{"id":45391,"date":"2026-04-23T22:51:55","date_gmt":"2026-04-23T22:51:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8-%ec%86%8d-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-%ec%86%8c%ed%8f%ad-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1%ea%b3%a0%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ec%a7%80%ec%86%8d%c2%b7%ec%9c%a0\/"},"modified":"2026-04-23T22:51:55","modified_gmt":"2026-04-23T22:51:55","slug":"%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8-%ec%86%8d-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-%ec%86%8c%ed%8f%ad-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1%ea%b3%a0%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ec%a7%80%ec%86%8d%c2%b7%ec%9c%a0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8-%ec%86%8d-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92-%ec%86%8c%ed%8f%ad-%eb%b0%98%eb%93%b1%ea%b3%a0%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80-%ec%a7%80%ec%86%8d%c2%b7%ec%9c%a0\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 \uc18d \uae08\uac12 \uc18c\ud3ed \ubc18\ub4f1\u2026\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300 \uc9c0\uc18d\u00b7\uc720\uac00\ubc1c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed \uc81c\ud55c"},"content":{"rendered":"

\uae08\uc740 \uc7a5\uc911 \uc800\uc810 4,684\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc11c\uba74\uc11c \uc57d 4,730\ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218(DXY\u00b7\uc8fc\uc694 6\uac1c \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 98.80\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc624\ub978 \ub4a4 98.57 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc5d0\uc11c \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uace0\uc870\ub418\uba70 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9) \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc740 \ubbf8 \ud574\uad70\uacfc \uc774\ub780\uc758 \uc555\ubc15\uc73c\ub85c \uc120\ubc15 \uc6b4\ud56d\uc774 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \u2018\uc774\uc911 \ubd09\uc1c4\u2019 \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uba74\ud574 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \uc804 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \u201c\uc644\uc804\ud788 \ud1b5\uc81c\u201d\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ud574\uad70\uc5d0 \u201c\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988\uc5d0 \uae30\ub8b0\ub97c \uc124\uce58\ud558\ub294 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \ubcf4\ud2b8\ub4e0 \uc0ac\uaca9\ud558\ub77c\u201d\uace0 \uc9c0\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Strait Of Hormuz Risks<\/h3>\n

\uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134\ud3ec\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub294 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ubc29\ubd80(\ud39c\ud0c0\uace4) \ud3c9\uac00\ub97c \uc778\uc6a9\ud574, \uae30\ub8b0\ub97c \uc644\uc804\ud788 \uc81c\uac70\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ucd5c\ub300 6\uac1c\uc6d4\uc774 \uac78\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\ub3c4\ud588\ub2e4. \uc120\uc0ac\ub4e4\uacfc \ud0c0\uc2a4\ub2d8 \ud1b5\uc2e0\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc774\ub780 \ud601\uba85\uc218\ube44\ub300(IRGC\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uc815\uc608 \uad70\uc0ac\uc870\uc9c1)\uac00 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc120\ubc15 2\ucc99\uc744 \ub098\ud3ec\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac(\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \ubc0f \uc2dc\uc7a5\uae08\ub9ac)\uac00 \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6e0\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \uc774\uc790\ub97c \uc8fc\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uae08(\ubb34\uc774\uc790 \uc790\uc0b0) \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uc81c\ud55c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ub780 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 \uacf5\uc2dd \uc218\uc6a9\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \ud734\uc804 \uc5f0\uc7a5\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0, \ub2e8\uae30\uac04 \ub0b4 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ub300\ud654\uac00 \uc7ac\uac1c\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub0ae\uac8c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c\uac74\uc218(Initial Jobless Claims\u00b7\uc8fc\uac04 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uae09\uc5ec \uc2e0\uccad \uac74\uc218)\uac00 21\ub9cc4\ucc9c \uac74\uc73c\ub85c, \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 21\ub9cc2\ucc9c \uac74\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\uace0 \uc774\uc804\uce58 20\ub9cc8\ucc9c \uac74\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub298\uc5c8\ub2e4. S&P \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI(\uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218\u00b750\uc744 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uae30 \ud655\uc7a5\/\uc704\ucd95\uc744 \uac00\ub974\ub294 \uc124\ubb38\uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 52.3\uc5d0\uc11c 54\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 47\uac1c\uc6d4 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 PMI\ub3c4 49.8\uc5d0\uc11c 51.3\uc73c\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c \ud655\uc7a5 \uad6d\uba74\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc130\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

4\uc2dc\uac04 \ucc28\ud2b8 \uae30\uc900 XAU\/USD(\uae08 \ud604\ubb3c\uc758 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud45c\uc2dc \uac00\uaca9)\ub294 20\uae30\uac04 SMA(\ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\u00b7\ucd5c\uadfc 20\uac1c \uad6c\uac04\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0 \uac00\uaca9)\uc778 4,756\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4. RSI(14\u00b7\uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218, 0~100 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uacfc\ub9e4\uc218\/\uacfc\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uac15\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 41 \ubd80\uadfc, ATR(14\u00b7\ud3c9\uade0\uc9c4\ud3ed, \ucd5c\uadfc 14\uac1c \uad6c\uac04\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ud3ed\uc744 \ud3c9\uade0\ub0b8 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc740 38 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 4,677\ub2ec\ub7ec, \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 4,834\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Technical Levels And Macro Drivers<\/h3>\n

\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uae08\uc758 \ud5e4\uc9c0(\uc704\ud5d8 \ud68c\ud53c\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \uc0c1\uc1c4 \ud22c\uc790) \uc5ed\ud560\uc740 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ubc00\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 3\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI\u00b7\uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uad6c\ub9e4\ud558\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c) \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 4.1% \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ud655\uc778\ub418\uba74\uc11c, \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uac00 \uae30\ub300\ud588\ub358 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825 \uc644\ud654\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud574\uc11d\uc774 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uac00 \ucc44\uad8c\uc5d0\uc11c \ub354 \ub098\uc740 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uc5bb\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\uc790\ub97c \uc8fc\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uae08\uc744 \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\ub294 \uae30\ud68c\ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ubc88 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ubc30\uacbd\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc758 \uc6b4\uc1a1 \ucc28\uc9c8\uc774 \uaf3d\ud788\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc720\uac00\ub97c \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ubd99\ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. WTI(\uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc6d0\uc720\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud45c \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9 \uc9c0\ud45c) \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 115\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba74\uc11c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ubd84\uc11d\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \ud574\uc18c\ub420 \uc870\uc9d0\uc774 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc544, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc774 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c \uacc4\uc18d \ubcfc \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

2025\ub144 \uc804\ubc18\uc5d0 \uac78\uce5c \uacf5\uaca9\uc801 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc740 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ubc1c(\u767c) \uc704\uae30\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud55c \uce21\uba74\uc774 \ucef8\uace0, \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc Fed\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc81c\ud55c\ub41c \ud604\uc7ac \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \ud615\uc131\ub410\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc Fed \uc778\uc0ac\ub4e4\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\ub3c4 \ubb3c\uac00 \ub300\uc751\uc744 \ucd5c\uc6b0\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ub450\ub294 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\uae34\ucd95 \uc120\ud638) \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74 \uae08 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9 \ub4f1\ub77d \ud3ed)\ub3c4 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. Cboe \uae08 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(GVZ\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ub41c \uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uc9c0\uc218\ud654\ud55c \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 20 \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc84\ud2f0\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 2025\ub144 \ucd08 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud63c\ub780 \uc774\ud6c4 \uafb8\uc900\ud788 \uad00\ucc30\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub358 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc5b8\uae09\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uae09\ub4f1\ub77d\uc774 \ubc18\ubcf5\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub3c4 \uae08\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd80\ub2f4 \uc694\uc778\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud45c\uc2dc \uc790\uc0b0\uc778 \uae08\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uac15\ud574\uc9c8\uc218\ub85d \ud574\uc678 \uc218\uc694\uc790 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc120 \uac00\uaca9 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. Fed\uac00 \uae34\ucd95\uc801 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45(\ub3c8\uc758 \uacf5\uae09\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uac70\ub098 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub192\uc5ec \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc7a1\ub294 \uc815\ucc45)\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ud55c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4\ub294 \uad00\uce21\uc774 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uae08\uac12, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 4,730\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uae34\uc7a5\u00b7\uc720\uac00 115\ub2ec\ub7ec\ubc1c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uac00 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019 \uc555\ubc15. DXY 98.57, \uc9c0\uc9c0 4,677\u00b7\uc800\ud56d 4,834. GVZ 20 \uc0c1\ud68c.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45391","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45391","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45391"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45391\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45391"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45391"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45391"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}