{"id":45272,"date":"2026-04-22T18:50:56","date_gmt":"2026-04-22T18:50:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%9d%b8%eb%8d%b1%ec%8a%a4-%ec%a3%bc%ea%b0%84-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a0%90-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%eb%af%b8-%ed%95%b4%ea%b5%b0-%eb%b4%89%ec%87%84%eb%a1%9c\/"},"modified":"2026-04-22T18:50:56","modified_gmt":"2026-04-22T18:50:56","slug":"%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%9d%b8%eb%8d%b1%ec%8a%a4-%ec%a3%bc%ea%b0%84-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a0%90-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%eb%af%b8-%ed%95%b4%ea%b5%b0-%eb%b4%89%ec%87%84%eb%a1%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%9d%b8%eb%8d%b1%ec%8a%a4-%ec%a3%bc%ea%b0%84-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a0%90-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%eb%af%b8-%ed%95%b4%ea%b5%b0-%eb%b4%89%ec%87%84%eb%a1%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4, \uc8fc\uac04 \uace0\uc810 \ubd80\uadfc \uc720\uc9c0\u2026\ubbf8 \ud574\uad70 \ubd09\uc1c4\ub85c \uc774\ub780 \ud734\uc804 \uc5f0\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300 \uc57d\ud654"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c 1\uc8fc\uc77c\ub798 \uace0\uc810 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\ud569\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70, \uc7a5\uc911 \uc800\uc810 98.21\uc744 \ucc0d\uc740 \ub4a4 98.40\uc120\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc740 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud734\uc804 \uc5f0\uc7a5\uc774 \uc801\ub300\ud589\uc704 \uc885\ub8cc\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \u2018\uc77c\uc2dc \uc815\uc9c0\u2019\ub85c \ubc1b\uc544\ub4e4\uc5ec\uc9c4 \ub370 \ub530\ub978 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud480\uc774\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \ud734\uc804 \ub9cc\ub8cc\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc774\ub97c \uc5f0\uc7a5\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc774\ub780\uc740 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub3d9\uc758\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uace0, \ud14c\ud5e4\ub780\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ud574\uc0c1 \ubd09\uc1c4(\ud574\uad70\uc774 \ud574\uc5ed\uc744 \ud1b5\uc81c\ud574 \uc120\ubc15 \uc774\ub3d9\uacfc \ubb3c\uc790 \ubc18\uc785\uc744 \ub9c9\ub294 \uc870\uce58)\uac00 \ud611\uc0c1\uc5d0 \uc7a5\uc560\uac00 \ub41c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc640 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611<\/h3>\n

\ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638 \uc2ec\ub9ac(\ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \ub354 \uc0ac\ub824\ub294 \ubd84\uc704\uae30)\uac00 \uac1c\uc120\ub418\uba70 \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0(\uc8fc\uc2dd\u00b7\uc2e0\ud765\uad6d \ud1b5\ud654 \ub4f1)\uc774 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \ubc1b\uc558\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec \uc6d0\uc720 \uc218\uc1a1\ub85c\uc778 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \uae34\uc7a5\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub5a0\ubc1b\uce58\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc720\uac00\ub294 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6cc \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub0ae\ucdc4\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 Fed\uac00 2026\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub354 \ud06c\uac8c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub85c\uc774\ud130 \uc124\ubb38\uc870\uc0ac\uc5d0\uc11c \uacbd\uc81c\ud559\uc790 103\uba85 \uc911 56\uba85\uc740 9\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \uae30\uc900 Fed \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(\uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac)\uac00 3.50%~3.75%\uac00 \ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. 3\uc6d4 \ub9d0\uc5d0\ub294 \uc57d 70%\uac00 \ucd5c\uc18c 1\ud68c \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\uc73c\ub098, \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd5c\uc18c 1\ud68c \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c \uc751\ub2f5\uc790\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 71\uba85\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubaa9\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9 \uccad\uad6c\uac74\uc218(\uc2e4\uc5c5\uc218\ub2f9\uc744 \ucc98\uc74c \uc2e0\uccad\ud55c \uac74\uc218\ub85c \uace0\uc6a9 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc640 S&P \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c PMI \uc608\ube44\uce58(\uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218\ub85c \uacbd\uae30 \ud655\uc7a5\u00b7\uc704\ucd95\uc744 \uac00\ub2a0\ud558\ub294 \uc120\ud589 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc5d0 \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \uc3e0\ub9b0\ub2e4. \uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c DXY\ub294 100\uc77c \ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120(SMA\u00b7\ucd5c\uadfc 100\uc77c \ud3c9\uade0 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc774\uc740 \uc120) 98.48, 200\uc77c SMA 98.53, 50\uc77c SMA 98.81 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 98.00\uacfc 97.63\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4. RSI(\uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7\uacfc\ub9e4\uc218\/\uacfc\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uac15\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 44 \uadfc\ucc98\uc774\uace0, MACD(\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0 \uc218\ub834\u00b7\ud655\uc0b0 \uc9c0\ud45c\u00b7\ucd94\uc138 \uc804\ud658 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc74c(-)\uc758 \uc601\uc5ed\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uc635\uc158 \ud65c\uc6a9<\/h3>\n

\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc778\ub371\uc2a4\uac00 \uae30\ucd08\uc5ec\uac74(\ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138) \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc640 \uc57d\uc138 \uae30\uc220 \uc2e0\ud638 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0 \ub07c\uc778 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c, \uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud55c \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uc0b4\/\ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \uac70\ub798\uac00 \ub300\uc548\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud574\uc0c1 \ubd09\uc1c4\ub97c \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \uae34\uc7a5 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uc7ac\uace0\uc870 \ub610\ub294 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uc801 \ub3cc\ud30c\uad6c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uae09\ub4f1\ub77d\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uad00\ub828 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\u00b7\ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ubc29\ud5a5\uacfc \ubb34\uad00\ud558\uac8c \ud070 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc138\uacc4 \uc6d0\uc720\uc758 \uc57d 20%\uac00 \ud1b5\uacfc\ud558\ub294 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc758 \uae34\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc900\ub2e4. 2019\ub144 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc9c0\uc5ed \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870 \ub54c\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \uae09\ub4f1\uc774 \uc7ac\ud604\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. WTI \ub610\ub294 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720 \uc120\ubb3c(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \ubbf8\ub798\uc5d0 \uc6d0\uc720\ub97c \uc0ac\uace0\ud30c\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc624\ub97c \ub54c \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \ub9e4\uc218 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uac08\ub4f1 \uc545\ud654\uc640 \uc720\uac00 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud55c \ubc29\ubc95\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\uc548\uc744 \ub192\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. VIX(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7S&P500 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0\uc11c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \u2018\uacf5\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc218\u2019)\ub294 22\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uba70 \uc5f0\uc911 \uc800\uc810 \ub300\ube44 \ub192\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc911\ub3d9\ubc1c \ucda9\uaca9 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud55c\ub2e4. VIX \uc120\ubb3c\uc774\ub098 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624\ub97c \ud5e4\uc9c0(\uac00\uaca9 \uae09\ubcc0 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4 \uac70\ub798)\ud558\uac70\ub098, \ud574\uc0c1 \ubd09\uc1c4\uac00 \uc9c1\uc811 \ucda9\ub3cc\ub85c \ubc88\uc9c8 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uacf5\ud3ec \uc2ec\ub9ac \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uae08\ub9ac \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9c0\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc2a4\uc651\u00b7\uc635\uc158)\ub3c4 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uace0\uc720\uac00\uac00 \uc624\ub798 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 Fed\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ubc14\uafb8\uace0 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 9\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc744 20% \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 2025\ub144 \ub9d0 \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc5ec\ub7ec \ucc28\ub840 \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc6b0\uc138\ud588\ub358 \uac83\uacfc \ub300\ube44\ub41c\ub2e4. SOFR \uc120\ubb3c(\ub2f4\ubcf4\ubd80 \uc775\uc77c\uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ubc18\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c)\uc774\ub098 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c(Fed \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c)\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\uba74, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub300\uc751\uc73c\ub85c \u2018\ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\u2019\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud574\uc57c \ud558\ub294 Fed\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uc774\ubc88 \ub300\uce58\uac00 \ud070 \uacb0\ub860 \uc5c6\uc774 \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\ub41c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4\uba74, \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc5d0 \uac07\ud790 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 98.50 \ubd80\uadfc \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc774 \ub9c9\ud788\uace0 98.00 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \ubc1b\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. DXY\uc5d0\uc11c \uc544\uc774\uc5b8 \ucf58\ub3c4\ub974(\uc0c1\ub2e8\u00b7\ud558\ub2e8 \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \uc815\ud574 \uadf8 \uc548\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uba74 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc\uac04 \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 \uc8fc\uc694 \uae30\uc220 \uad6c\uac04 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uae30\ub300\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\ud734\uc804 \uc5f0\uc7a5=\uc548\ub3c4\u201d\uc77c\uae4c? DXY, \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \u2018\uc77c\uc2dc\uc815\uc9c0\u2019 \ud574\uc11d \uc18d 98.40 \ubcf4\ud569. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uae34\uc7a5\u00b7\uace0\uc720\uac00\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac\ub3d9\uacb0 \uae30\ub300 \uc9c0\uc9c0, \uae30\uc220 \uc57d\uc138 \uc18d \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45272","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45272","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45272"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45272\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45272"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45272"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45272"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}