{"id":45171,"date":"2026-04-21T19:20:50","date_gmt":"2026-04-21T19:20:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%ea%b2%ac%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-%ec%8b%ac%eb%a6%ac-%ec%95%85\/"},"modified":"2026-04-21T19:20:50","modified_gmt":"2026-04-21T19:20:50","slug":"%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%ea%b2%ac%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-%ec%8b%ac%eb%a6%ac-%ec%95%85","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%98%81%ea%b5%ad-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-%ea%b2%ac%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-%ec%8b%ac%eb%a6%ac-%ec%95%85\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc601\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c \uacac\uc870\uc5d0 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \uac15\uc138\u2026\uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc2ec\ub9ac \uc545\ud654\ub85c \uc720\ub85c \uc57d\uc138 \uc18d EUR\/GBP \ud558\ub77d"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ud654\uc694\uc77c EUR\/GBP\ub294 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc601\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \ub4a4 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654(\uc2a4\ud138\ub9c1)\uac00 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778 \ubc18\uba74, \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc758 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c \uc124\ubb38\uc870\uc0ac \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4. \ud658\uc728\uc740 0.8700 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uace0, \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \uae34\uc7a5\uacfc \ud3c9\ud654\ud611\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc73c\ub85c \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc758 4\uc6d4 \uacbd\uae30\uc2ec\ub9ac\ub294 \uc545\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. ZEW \uacbd\uc81c\uc2ec\ub9ac\uc9c0\uc218(\uae30\uad00\ud22c\uc790\uac00 \ub300\uc0c1 \uc124\ubb38\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uae30 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 -8.5\uc5d0\uc11c -20.4\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\uace0, \ub3c5\uc77c ZEW \uc9c0\uc218\ub3c4 -0.5\uc5d0\uc11c -17.2\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud574 \ubaa8\ub450 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. ZEW\ub294 \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5\uacfc \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uacf5\uae09 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ucf30\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Central Bank Policy Divergence<\/h3>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9) \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uba70 \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc77c\ubd80 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub2e4. ECB \uad00\uacc4\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uacb0\uc815\uc774 \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9c8 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc601\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 3\uc6d4 \uc2e4\uc5c5\uae09\uc5ec \uc2e0\uccad\uc790 \uc218 \ubcc0\ub3d9(Claimant Count Change)\uc774 2\ub9cc6,800\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ud574 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 2\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 3\uac1c\uc6d4 \uae30\uc900 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00(Employment Change)\ub294 2\ub9cc5,000\uba85\uc73c\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub410\ub2e4. ILO \uae30\uc900 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960(\uad6d\uc81c \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc0b0\ucd9c\ud55c \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960)\uc740 5.2%\uc5d0\uc11c 4.9%\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc608\uc815\uc778 3\uc6d4 \uc601\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac14\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub85c\uc774\ud130 \uc124\ubb38\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf8\uc2a4\ud2b8 62\uba85 \uc804\uc6d0\uc774 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BoE)\uc774 4\uc6d4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(Bank Rate)\ub97c 3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610 \uc57d 53%\ub294 \uc62c\ud574 \ub0a8\uc740 \uae30\uac04\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc5c6\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd24\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud604\uc7ac EUR\/GBP\ub294 0.8550 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 1\ub144\uc5ec \uc804 0.8700 \uc218\uc900\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud558\uba74 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \ud558\ub77d\uc774\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec \ubc30\uacbd\uc740 ECB\uac00 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uba3c\uc800 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\ud558\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc778\uc2dd\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c4 \uc810\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\ubcc4\ud654(\uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc758 \ucc28\uc774)\ub294 EUR\/GBP\uc5d0 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Eurozone Growth Versus Uk Resilience<\/h3>\n

\uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uacbd\uae30\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ucde8\uc57d\ud558\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\uc2a4\ud0c0\ud2b8\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc9c0\ub09c \ubd84\uae30 \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP\u00b7\ud55c \ub098\ub77c\uc758 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c) \uc99d\uac00\uc728\uc740 0.2%\uc5d0 \uadf8\ucce4\ub2e4. \uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \ub454\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\ub974\uba74 \uc62c\uc5ec\ub984 ECB\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\ud558\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uacf5\uae09 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ud6fc\uc190\ud588\ub358 2024\ub144 \ub9d0~2025\ub144 \ucd08\uc640 \ube44\uad50\ud558\uba74 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\uac00 \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9c4 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubc18\uba74 \uc601\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\ub294 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uacac\uc870\ud574 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc601\uad6d \ud1b5\uacc4\uccad(ONS) \uc790\ub8cc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 4.3%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\uace0, \ud2b9\ud788 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 4.5%\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uba70 \uc27d\uac8c \uaebe\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ubb3c\uac00\uc758 \ub048\uc801\uc784\uc740 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc11c\ub450\ub974\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uadfc\uac70\uac00 \ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

2025\ub144 \ucd08\ub97c \ub3cc\uc544\ubcf4\uba74, \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \uc545\ud654\ub418\ub294 \ub3d9\uc548\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc601\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uacac\uc870\ud574 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uae30\uc874 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac\ub3c4 \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc8fc\ub41c \ub3d9\uc778\uc740 \uc2ec\ub9ac \ucda9\uaca9\uc5d0\uc11c \ubb3c\uac00\uc640 \uc131\uc7a5 \uacbd\ub85c\uc758 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uaca9\ucc28\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac14\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud328\ud134\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74 EUR\/GBP\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub354 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub418\ub294 \uae08\uc735\uc0c1\ud488) \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 EUR\/GBP\uc758 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\uac70\ub098 \ud558\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ubc29\uc5b4\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4. \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uba74 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub0b4 0.8400\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubca0\ud305\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub610\ub294 \ubca0\uc5b4 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(\ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uace0 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uba74 \ucd08\uae30 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc778 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uae30\ub300\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc8fc\uc694 \uad00\uc804 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc758 HICP(\uc870\ud654 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7\uc720\ub7fd \uad6d\uac00 \uac04 \ube44\uad50\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uae30\uc900\uc744 \ub9de\ucd98 \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\ud45c)\uc640 \uc601\uad6d\uc758 CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7\uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uccb4\uac10\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc601\uad6d\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ub454\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc774\ub7f0 \ub9e4\ub9e4 \uad00\uc810\uc774 \uac15\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub450 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uacbd\ub85c \ucc28\uc774\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud574 \uc904 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc18d\ubcf4: EUR\/GBP, \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc \uac15\uc138\u00b7\uc720\ub85c \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ud558\ub77d. \uc601\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9 \uacac\uc870 vs \uc720\ub85c\uc874 ZEW \uae09\ub77d, \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc18d 0.87\ub300 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c. ECB \uc870\uae30 \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45171","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45171","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45171"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45171\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45171"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45171"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45171"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}