73c\ub85c \ud0a4\uc704\ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uae09\ubc18\ub4f1(\uac11\uc791\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uc0c1\uc2b9)\ud558\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9bc)\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9(\ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc785 \ube44\uc6a9)\uc740 \ube44\uc2f8\uc84c\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ubc29\ud5a5 \uc804\ud658\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub354 \ub0ae\ucd94\ub824\uba74 \u2018\ubca0\uc5b4 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\u2019\uac00 \ub300\uc548\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00(\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud589\uc0ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uac00\uaca9)\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574, \ucd08\uae30 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4. \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300\uce58)\uc774 \uc624\ub974\ub294 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c4\uc785 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\uace0, \ud2b9\uc815 \ud558\ub77d \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \uaca8\ub0e5\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc720\uc6a9\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\u201d\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u2026NZD\/USD\ub294 200\uc77c\uc120(0.5835) \uc2dc\ud5d8\ud558\uba70 \uc774\ud2c0\uc9f8 \ud558\ub77d. \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\u00b7\ubbf8 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \ud6c4\ud1f4\uac00 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825, RBNZ \ubb3c\uac00\u00b7\uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ud558\ub77d \uc81c\ud55c.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45431","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45431","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45431"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45431\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45431"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45431"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45431"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}