{"id":45192,"date":"2026-04-22T00:23:46","date_gmt":"2026-04-22T00:23:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%99%80-%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%eb%af%b8%c2%b7%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80\/"},"modified":"2026-04-22T00:23:46","modified_gmt":"2026-04-22T00:23:46","slug":"%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%99%80-%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%eb%af%b8%c2%b7%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%99%80-%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%ea%b8%b4%ec%9e%a5-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%eb%af%b8%c2%b7%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc640 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\uc5d0 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \ud3c9\ud654\ud611\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300 \uc57d\ud654\u2026\uae08\uac12 \ud558\ub77d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08\uac12\uc740 15\uc77c(\ud654) \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654\uac00 \uc18c\ud3ed \ubc18\ub4f1\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 4,700\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 \ud558\ub8e8 \uae30\uc900 \uac70\uc758 2.50% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \uae34\uc7a5 \uc7ac\ubd80\uac01\ub3c4 \ud22c\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac\ub97c \uc9d3\ub20c\ub800\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c\ub3c4 \uae08\uac12\uc5d0 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ub354\ud588\ub2e4. 3\uc6d4 \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4(\uac00\uacc4\uc758 \uc18c\ube44 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 1.7% \uc99d\uac00\ud574 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(1.4%)\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\uace0, 2\uc6d4 \uc218\uce58\ub294 0.7%\ub85c \uc0c1\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub410\ub2e4. ADP \uace0\uc6a9\ubcc0\ud654 4\uc8fc \ud3c9\uade0(\ubbfc\uac04\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9 \ucd94\uc815\uce58)\ub3c4 3\ub9cc9,000\uba85\uc5d0\uc11c 5\ub9cc4,800\uba85\uc73c\ub85c \ub298\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Market Drivers And Geopolitical Signals<\/h3>\n<p>\ud30c\ud0a4\uc2a4\ud0c4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f4\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 2\ucc28 \ud3c9\ud654\ud611\uc0c1\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ud574 \ubcf4\ub3c4\ub294 \uc5c7\uac08\ub838\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780 \uad6d\uc601\ubc29\uc1a1\uc740 \ud154\ub808\uadf8\ub7a8\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc774\ub780 \ub300\ud45c\ub2e8\uc774 \uc774\uc2ac\ub77c\ub9c8\ubc14\ub4dc\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubc31\uc545\uad00 \uad00\uacc4\uc790\ub294 JD \ubc34\uc2a4 \ubd80\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \ud611\uc0c1\uc744 \uc704\ud574 \uc544\uc9c1 \ucd9c\ubc1c\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. 2\uc8fc\uac04\uc758 \ud734\uc804\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc885\ub8cc\ub420 \uc608\uc815\uc774\uba70, \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \uc774\ub97c \uc5f0\uc7a5\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \u201c\ub9e4\uc6b0 \ub0ae\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \ud588\ub2e4. \ub610 \ud569\uc758\uac00 \uc11c\uba85\ub418\uae30 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \uac1c\ubc29\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc740 \ubbf8 \ud574\uad70 \uc804\ub825\uacfc \uc774\ub780\uc758 \ub300\uc751\uc73c\ub85c \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \u2018\uc774\uc911 \ubd09\uc1c4\u2019 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc720\uac00\ub97c \ub5a0\ubc1b\uce58\uace0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9) \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ubd80\uac01\uc2dc\ud0a8\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc \uae08\ub9ac(\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac)\uac00 \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uac15\ud654\ub418\ub294\ub370, \uc774 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc774\uc790\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0\uc778 \uae08(\ubb34\uc774\uc790 \uc790\uc0b0)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>4\uc2dc\uac04 \ucc28\ud2b8 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\uc740 \ubcfc\ub9b0\uc800 \ubc34\ub4dc \uc911\uc2ec\uc120(\uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ubc94\uc704\uc758 \uc911\uac04\uc120) 4,795.92\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 4,725\ub2ec\ub7ec, 4,796\ub2ec\ub7ec, 4,867\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4. RSI(\uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7\uac00\uaca9 \uacfc\uc5f4\/\uce68\uccb4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc57d 35, ADX(\ucd94\uc138 \uac15\ub3c4\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 14 \uc218\uc900\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Volatility Strategy And Options Positioning<\/h3>\n<p>\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc778 \uc120\ud0dd\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uae08 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218\uc778 GVZ(\uae08 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uc0b0\ucd9c\ud55c \u2018\uacf5\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc218\u2019)\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc 1\uc8fc\uc77c \ub3d9\uc548 30% \uc774\uc0c1 \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. 2022\ub144 \uc6b0\ud06c\ub77c\uc774\ub098 \uc804\uc7c1 \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751\uc744 \uc5f0\uc0c1\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc73c\ub85c, \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc740 \ube44\uc2f8\uc84c\uc9c0\ub9cc \uae09\ub4f1\ub77d \uc2dc \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub3c4 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \u2018\ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4\u2019(\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uaca9\u00b7\ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\uc740 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub098\ub294 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774 \ub098\uc62c \ub54c \ubc29\ud5a5\uacfc \ubb34\uad00\ud558\uac8c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2f9\uc7a5\uc740 \uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud55c \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud574 \ud558\ub77d \ucabd\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc6b0\uc138\ud574 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 COT(Commitment of Traders\u00b7\ubbf8 \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucc38\uc5ec\uc790 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c)\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74, \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc815\ucc45(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\/\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc720\uc9c0 \uc131\ud5a5)\uc774 \ub354 \ubd80\uac01\ub420 \ub54c \ud5e4\uc9c0\ud380\ub4dc \ub4f1 \u2018\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uae08\u2019\uc774 \ub9e4\uc218 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc815\ub9ac(\uccad\uc0b0)\ud55c \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ud611\uc0c1\uc774 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uacb0\ub82c\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\uace0 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 4,650\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ub300\uc751\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub610\ud55c \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \ubd09\uc1c4\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c WTI(\uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc6d0\uc720) \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 130\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc774\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc84\ud2f0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \uc7a1\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud574\uc11d\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4. \uae08\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud5e4\uc9c0(\ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9 \ubc29\uc5b4)\ub85c \uc790\uc8fc \uac70\ub860\ub418\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\uc790 \uc218\uc775\uc774 \uc5c6\ub294 \uae08\uc744 \ubcf4\uc720\ud560 \ub54c\uc758 \uae30\ud68c\ube44\uc6a9(\ub2e4\ub978 \uc774\uc790 \uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \ubabb \uc0ac\uc11c \uc0dd\uae30\ub294 \ube44\uc6a9)\uc744 \ub354 \ud06c\uac8c \uc758\uc2dd\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45 \uae30\uc870\uac00 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\uac8c \ubc14\ub00c\uae30 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc774\ub7f0 \uc555\ub825\uc740 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 4,725\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc774 \uac15\ud55c \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uad73\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \uc800\uc810 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae09\ub77d\uc774 \ub098\uc62c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc RSI\uac00 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \uc2e0\uc800\uc810\uc744 \ub530\ub77c\uac00\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\ub294 \u2018\uac15\uc138 \ub2e4\uc774\ubc84\uc804\uc2a4\u2019(\uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ub354 \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uc9c0\ub9cc \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ub35c \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638)\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub294\uc9c0\ub3c4 \uc810\uac80\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc758 \ud3c9\ud654 \ud569\uc758\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uc548\ub3c4 \ub7a0\ub9ac\uac00 \uac00\ub2a5\ud574, \uc678\uac00\uaca9 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0\uc11c \uba3c \ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158)\ucc98\ub7fc \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc2fc \uc635\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \u2018\uaf2c\ub9ac\uc704\ud5d8\u2019(\ud655\ub960\uc740 \ub0ae\uc9c0\ub9cc \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \ud070 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \uc704\ud5d8)\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08\uac12, \uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ubcc0\uc218\uc5d0 4700\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc120\uc11c 2.5% \uae09\ub77d. \u7f8e\uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4\u00b7\uace0\uc6a9 \ud638\uc870\ub85c \uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc6b0\ub824 \ud655\ub300. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218 \uae09\ub4f1 \uc18d \ub871\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4\u00b74650\ud48b \ub4f1 \uc635\uc158 \ub300\uc751 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45192","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\uae08\uac12, \uac15\ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ubcc0\uc218\uc5d0 4700\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc120\uc11c 2.5% \uae09\ub77d. \u7f8e\uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4\u00b7\uace0\uc6a9 \ud638\uc870\ub85c \uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc6b0\ub824 \ud655\ub300. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218 \uae09\ub4f1 \uc18d \ub871\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4\u00b74650\ud48b \ub4f1 \uc635\uc158 \ub300\uc751 \ubd80\uac01.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, 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