{"id":45179,"date":"2026-04-21T21:21:22","date_gmt":"2026-04-21T21:21:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a3%bc%ea%b0%80%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-%ec%84%a0%eb%ac%bc-%eb%9e%a0%eb%a6%ac-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bdsp-500-%ed%95%b5%ec%8b%ac-%ea%b8%b0%ec%88%a0\/"},"modified":"2026-04-21T21:21:22","modified_gmt":"2026-04-21T21:21:22","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a3%bc%ea%b0%80%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-%ec%84%a0%eb%ac%bc-%eb%9e%a0%eb%a6%ac-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bdsp-500-%ed%95%b5%ec%8b%ac-%ea%b8%b0%ec%88%a0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a3%bc%ea%b0%80%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-%ec%84%a0%eb%ac%bc-%eb%9e%a0%eb%a6%ac-%eb%91%94%ed%99%94%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bdsp-500-%ed%95%b5%ec%8b%ac-%ea%b8%b0%ec%88%a0\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218 \uc120\ubb3c, \ub7a0\ub9ac \ub454\ud654\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\u2026S&P 500, \ud575\uc2ec \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ud6c4\ud1f4"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218 \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 4\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810 \uc774\ud6c4 \uae09\ub4f1\ud55c \ub370 \ub530\ub978 \uc228 \uace0\ub974\uae30 \uc18d\uc5d0 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uc624\uc804 \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. S&P500 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 **\uae30\uc220\uc801(\ucc28\ud2b8) \uad6c\uac04**\uc744 \ud5a5\ud574 \ub418\ubc00\ub9ac\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uac00\ud30c\ub978 \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc77c\ub2e8 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub97c \uc870\uc808\ud558\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

S&P500\uc740 4\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810 \uae30\uc900 **\uc575\ucee4\ub4dc VWAP(\ud2b9\uc815 \uc2dc\uc810=4\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810\uc744 \u2018\uae30\uc900\uc810(\uc575\ucee4)\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \uc0bc\uc544, \uac70\ub798\ub7c9\uc744 \uac00\uc911\uce58\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud574 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud55c \ud3c9\uade0 \ub9e4\uc785\ub2e8\uac00 \uc131\uaca9\uc758 \uac00\uaca9\uc120)** \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\uc544\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. **RSI(\uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218: \ucd5c\uadfc \uc0c1\uc2b9\u00b7\ud558\ub77d \uac15\ub3c4\ub97c 0~100\uc73c\ub85c \ud45c\uc2dc\ud558\ub294 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \uc9c0\ud45c)**\ub294 70\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud574 \ub2e8\uae30 **\uacfc\uc5f4(\uacfc\ub9e4\uc218)** \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uac00\ub9ac\ud0a8\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uace0\uc810 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd08\uae30 **\ud6a1\ubcf4(\ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c) \uc870\uc815**\uc774 \ud615\uc131\ub418\ub294 \uc591\uc0c1\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Technical Levels In Focus<\/h3>\n

\uc575\ucee4\ub4dc VWAP\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uac00\uaca9\ub300\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc120\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\uba74 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uc774\ud0c8\ud558\uba74 \uc870\uc815 \ud3ed\uc774 \ub354 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uac70\uc2dc \ubcc0\uc218\ub3c4 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uac00\uac00 \uc624\ub974\uba74\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uac00\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc7ac\ud655\ub300 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6cc \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uc6b4\uc6a9 \ud3ed\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uace0, \uc8fc\uc2dd \uac00\uce58\ud3c9\uac00(\ubc38\ub958\uc5d0\uc774\uc158)\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \uc900\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc694\uc778\uc740 \uc2e4\uc801 \uae30\ub300, \uc778\uacf5\uc9c0\ub2a5(AI) \uad00\ub828 \ub099\uad00\ub860, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd94\uc138\ub2e4. \uc704\ud5d8 \uc694\uc778\uc740 \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9, \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \ucd5c\uadfc \ub7a0\ub9ac \uc774\ud6c4 \uacfc\uc5f4 \uc2e0\ud638\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uad00\uc804 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub294 \uc575\ucee4\ub4dc VWAP\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ubc18\uc751, \uc720\uac00 \ubc29\ud5a5, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 vs \uae30\uc220 \ub4f1 \uc5c5\uc885 \uc21c\ud658, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc2e4\uc801 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778\uc774\ub2e4. \uc804\ubc18 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub294 \u2018\ub9e4\ub3c4\u2019\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \u2018\uc77c\uc2dc \uc815\uc9c0\u2019\uc5d0 \uac00\uae5d\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Volatility And Positioning<\/h3>\n

S&P500\uc774 6,150\uc120\uc5d0\uc11c \uc8fc\ucda4\ud558\uba74\uc11c, 4\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810 \uc774\ud6c4 \ud070 \ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ub4a4 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub294 \uc804\ud615\uc801\uc778 \u2018\uc228 \uace0\ub974\uae30\u2019\uac00 \uad00\uce21\ub41c\ub2e4. **VIX(\uc2dc\uce74\uace0\uc635\uc158\uac70\ub798\uc18c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218: S&P500 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ub41c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\uba70 \u2018\uacf5\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc218\u2019\ub85c\ub3c4 \ubd88\ub9bc)**\ub294 12 \ubd80\uadfc \uc800\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud574 15\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uacf5\ud3ec\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \uac83\uc740 \uc544\ub2c8\uc9c0\ub9cc, **\ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ubcf4\ud5d8 \ube44\uc6a9(\uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4)**\uc774 \uc624\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uac00\uaca9\ub300\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc800\uc810(4\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810)\uc744 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \uc575\ucee4\ub4dc VWAP\ub85c, S&P500 \uae30\uc900 6,100\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\ub2e4. \ub9e4\uc218\uc138\uac00 \uc774 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \uc9c0\ud0a4\uba74 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305(\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ub178\ucd9c \ud655\ub300)\ud558\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc9c4\uc785 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\uae30 \uc704\ud574 **\ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub2e4\ub978 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 2\uac1c\ub97c \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c, \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \ub300\uc2e0 \uc218\uc775 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub428)** \uac19\uc740 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \uc774 \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \uba85\ud655\ud788 \ud558\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\uba74 \ub7a0\ub9ac \ub3d9\ub825\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc73c\ub85c, **\ud504\ub85c\ud14d\ud2f0\ube0c \ud48b(\ubcf4\uc720 \uc8fc\uc2dd\u00b7\uc9c0\uc218 \ud558\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ub9c9\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0ac\ub294 \u2018\ubcf4\ud5d8\u2019 \uc804\ub7b5)**\uc774 \ub354 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uac70\uc2dc \uc555\ub825\uc740 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b4\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc18d\uc5d0 **WTI(\ubbf8\uad6d \uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0 \uc6d0\uc720: \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ub300\ud45c \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9 \uc9c0\ud45c)**\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 92\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uba74\uc11c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9 \uae09\ub4f1\uc774 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc7ac\uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \uc790\uadf9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 2026\ub144 4\uc6d4 \uc911\uc21c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \ucd5c\uadfc CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218)\uac00 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.6%\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ud798\uc744 \ubc1b\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc5c5\uc885 \uad00\ub828 **\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \ub4f1 \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub418\ub294 \uae08\uc735\uc0c1\ud488)** \ube44\uc911\uc744 \ub298\ub9ac\uac70\ub098, \uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc\uc5d0 \ubcf4\uc218\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc811\uadfc\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\ub294 \uad11\ubc94\uc704 \uc9c0\uc218 ETF\uc778 SPY\ub098 QQQ\uc5d0\uc11c **\uc678\uac00\uaca9(OTM) \ud48b(\ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc73c\ub85c, \ubcf4\ud5d8 \uc131\uaca9\uc774 \uac15\ud558\uace0 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc800\ub834\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c)**\uc744 \uc77c\ubd80 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uae09\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294, \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 \ubb34\ub108\uc9c8 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uc9c0\ud0a4\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc800\ube44\uc6a9 \ubc29\uc5b4 \uc218\ub2e8\uc5d0 \uac00\uae5d\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc704\ub85c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \uc7a1\uc73c\uba74 \uc9c0\ubd88\ud55c \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc740 \u2018\ubcf4\ud5d8\ub8cc\u2019\ub85c \ub0a8\ub294\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ub7f0 \uad6c\ub3c4\ub294 2025\ub144 \ub9d0 \uac15\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc774\ud6c4 \ud6a1\ubcf4\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ubd84\uc744 \uc18c\ud654\ud558\uace0 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc644\ub9cc\ud558\uac8c \uc62c\ub77c\uac14\ub358 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ub5a0\uc62c\ub9ac\uac8c \ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc\uc5d0\ub294 \uc778\ub0b4\uac00 \uc131\uacfc\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\uace0, \ud6a1\ubcf4 \uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c **\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud314\uc544 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)** \uc131\uaca9\uc758 **\uc544\uc774\uc5b8 \ucf58\ub3c4\ub974(\ucf5c\u00b7\ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\ub97c \ud568\uaed8 \uc368\uc11c \uc77c\uc815 \ubc94\uc704 \ud6a1\ubcf4\ub97c \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc911\ub9bd \uc804\ub7b5)** \uac19\uc740 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc0c1\uc2b9\ubd84\uc744 \ud761\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uc2dc\uac04\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \ube45\ud14c\ud06c \uc2e4\uc801 \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \ub2e4\uc74c \ucd09\ub9e4\uac00 \ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc801\uc774 \uac15\ud558\uba74 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc744 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\uba70 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \uc7ac\uc810\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc2e4\uc801 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804\ud6c4 \uac1c\ubcc4 \uc885\ubaa9\uc758 **\ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300\uce58)**\uc744 \uc810\uac80\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc2e4\uc801 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucd98 \uc804\ub7b5 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\ub7a0\ub9ac \ub05d, \uc870\uc815 \uc2dc\uc791?\u201d S&P500 \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 4\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810 \uae09\ub4f1 \ud6c4 \uc228 \uace0\ub974\uae30. 6,100 \uc575\ucee4\ub4dc VWAP\uac00 \ubd84\uc218\ub839, RSI \uacfc\uc5f4. \uc720\uac00\u00b7\uc911\ub3d9 \ubcc0\uc218\uc5d0 VIX\ub3c4 \ubc18\ub4f1.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45179","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45179","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45179"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45179\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45179"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45179"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45179"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}