4\uc6d4 \uc18d\ubcf4 PMI(\uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218: \uae30\uc5c5 \uad6c\ub9e4 \ub2f4\ub2f9\uc790 \uc124\ubb38\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uae30 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc120\ud589\uc9c0\ud45c)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uacbd\uae30 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c4 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \uc885\ud569 PMI\ub294 48.6\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud574 \uacbd\uae30 \uc704\ucd95(50 \ubbf8\ub9cc) \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc130\uc73c\uba70, 1\ub144\uc5ec \ub9cc\uc758 \uccab 50 \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 \ud65c\ub3d9\uc740 \uc218\ub144 \ub0b4 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc838 \uc18c\ube44 \uc218\uc694 \ub454\ud654\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\ub294 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774\ub294 \ucd5c\uc885 \uc218\uc694(\uc2e4\uc81c \ud310\ub9e4 \uc218\uc694) \uac1c\uc120\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc7ac\uace0 \ucd95\uc801\uacfc \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd(\uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac\u00b7\ubd80\ud488 \uc870\ub2ec \uccb4\uacc4) \ubd88\uc548\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\ub2e4. \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uacfc \uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8\ub85c \ud22c\uc785\ube44\uc6a9(\uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\ubd80\ud488 \ub4f1 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uac00\ub294 \ube44\uc6a9)\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc740 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ud310\ub9e4\uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc804\uac00(\uac00\uaca9 \uc778\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ube44\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\ubd84\uc744 \ubc18\uc601)\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\uace0, \uc0b0\ucd9c\uac00\uaca9(\uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \uc81c\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\ub97c \ud310\ub9e4\ud560 \ub54c \ubc1b\ub294 \uac00\uaca9)\uc740 3\ub144\uc5ec \ub9cc\uc758 \uac00\uc7a5 \ube60\ub978 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc218\uc694\ub294 \uc57d\ud55c\ub370 \ube44\uc6a9\uacfc \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc624\ub974\ub294 \uc870\ud569\uc73c\ub85c \uc2a4\ud0dc\uadf8\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654 \uc18d \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9) \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c4\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc640 \uae34\ucd95 \uc720\uc9c0(\ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc720\uc9c0\ub85c \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uc5b5\uc81c\ud558\ub294 \uc815\ucc45) \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \uc120\ud0dd\uc774 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc\uc9c4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc720\ub7fd \uc99d\uc2dc\ub294 \uc218\uc694 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc5c5 \ub9c8\uc9c4(\ub9e4\ucd9c\uc5d0\uc11c \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ube80 \uc774\uc775\ub960)\uc774 \uc555\ubc15\ubc1b\ub294 \ud658\uacbd\uc774\ub2e4. \uacbd\uae30\ubbfc\uac10\uc5c5\uc885(\uacbd\uae30 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \uc2e4\uc801\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc88c\uc6b0\ub418\ub294 \uc5c5\uc885)\uc740 \uac00\uaca9 \uacb0\uc815\ub825(\uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc62c\ub824\ub3c4 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \ud798)\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c8 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ub3c5\uc77c DAX \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 23,000~23,250 \uad6c\uac04\uc758 50%~61.8% \ud53c\ubcf4\ub098\uce58 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc(\uacfc\uac70 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed \ub300\ube44 \uc870\uc815 \uac00\ub2a5 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \uac00\ub2a0\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ubd84\uc11d \uae30\uc900) \u2018\uc758\uc0ac\uacb0\uc815 \uad6c\uac04\u2019\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud574 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uad6c\uac04\uc740 3\uc6d4 20\uc77c \uc800\uc810 \uae30\uc900 \uc575\ucee4\ub4dc VWAP(\ud2b9\uc815 \uc2dc\uc810\uc744 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub7c9\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \ud3c9\uade0\ub9e4\uc785\ub2e8\uac00 \uc131\uaca9\uc758 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc640\ub3c4 \uacb9\uce58\uba70, \ub2e8\uae30 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 \ub418\uac70\ub098 \ucd94\uac00 \uac00\uaca9 \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00(\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc0c8 \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud574 \uc7ac\uc870\uc815\ub418\ub294 \uacfc\uc815)\uc758 \ucd9c\ubc1c\uc810\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ucd5c\uadfc \uc720\ub85c\uc874 PMI\uac00 48.6\uc73c\ub85c \uc704\ucd95 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \uc9c4\uc785\ud55c \uac83\uc740 \uc2a4\ud0dc\uadf8\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4. 3\uc6d4 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 2.9%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uac8c \ub098\uc628 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \ubb3c\uac00 \uace0\ucc29\uc774 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098 \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ub418\ub294 \uc870\ud569\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc774 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 ECB\ub97c \ub354 \uace4\ub780\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4. \uacbd\uae30\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc838\ub3c4 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc81c\uc57d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c(\uae34\ucd95\uc801\uc73c\ub85c) \uc720\uc9c0\ud574\uc57c \ud560 \uc720\uc778\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5ec\ub7ec \ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uae30\ub300\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud604\uc7ac\ub294 \uadf8 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \uc131\uc7a5\uc774 \ub354 \ub454\ud654\ud558\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \ub5a0\ubc1b\uce58\ub294 \u2018\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ud48b\u2019(\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc644\ud654\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ubc29\uc5b4\ud574\uc904 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\ub300)\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9 \ub4f1\ub77d \ud3ed) \uc790\uccb4\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc790\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc9c1\uad00\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc778 VSTOXX(\uc720\ub85c\uc2a4\ud1a1\uc2a450 \uae30\ubc18 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218, \u2018\uacf5\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc218\u2019\ub85c \ubd88\ub9bc)\uac00 \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 15 \ubd80\uadfc \uc800\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc 21\uc744 \ub118\uc5b4\uc130\uace0 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4. VSTOXX \uc120\ubb3c(\uc9c0\uc218\uc758 \ubbf8\ub798 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488)\uc774\ub098 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub808\uc2a4 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
DAX\ub294 22,850 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc815\uccb4\ub3fc \uc788\uc73c\uba70 23,000~23,250 \uad6c\uac04\uc740 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774\ub77c\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc800\ud56d(\uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ub9c9\ub294 \uac00\uaca9\ub300)\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. DAX \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac) \uc911 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(\ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud55c \ud589\uc0ac\uac00, \ube44\uc6a9\uc740 \ub0ae\uc9c0\ub9cc \ubbfc\uac10\ub3c4\ub294 \ub0ae\uc74c)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 6\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30(\uad8c\ub9ac \ud589\uc0ac \uac00\ub2a5 \uae30\uac04 \uc885\ub8cc \uc2dc\uc810)\ub97c \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \uc7a1\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. 22,000\uc120 \uc774\ud0c8 \uc2dc\uc5d0\ub294 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \ubd95\uad34\ub85c \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ucd08\uae30 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uba74\uc11c \ud558\ub77d \uad00\uc810\uc744 \ud45c\ud604\ud558\ub824\uba74 23,250 \uc800\ud56d \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub9e4\ub3c4(\ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ucf5c\uc744 \ud314\uace0 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ucf5c\uc744 \uc0ac\uc11c \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\uac00 \ub300\uc548\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ud558\ub77d, \ud6a1\ubcf4, \uc2dc\uac04 \uacbd\uacfc(\uc635\uc158\uc758 \uc2dc\uac04\uac00\uce58 \uac10\uc18c)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\ub9ac\ud574 \uae09\ub77d\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \ud558\ub77d \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \ub9de\ub294\ub2e4. \ub3c5\uc77c \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 0.1% \uc5ed\uc131\uc7a5(\uc804 \ubd84\uae30 \ub300\ube44 \uac10\uc18c)\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4 \uc0c1\ubc29 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \uc18c\uc9c4(\uc0c1\uc2b9 \ub3d9\ub825 \uc57d\ud654) \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc9c0\uc218 \uc678\uc5d0\ub294 \ud398\uc5b4 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc(\uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac15\ud55c \uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \uc0ac\uace0 \uc57d\ud55c \uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \ud30c\ub294 \uc0c1\ub300\uac00\uce58 \uc804\ub7b5) \ud658\uacbd\ub3c4 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4. \uc18c\ube44 \uc218\uc694 \uc57d\ud654\ub294 \uc5c5\uc885\ubcc4\ub85c \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \ub2e4\ub974\uac8c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uacbd\uae30 \ubbfc\uac10\ub3c4\uac00 \ud070 \uc720\ub7fd \uc790\ub3d9\ucc28\u00b7\uc0b0\uc5c5\uc7ac\ub294 \uc57d\uc138(\ud558\ub77d) \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc5d0 \ucde8\uc57d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uace0, \ud5ec\uc2a4\ucf00\uc5b4\u00b7\uc720\ud2f8\ub9ac\ud2f0(\uc804\uae30\u00b7\uac00\uc2a4 \ub4f1 \uacf5\uacf5\uc694\uae08 \uae30\ubc18) \uac19\uc740 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc8fc(\uacbd\uae30\uc640 \ubb34\uad00\ud558\uac8c \uc2e4\uc801 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc740 \uc5c5\uc885)\ub294 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801 \uac15\uc138\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ud5a5\ud6c4 \ud655\uc778\ud560 \uc2e0\ud638\ub294 \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(\uad6d\ucc44 \ub300\ube44 \ud68c\uc0ac\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774\ub85c, \uae30\uc5c5 \uc790\uae08\uc870\ub2ec \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ubc18\uc601)\uc640 \uc2e4\uc801 \uc0ac\uc804 \uacf5\uc9c0(\uc2e4\uc801 \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4: \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc2e4\uc801 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc81c\uc2dc\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ud558\ud5a5\ud558\ub294 \uac83)\ub2e4. \uae30\uc5c5 \ucc28\uc785\ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \uc624\ub974\uace0 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc774 \uc2e4\uc801 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uba74 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \ub354 \ub69c\ub837\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\uc720\ub85c\uc874 4\uc6d4 \uc885\ud569 PMI 48.6\uc73c\ub85c 1\ub144 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \uc704\ucd95 \uc804\ud658. \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uae09\ub7ad, \uc81c\uc870 \uac1c\uc120\uc740 \uc7ac\uace0 \uc601\ud5a5. \ud22c\uc785\ube44\u00b7\uc0b0\ucd9c\uac00\uaca9 \uae09\ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \uc2a4\ud0dc\uadf8\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824, ECB \ub51c\ub808\ub9c8. DAX \uc800\ud56d\ub300 \uadfc\uc811, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u00b7\ud48b \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45373","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45373","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45373"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45373\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45373"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45373"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45373"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}