{"id":45265,"date":"2026-04-22T16:53:44","date_gmt":"2026-04-22T16:53:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%86%8c%ec%8b%9c%ec%97%90%ed%85%8c%ec%a0%9c%eb%84%a4%eb%9e%84%ec%9d%98-%ed%82%b7-%ec%a3%bc%ed%81%ac%ec%8a%a4-%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85%c2%b7%ec%a7%80%ec%a0%95%ed%95%99-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac\/"},"modified":"2026-04-22T16:53:44","modified_gmt":"2026-04-22T16:53:44","slug":"%ec%86%8c%ec%8b%9c%ec%97%90%ed%85%8c%ec%a0%9c%eb%84%a4%eb%9e%84%ec%9d%98-%ed%82%b7-%ec%a3%bc%ed%81%ac%ec%8a%a4-%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85%c2%b7%ec%a7%80%ec%a0%95%ed%95%99-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%86%8c%ec%8b%9c%ec%97%90%ed%85%8c%ec%a0%9c%eb%84%a4%eb%9e%84%ec%9d%98-%ed%82%b7-%ec%a3%bc%ed%81%ac%ec%8a%a4-%ec%a0%95%ec%b1%85%c2%b7%ec%a7%80%ec%a0%95%ed%95%99-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc18c\uc2dc\uc5d0\ud14c\uc81c\ub124\ub784\uc758 \ud0b7 \uc8fc\ud06c\uc2a4 \u201c\uc815\ucc45\u00b7\uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uac00 \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138\uc744 \uc555\ub3c4\u2026\uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud6a1\ubcf4 \uc804\ub9dd\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc18c\uc2dc\uc5d0\ud14c\uc81c\ub124\ub784(Societe Generale)\uc758 \ud0b7 \uc8fc\ud06c\uc2a4(Kit Juckes)\ub294 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8\uacfc \ubbf8\uad6d \uc815\ucc45 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \uacbd\uc81c \ubcc0\uc218\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc0c1\uc1c4\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec(EUR\/USD)\uac00 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c(\uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub2e4\ubd24\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8\ud68c\ud53c(\ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \ubd84\uc704\uae30) \uad6d\uba74\uc774 \uc678\ud658(FX\u00b7\uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5) \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub0ae\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud574 G10(\uc8fc\uc694 10\uac1c\uad6d) \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc774 \uc881\uc740 \uac70\ub798 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uadf8\ub294 2\ub144\ubb3c \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28(\ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc720\ub85c\uc874 2\ub144 \ub9cc\uae30 \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28)\uac00 EUR\/USD \uc801\uc815 \uc218\uc900\uc744 1.14 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9da\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd(\ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4)\uc774 \ub9de\ub2e4\uba74 \ud5a5\ud6c4 1\ub144 \ub3d9\uc548 1.17 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0\ub3c4 \ud588\ub2e4. \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4 GDP(\uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0) \uc804\ub9dd \uc5ed\uc2dc 1.14\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uacfc \ubd80\ud569\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Range Bound Outlook<\/h3>\n<p>\uadf8\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654 \uc57d\uc138 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \u2018\uc57d\ub2ec\ub7ec\u2019\uc640 \u2018\uc800\uae08\ub9ac\u2019\ub97c \uc120\ud638\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud600\uc628 \uc810\uacfc \uc5f0\uacb0\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4dc\ub294 \uad6d\uba74\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\ub2e4\uba70, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub0b4 EUR\/USD\uac00 1.20\uc73c\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\uc544\uac08 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 EUR\/USD\uac00 \uc0c1\ubc18\ub41c \uc694\uc778 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0 \ub07c\uc5ec \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28 \uac19\uc740 \uacbd\uc81c \uae30\ucd08\uc5ec\uac74(\ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138)\uc740 \ud658\uc728\uc774 1.14\uc5d0 \ub354 \uac00\uae4c\uc6cc\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc815\ucc45 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc628\uc804\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ub9c9\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub370\uc774\ud130\ub9cc \ubcf4\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138(\uc989 EUR\/USD \ud558\ub77d)\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 3\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960) \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 3.1%\ub85c \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\uace0, \uc774\uc5d0 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\ub294 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \uc2e0\uc911\ud558\uace0 \uae34\ucd95 \uc131\ud5a5\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ud0dc\ub3c4)\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc758 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 0.2%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub410\uace0, \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc774 \uc644\ud654\uc801 \uae30\uc870(\uacbd\uae30 \ubd80\uc591\uc744 \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0ae\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uac70\ub098 \uc778\ud558\ud558\ub294 \ud0dc\ub3c4)\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6b0\uba74\uc11c \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uad34\ub9ac(\ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5 \ucc28\uc774)\uac00 \ud655\ub300\ub418\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Trading Strategy Considerations<\/h3>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc \ud604 \ubbf8\uad6d \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uc57d\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \u2018\uc0c1\ub2e8\u2019(\ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uc694\uc778)\uc774 \ud615\uc131\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc218\ucd9c\uc744 \ub298\ub9ac\ub824\ub294 \uc815\uce58\uc801 \uc555\ub825\uc774 EUR\/USD\ub97c \ub5a0\ubc1b\uce58\uba70 1.20 \ubcf5\uadc0 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6b0\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc694\uc778\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ubd84\uc11d\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uacac\uc870\ud568\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ucd5c\uadfc \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354(\ub2e8\uae30 \ub9e4\ub9e4\uc790) \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\uc740 \ub3d9\uc548 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \ub9e4\ub9e4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. \ub3c4\uc774\uccb4\ubc29\ud06c \ud1b5\ud654 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \u2018\ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300\u2019\ub97c \uc9c0\uc218\ud654\ud55c \uac83)\ub294 2025\ub144 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc870\uc815 \uc804 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4, \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud314\uc544 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\uc5d0 \ub9e4\ub825\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4. EUR\/USD\uac00 1.1400~1.1750 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c \ub54c \uc218\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544 \ub3cc\ud30c\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uac83\ub3c4 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654 \uc870\uc9d0\uc774\ub098 \uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134\uc758 \ub354 \uac15\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \ub4dc\ub77c\uc774\ube0c\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uae09\ub77d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. EUR\/USD\uc758 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\ud604\uc7ac \ud658\uc728\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ub9e4\uc218\uad8c)\uc744 \uc800\ub834\ud558\uac8c \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uba74 1.20\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ud655\ubcf4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>2025\ub144 \ud558\ubc18\uae30\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \uc591\uc0c1\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. Fed\uac00 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801\uc774\uc5c8\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc815\uce58\uad8c \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774 \uc774\ub97c \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a4\uba70 \uae09\uaca9\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc624\ub798\uac00\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ud658\uc728 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc(\uae09\ub4f1\ub77d \ud6c4 \ube60\ub978 \ubc18\uc804)\uc774 \ubc18\ubcf5\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c \ub17c\ub9ac\ub294 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uba85\ud655\ud574\ub3c4, \uc815\uce58 \ubcc0\uc218(\uc608\uce21\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \ubcc0\uc218)\uac00 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc9c0\ubc30\uc801 \uc694\uc778\uc784\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \uacbd\uacc4\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\uc815\uce58\uac00 \ud658\uc728\uc744 \ub20c\ub800\ub2e4\u201d\u2026\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\u00b7\u7f8e\uc815\ucc45 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc5d0 EUR\/USD \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc804\ub9dd. \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28\ub294 1.14, \ucee8\uc13c\uc11c\uc2a4\uba74 1.17. \uc57d\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc555\ub825 \ub550 1.20 \ud68c\uadc0\u00b7\uc800\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45265","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45265","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45265"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45265\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45265"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45265"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45265"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}