{"id":45181,"date":"2026-04-21T21:50:48","date_gmt":"2026-04-21T21:50:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c%ec%9d%98-%eb%8b%a4%eb%8b%88%ec%97%98-%ea%b0%88%eb%a6%ac%eb%8a%94-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92%ec%9d%80-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ed%8c%a8%ea%b6%8c%ec%97%90-%eb%8c%80%ed%95%9c-%ec%9d%b8\/"},"modified":"2026-04-21T21:50:48","modified_gmt":"2026-04-21T21:50:48","slug":"td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c%ec%9d%98-%eb%8b%a4%eb%8b%88%ec%97%98-%ea%b0%88%eb%a6%ac%eb%8a%94-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92%ec%9d%80-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ed%8c%a8%ea%b6%8c%ec%97%90-%eb%8c%80%ed%95%9c-%ec%9d%b8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c%ec%9d%98-%eb%8b%a4%eb%8b%88%ec%97%98-%ea%b0%88%eb%a6%ac%eb%8a%94-%ea%b8%88%ea%b0%92%ec%9d%80-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ed%8c%a8%ea%b6%8c%ec%97%90-%eb%8c%80%ed%95%9c-%ec%9d%b8\/","title":{"rendered":"TD\uc99d\uad8c\uc758 \ub2e4\ub2c8\uc5d8 \uac08\ub9ac\ub294 \u201c\uae08\uac12\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \ud328\uad8c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc778\uc2dd, \uc7ac\uc815 \uc9c0\uc18d\uac00\ub2a5\uc131, \ubd84\uc7c1\ubc1c \ubaa8\uba58\ud140\uc744 \ub530\ub77c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>TD\uc99d\uad8c\uc758 \ub2e4\ub2c8\uc5d8 \uac08\ub9ac\ub294 \uae08\uac12\uc744 \u2018\ud328\uad8c\uad6d \uac70\ub798(Hegemon trade\u00b7\uc138\uacc4\uac00 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ud798\uacfc \uc601\ud5a5\ub825\uc744 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\ub294\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uae08\uac12\uc774 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \ud22c\uc790 \ud750\ub984)\u2019\uc640 \uc5f0\uacb0\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ud798\uacfc \uc7ac\uc815\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uac01\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \u2018\uac00\uce58 \uc800\uc7a5 \uc218\ub2e8(store of value\u00b7\uc2dc\uac04\uc774 \uc9c0\ub098\ub3c4 \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0)\u2019 \uc5ed\ud560\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc900\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd24\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ud798\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc778\uc2dd\uc774 \ud574\uc678 \ucc44\uad8c\uc790, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ubc18\uc774 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \u2018\uacfc\ub3c4\ud55c \ud2b9\uad8c(exorbitant privilege\u00b7\uae30\ucd95\ud1b5\ud654 \ubc1c\ud589\uad6d\uc73c\ub85c\uc11c \ub0ae\uc740 \ube44\uc6a9\uc73c\ub85c \uc790\uae08\uc744 \uc870\ub2ec\ud558\uace0 \ub300\uc678\uc801\uc790\ub3c4 \uac10\ub2f9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc9c0\uc704)\u2019\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294\uc9c0\ub97c \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uc900\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uadf8\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574\uc758 \u2018\uac00\uce58 \ud6fc\uc190 \uac70\ub798(debasement trade\u00b7\ud1b5\ud654\uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c8 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc6b0\ub824\ub85c \uae08 \ub4f1 \uc2e4\ubb3c\uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \uc0ac\ub294 \ud750\ub984)\u2019\uac00 \uadc0\uae08\uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uac00\uc7a5 \ub69c\ub837\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud558\uba70, \ub450 \ud750\ub984 \ubaa8\ub450 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uac00\uce58 \uc800\uc7a5 \uae30\ub2a5\uacfc \ub9de\ub2ff\uc544 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud588\ub2e4. \uc544\uc6b8\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc601\ud5a5\ub825\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ubbff\uc74c\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc774 \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \uc9c0\ud0ac \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ub8b0\uc640 \uc5f0\uacb0\ub41c\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Hegemon Trade And The Dollar Store Of Value<\/h3>\n<p>\uac08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac \u2018\ud1b5\ud654 \ubc29\uc5b4(currency defence\u00b7\ud658\uc728 \uae09\ub4f1\ub77d\uc744 \ub9c9\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc678\ud658\uc744 \uc4f0\uac70\ub098 \uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\uc790\ubcf8\uaddc\uc81c\ub97c \ub3d9\uc6d0\ud558\ub294 \uc815\ucc45 \uad6d\uba74)\u2019 \ub2e8\uacc4\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5b4 \uc11c\ubc29\uc758 \uc644\uc2b9 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c8\uc218\ub85d \uae08\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd80\uc815\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc774 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uace0 \ub2e4\ubcc0\ud654(\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc790\uc0b0 \ube44\uc911\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uace0 \uae08\u00b7\ub2e4\ub978 \ud1b5\ud654\ub85c \ub098\ub204\ub294 \uac83)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc218\uc785\uacfc \uacbd\uae30\u00b7\ud1b5\ud654 \uc548\uc815\uc5d0 \uc6b0\uc120\uc21c\uc704\ub97c \ub450\uba74\uc11c \uae08 \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc124\uba85\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uadf8\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654 \ubc29\uc5b4\uac00 \ub05d\ub098\uac70\ub098, \ubd88\ub9ac\ud55c \ud734\uc804(ceasefire\u00b7\uc804\ud22c \uc911\ub2e8 \ud569\uc758)\uc73c\ub85c \ud1b5\ud654 \ubc29\uc5b4\uac00 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\uba74 \uae08 \uac15\uc138\uc7a5\uc758 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uad6c\uac04\uc774 \uc5f4\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd24\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uae08\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uace0 \ub2e4\ubcc0\ud654 \uc18d\ub3c4\uac00 \ube68\ub77c\uc9c0\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uacfc, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud55c \ubd80\ucc44 \ubd80\ub2f4(debt overhang\u00b7\ubd80\ucc44\uac00 \ub108\ubb34 \ucee4 \ud22c\uc790\u00b7\uc131\uc7a5\uc744 \ub204\ub974\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uacbd\uacc4\uac00 \ud568\uaed8 \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5f0\uacb0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Positioning And Options Strategy<\/h3>\n<p>\ud604\uc7ac \uc774\ub780 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc740 \uae08\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uba70 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0 \ubb36\uc5b4\ub450\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uad00\ub828 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc774 \ud1b5\ud654 \ubc29\uc5b4 \ub2e8\uacc4\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08 \ubcf4\uc720 \ud655\ub300\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc548\ubcf4\uc640 \uacbd\uc81c \uc548\uc815\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \ub9de\ucd94\uace0 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc138\uacc4\uae08\ud611\ud68c(WGC) \uc790\ub8cc\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uae08 \ub9e4\uc785\uc740 \uc9c1\uc804 \ubd84\uae30 \ub300\ube44 15% \uac10\uc18c\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub7f0 \uc6b0\uc120\uc21c\uc704 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uae08 \uc120\ubb3c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc57d\uc138~\uc911\ub9bd \uc2dc\uac01\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \uc11c\ubc29\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \ud734\uc804\uc774 \uc131\uc0ac\ub418\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uac15\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30 \ub9cc\uae30 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(put option\u00b7\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac, \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uc218\ub2e8)\uc744 \uc0ac\uc11c \ud558\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \u2018\ud5e4\uc9c0(hedge\u00b7\uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4 \uac70\ub798)\u2019\ud558\ub294 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc124\uba85\uc774\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uadfc\uc6d4 \uae08 \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131)\uc740 \uc57d 14%\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub294\ub370, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc548\uc815\uc801 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4 \ubc29\uc5b4 \ubaa9\uc801 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc758 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4dc\ub294 \ud6a8\uacfc\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub9cc \ud575\uc2ec \uae30\ud68c\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654 \ubc29\uc5b4\uac00 \uc57d\ud654\ub418\ub294 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ub098\uc628\ub2e4\ub294 \ubd84\uc11d\uc774\ub2e4. \uc81c\ub124\ubc14\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c4\ud589 \uc911\uc778 \ud611\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c \ubd88\ub9ac\ud55c \ud734\uc804 \ud569\uc758\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uac70\ub098, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc601\ud5a5\ub825\uc744 \uc783\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uba74 \uae08\uc758 \ub2e4\uc74c \ud070 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc7a5\uc774 \ucd09\ubc1c\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 1970\ub144\ub300\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c \uc6b4\uc601 \ub2a5\ub825\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2e0\ub8b0\uac00 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uae08\uacfc\uc758 \uc5f0\uacb0\uace0\ub9ac\uc5d0\uc11c \ub04a\uc5b4\uc9c4 \ub4a4 \uae08\uac12\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc7ac\ud3c9\uac00\ub41c \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uadf8\ub294 \ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \uae34 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(call option\u00b7\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac, \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc218\ub2e8)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \uae09\ub4f1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uad6c\uccb4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c 2026\ub144 9\uc6d4\u00b712\uc6d4\ubb3c \uacc4\uc57d\uc744 \uaca8\ub0e5\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud55c \ucc44 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \ub2e4\uc74c \uacb0\uc815\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ud070 \ubcc0\uc218\uc778 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ubd80\ucc44\ube44\uc728\uc744 \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd24\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \uc758\ud68c\uc608\uc0b0\uad6d(CBO\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc758\ud68c\uc758 \uc7ac\uc815 \uc804\ub9dd\uae30\uad00) \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP\u00b7\ud55c \ub098\ub77c\uac00 1\ub144 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ud55c \uc7ac\ud654\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc758 \ucd1d\ud569) \ub300\ube44 \ubd80\ucc44 \ube44\uc728\uc740 125%\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc130\ub2e4. \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \ubc14\ub00c\uba74 \uac01\uad6d\uc774 \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44 \ub4f1 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\ucc44 \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub098 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uace0\ub97c \ub2e4\ubcc0\ud654\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c, \uc774\ub7f0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \ud070 \uc218\uc775\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc8fc\uc7a5\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08\uac12, \u2018\ud328\uad8c\uad6d \uac70\ub798\u2019\ub85c \uc77d\uc5b4\ub77c. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc2e0\ub8b0\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \ubd80\ucc44\u00b7\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc774 \ubc29\ud5a5 \uacb0\uc815. \uc774\ub780 \ubd84\uc7c1 \u2018\ud1b5\ud654 \ubc29\uc5b4\u2019 \ub550 \uae08 \ub20c\ub9bc, \ubd88\ub9ac\ud55c \ud734\uc804\u00b7\uc601\ud5a5\ub825 \uc57d\ud654 \ub550 \ub2e4\uc74c \ub7a0\ub9ac. \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45181","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\uae08\uac12, \u2018\ud328\uad8c\uad6d \uac70\ub798\u2019\ub85c \uc77d\uc5b4\ub77c. \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc2e0\ub8b0\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \ubd80\ucc44\u00b7\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc774 \ubc29\ud5a5 \uacb0\uc815. \uc774\ub780 \ubd84\uc7c1 \u2018\ud1b5\ud654 \ubc29\uc5b4\u2019 \ub550 \uae08 \ub20c\ub9bc, \ubd88\ub9ac\ud55c \ud734\uc804\u00b7\uc601\ud5a5\ub825 \uc57d\ud654 \ub550 \ub2e4\uc74c \ub7a0\ub9ac. \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \uc8fc\ubaa9.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" 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