{"id":45276,"date":"2026-04-22T19:50:47","date_gmt":"2026-04-22T19:50:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%a1%9c%ec%9d%b4%ed%84%b0-%ec%a1%b0%ec%82%ac%ec%97%90-%eb%94%b0%eb%a5%b4%eb%a9%b4-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c%ed%95%99%ec%9e%90%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%b4-9%ec%9b%94%ea%b9%8c%ec%a7%80\/"},"modified":"2026-04-22T19:50:47","modified_gmt":"2026-04-22T19:50:47","slug":"%eb%a1%9c%ec%9d%b4%ed%84%b0-%ec%a1%b0%ec%82%ac%ec%97%90-%eb%94%b0%eb%a5%b4%eb%a9%b4-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c%ed%95%99%ec%9e%90%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%b4-9%ec%9b%94%ea%b9%8c%ec%a7%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%a1%9c%ec%9d%b4%ed%84%b0-%ec%a1%b0%ec%82%ac%ec%97%90-%eb%94%b0%eb%a5%b4%eb%a9%b4-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c%ed%95%99%ec%9e%90%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%80-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%b4-9%ec%9b%94%ea%b9%8c%ec%a7%80\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub85c\uc774\ud130 \uc870\uc0ac\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uacbd\uc81c\ud559\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 9\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud55c \ub4a4 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ub85c\uc774\ud130\uac00 \uacbd\uc81c\ud559\uc790 103\uba85\uc744 \ub300\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc2e4\uc2dc\ud55c \uc124\ubb38\uc870\uc0ac \uacb0\uacfc, \ubbf8\uad6d \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \u2018\ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\u2019\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c \uac83\uc774\ub780 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ub298\uc5c8\uace0, \uc644\ud654(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558) \uc2dc\uc810\uc740 \ub4a4\ub85c \ubc00\ub9ac\ub294 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc124\ubb38\uc5d0\uc11c 103\uba85 \uc911 56\uba85\uc740 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900)\uac00 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac(\uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \ubaa9\ud45c\ubc94\uc704)\ub97c \ucd5c\uc18c 9\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 3.5%~3.75%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. 3\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \uc870\uc0ac\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uadf8 \uc2dc\uc810\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd5c\uc18c \ud55c \ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc804\ub9dd\ud55c \uc751\ub2f5\uc774 \ub300\ub2e4\uc218\uc600\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc804\ub9dd \uc0c1\ud5a5<\/h3>\n

\uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(PCE) \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\uac00 \uc62c\ub77c\uac14\ub2e4. PCE\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc9c0\ucd9c\ud55c \ud488\ubaa9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c, \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ubb3c\uac00 \ud310\ub2e8\uc5d0 \uc911\uc2dc\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub2e4. \uacbd\uc81c\ud559\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 PCE\uac00 2\ubd84\uae30 \ud3c9\uade0 3.7%, 3\ubd84\uae30 3.4%, 4\ubd84\uae30 3.2%\uac00 \ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd24\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

3\uc6d4 \uc870\uc0ac\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uac19\uc740 \ubd84\uae30 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\uac00 \uac01\uac01 3.3%, 3.1%, 2.9%\uc600\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \ub454\ud654(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud558\ub77d) \uc18d\ub3c4\uac00 \uc774\uc804 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub290\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 103\uba85 \uc911 71\uba85\uc740 \uc5f0\ub9d0 \uc804 \ucd5c\uc18c 1\ucc28\ub840 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc788\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud558\ubc18\uae30\uc5d0 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc644\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \uae30\ubc18\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \uad00\uc810\uc758 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud568\uc758<\/h3>\n

\ud604\uc7ac\ub3c4 \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \uad6d\uba74\uc774\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 3\uc6d4 \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE(Core PCE)\ub294 2.8%\ub85c, \uc5f0\uc900 \ubaa9\ud45c(\ud1b5\uc0c1 2%)\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uba70 \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00\ub85c, \uae30\uc870\uc801 \ubb3c\uac00 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c(Fed Funds futures\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488)\uc774 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 2026\ub144 6\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \ub450 \ub2ec \uc804 70%\ub300\uc5d0\uc11c 35%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c SOFR(\ub2f4\ubcf4\ubd80 \uc775\uc77c\uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ub300\ud45c\uc801 \ubb34\uc704\ud5d8 \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac \uc9c0\ud45c) \uc120\ubb3c \uc635\uc158\uc774 \uc720\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ucee8\ub300 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\u00b7\ud48b \ub3d9\uc2dc \ub9e4\uc218)\uc774\ub098 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(\uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\u00b7\ud48b \ub3d9\uc2dc \ub9e4\uc218) \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c\ub4e0 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uba74 \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \uc0dd\uae34\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c \ucda9\uaca9 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \u2018\uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc758 \ub192\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00\u2019\uc77c\uc9c0, \u2018\uac11\uc791\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\u2019\uc77c\uc9c0 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub610\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(VIX\u00b7S&P500 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uacf5\ud3ec\/\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 \ud604\uc7ac 17 \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \uc815\ucc45 \ubcc0\uc218\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \ucda9\uaca9 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 6~7\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 VIX \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc635\uc158)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uba74 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub0ae\uc740 \ube44\uc6a9\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae09\ubcc0\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ud5e4\uc9c0(\uc704\ud5d8 \ud68c\ud53c) \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc5f0\uc900 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \ub098\uc62c \ub54c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud55c \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \u2018\uc5f0\ub0b4 \uc778\ud558\u2019\ub97c \uae30\ub300\ud558\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc720\ub85c\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub610\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c\uc758 \uce98\ub9b0\ub354 \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(\ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \ub2e4\ub978 \ub450 \uacc4\uc57d\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uace0\ud30c\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \u2018\uc2dc\uc810\u2019\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d4\ubb3c(\uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \ub9cc\uae30)\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\uace0 \uc6d0\uc6d4\ubb3c(\ub098\uc911 \ub9cc\uae30)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uba74, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc644\ud654 \uae30\ub300 \uc2dc\uc810\uc744 \ub354 \ub4a4\ub85c \ubbf8\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \ucd5c\uc885 \ubc29\ud5a5\ubcf4\ub2e4 \u2018\ud0c0\uc774\ubc0d \ubcc0\ud654\u2019\uc5d0\uc11c \uc131\uacfc\uac00 \ub09c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \ub354 \uc624\ub798\u201d \uc804\ub9dd \ud655\uc0b0: \ub85c\uc774\ud130 \uc124\ubb38\uc11c \uc5f0\uc900 9\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc6b0\uc138, PCE \uc804\ub9dd \uc0c1\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud558 \uc9c0\uc5f0. \uc120\ubb3c \uc778\ud558\ud655\ub960 \uae09\ub77d, SOFR\u00b7VIX \uc635\uc158 \ubc0f \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u00b7\ud0c0\uc774\ubc0d \ub300\uc751.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45276","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45276","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45276"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45276\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45276"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45276"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45276"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}