{"id":45385,"date":"2026-04-23T21:25:38","date_gmt":"2026-04-23T21:25:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%8c%80%eb%b9%84-%ec%86%8c%ed%8f%ad-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c%ed%99%94-%ea%b2%ac%ec%a1%b0%ed%95%9c-%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-pm\/"},"modified":"2026-04-23T21:25:38","modified_gmt":"2026-04-23T21:25:38","slug":"%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%8c%80%eb%b9%84-%ec%86%8c%ed%8f%ad-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c%ed%99%94-%ea%b2%ac%ec%a1%b0%ed%95%9c-%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-pm","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%eb%8c%80%eb%b9%84-%ec%86%8c%ed%8f%ad-%ec%95%bd%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c%ed%99%94-%ea%b2%ac%ec%a1%b0%ed%95%9c-%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-pm\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc601\uad6d \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654, \uacac\uc870\ud55c \uc601\uad6d PMI\uc5d0 \ud798\uc785\uc5b4 G10 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc911 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801 \uac15\uc138"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc601\uad6d \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654(GBP)\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec(USD) \ub300\ube44 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc57d\uc138\uc600\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc601\uad6d \uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218(PMI: \uae30\uc5c5 \uad6c\ub9e4 \ub2f4\ub2f9\uc790 \uc124\ubb38\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uacbd\uae30 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c) \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uba74\uc11c \uc8fc\uc694 10\uac1c\uad6d \ud1b5\ud654(G10) \uac00\uc6b4\ub370\uc11c\ub294 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc120\ubc29\ud588\ub2e4. \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 PMI \uc7a0\uc815\uce58\uac00 \ubaa8\ub450 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\uace0, \uacbd\uae30 \ubd84\uae30\uc810\uc778 50 \ub0b4\uc678\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud574 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \ud655\uc7a5 \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub978 \uc601\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc5c7\uac08\ub838\ub2e4. \uc815\ubd80 \ucc28\uc785(\uacf5\uacf5\ubd80\ubb38 \uc21c\ucc28\uc785)\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub2e4\uc18c \ub298\uc5c8\uace0, \uc601\uad6d\uc0b0\uc5c5\uc5f0\ub9f9(CBI) \uacbd\uae30\uc2ec\ub9ac\ub3c4 \uc57d\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BoE) \ucd94\uac00 \uae34\ucd95(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ub610\ub294 \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300) \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc601\uc740 \ud655\ub300\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Market Pricing For Boe Tightening<\/h3>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 6\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 20bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\u00b70.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uc778\uc0c1, 9\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub204\uc801 50bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc5f4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \uc788\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ucc28\ud2b8\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140(\uac00\uaca9 \ud750\ub984\uc758 \ud798)\uc774 \uc644\ub9cc\ud558\uac8c \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. RSI(\uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218: \ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uac15\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uae30\uc220\uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc 60\ub300 \uc800\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0b4\ub824\uc640 50\ub300 \uc911\ubc18\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud55c\ub2e4. GBP\/USD\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\uc77c\uc815 \ubc94\uc704 \ub0b4 \ub4f1\ub77d)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uba70, \ub2e8\uae30 \uad6c\uac04\uc740 1.3450~1.3550\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. 1.35\ub294 \uac70\ub798\uac00 \ubab0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud63c\uc7a1 \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Policy Divergence And Options Positioning<\/h3>\n<p>\ud55c\ud3b8 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\ub294 \ub354 \uacac\uc870\ud574 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 3\uc6d4 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c(NFP: \ub18d\uc5c5\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uc6d4\uac04 \uc2e0\uaddc \uace0\uc6a9)\ub294 24\ub9cc \uac1c \uc774\uc0c1 \uc99d\uac00\ud574 \uc591\ud638\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc11c\ub450\ub97c \uc774\uc720\ub97c \uc904\uc774\uba70, \ubbf8\u00b7\uc601 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774(\uc815\ucc45 \ub514\ubc84\uc804\uc2a4)\uac00 GBP\/USD\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ub294 1.35 \uc218\uc900(\uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uac00\uaca9\ub300)\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \ubc00\ub824 \ud604\uc7ac 1.2550 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uc635\uc158 \ub4f1) \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 2025\ub144 \ucd08\ucc98\ub7fc \uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub354 \uc774\uc0c1 \uc801\uc808\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\ub2e4. GBP\/USD \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58)\uc774 \ub192\uc544\uc84c\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc591\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\uc81c\ub294 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \uc881\uc740 \ucc44\ub110\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb38\ub2e4\ub294 \uac00\uc815\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294, \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uc7a5\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774 \ud575\uc2ec\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub41c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\uc81c\uc5d0\uc11c, \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 GBP\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d \uc2dc \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc635\uc158) \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ucd94\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(\ud48b\uc635\uc158 1\uac1c\ub97c \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uace0 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 1\uac1c\ub97c \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub294 1.2400\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \uc810\uc9c4\uc801 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ube44\uc6a9 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \uc904\uc5ec \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ud558\ub77d \ub178\ucd9c\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc190\uc2e4 \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \uba85\ud655\ud788 \uc81c\ud55c\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc, \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0\ub3c4 PMI \ud638\uc870\ub85c G10 \uc120\ubc29. BoE \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300 6\uc6d4 20bp\u00b79\uc6d4 50bp \ubc18\uc601. \u7f8e \uace0\uc6a9 \ud0c4\ud0c4\ud574 \uc815\ucc45 \ub514\ubc84\uc804\uc2a4 \ubd80\ub2f4, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u2191\u20261.24 \ud48b \uc804\ub7b5 \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45385","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45385","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45385"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45385\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45385"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45385"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45385"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}