{"id":45354,"date":"2026-04-23T13:50:55","date_gmt":"2026-04-23T13:50:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%9c%a0%eb%9f%bd%ec%9e%a5%ec%84%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-4%ea%b1%b0%eb%9e%98%ec%9d%bc-%ec%97%b0%ec%86%8d-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%84%b8-%ec%9d%b4%ec%96%b4-159-75%ec%84%a0-%ea%b7%bc%ec%a0%91\/"},"modified":"2026-04-23T13:50:55","modified_gmt":"2026-04-23T13:50:55","slug":"%ec%9c%a0%eb%9f%bd%ec%9e%a5%ec%84%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-4%ea%b1%b0%eb%9e%98%ec%9d%bc-%ec%97%b0%ec%86%8d-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%84%b8-%ec%9d%b4%ec%96%b4-159-75%ec%84%a0-%ea%b7%bc%ec%a0%91","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9c%a0%eb%9f%bd%ec%9e%a5%ec%84%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-4%ea%b1%b0%eb%9e%98%ec%9d%bc-%ec%97%b0%ec%86%8d-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%ec%84%b8-%ec%9d%b4%ec%96%b4-159-75%ec%84%a0-%ea%b7%bc%ec%a0%91\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc720\ub7fd\uc7a5\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4, 4\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138 \uc774\uc5b4 159.75\uc120 \uadfc\uc811\u2026\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u00b7\uc720\uac00\ubc1c \uc218\uc694\uc5d0 \uc9c0\uc9c0"},"content":{"rendered":"

USD\/JPY\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc720\ub7fd\uc7a5 \ucd08\ubc18 159.75\uc120\uae4c\uc9c0 4\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611(\uc911\ub3d9\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc6d0\uc720 \uc218\uc1a1\ub85c) \uc7a5\uae30 \ud3d0\uc1c4\ub85c \uc720\uac00\uac00 \uc624\ub978 \uc810\uc774 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc92c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc9c0\uc218(DXY\u00b7\uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 0.2% \uc624\ub978 98.80\uc120\uc73c\ub85c, 1\uc8fc\uc77c\uc5ec \ub9cc\uc758 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9) \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub838\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub0ae\ucdc4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Fed Policy Expectations<\/h3>\n

CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c FOMC \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 12\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.50%~3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc740 76.8%\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud55c\uad6d\uc2dc\uac04 13:45(GMT \uae30\uc900) \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294 4\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d S&P \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c PMI \uc608\ube44\uce58\ub3c4 \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. PMI(\uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7\uae30\uc5c5 \uc124\ubb38\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uae30 \ud655\uc7a5\/\uc704\ucd95\uc744 \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5\uacfc \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \uc99d\uac00\ub85c \uac1c\uc120\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc5d4\ud654\ub294 4\uc6d4 28\uc77c(\ud654) \uc608\uc815\ub41c \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BoJ\u00b7\uc77c\ubcf8 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589) \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ud63c\uc870\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \uc0bc\uac01\ud615(Descending Triangle\u00b7\uc800\uc810\uc740 \ube44\uc2b7\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uace0\uc810\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\ub294 \ud328\ud134) \uc0c1\ub2e8 \ub3cc\ud30c \uc774\ud6c4 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. 20\uc77c \uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(EMA\u00b7\ucd5c\uadfc \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud070 \uac00\uc911\uc744 \uc8fc\ub294 \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0)\uc740 159.11\uc120, RSI(\uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7\uacfc\ub9e4\uc218\/\uacfc\ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud310\ub2e8 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 57 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 160.46, \uc774\ud6c4 161.00\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub410\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 159.41, \uc774\ud6c4 159.11\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\uace0, \ucd94\uac00 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 157.64 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uc5b8\uae09\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Market Pricing Shift<\/h3>\n

\uc774\ub7f0 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \ubc14\uafe8\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec\uae4c\uc9c0\ub9cc \ud574\ub3c4 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uac8c \ubcf4\ub358 \uc2dc\uac01\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ucd5c\uadfc\uc5d0\ub294 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc6b0\uc138\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc130\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c\ub3c4 12\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 3.50%~3.75% \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \ud655\ub960\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub192\uac8c \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\ub294 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uacac\uc870\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\uace0 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \u2018\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\u2019(hawkish\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc7a1\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc131\ud5a5) \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \uc900\ub2e4. 3\uc6d4 \uadfc\uc6d0 CPI(\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\uc2dd\ud488\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218)\uac00 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.1%\ub85c, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub358 3% \uc544\ub798 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ube57\ub098\uac04 \uc810\ub3c4 \uc774\ub7f0 \uc778\uc2dd\uc5d0 \ud798\uc744 \uc2e4\uc5c8\ub2e4. 4\uc6d4 S&P PMI\uac00 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uacbd\uae30 \ub0b4\uad6c\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud310\ub2e8\uc774 \ub354 \uac15\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubc18\uba74 \uc5d4\ud654\ub294 4\uc6d4 28\uc77c \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589 \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 2024\ub144\uc758 \u2018\uc0c1\uc9d5\uc801\u2019 \uc218\uc900\uc758 \uc18c\ud3ed \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \uc5f0\uc900\uacfc\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uaca9\ucc28(\uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774)\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \ubc8c\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \uc5d4\ud654 \uc57d\uc138\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ubc30\uacbd\uc73c\ub85c \uaf3d\ud78c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \ub4f1 \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488) \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04 USD\/JPY \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \uc3e0\ub9b0\ub2e4. \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc635\uc158) \ub9e4\uc218\ub85c 160.50\uacfc 161.00 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00(\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uac00\uaca9) \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc7a5\uae30 \uace0\uc810\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc640 \uc77c\ubcf8 \uc7ac\ubb34\uc131\uc758 \u2018\uad6c\ub450 \uac1c\uc785\u2019(\uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uacbd\uace0 \ubc1c\uc5b8) \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \uacbd\uacc4 \uc694\uc778\uc774\ub2e4. 20\uc77c EMA\uc778 159.11\uc120\uc744 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0, \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1) \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uad00\ub9ac\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc9c0\uc801\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\uc720\uac00 \ub3d9\ubc18 \uac15\uc138\u201d USD\/JPY 159.75\ub85c 4\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \uc0c1\uc2b9. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uc6b0\ub824\u2191, \uc5f0\uc900 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uae30\ub300 \ud655\uc0b0(12\uc6d4 76.8%). BoJ \uc55e\ub454 \uc5d4 \uc57d\uc138 \uc9c0\uc18d.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45354","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45354","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45354"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45354\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45354"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45354"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45354"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}