{"id":45169,"date":"2026-04-21T18:50:37","date_gmt":"2026-04-21T18:50:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/1%eb%b6%84%ea%b8%b0-cpi-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-%ed%82%a4%ec%9c%84%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8nzd-usd-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-bbh-%ed%95%98%eb%8b%a4%eb%93%9c-rbnz-%ea%b8%88\/"},"modified":"2026-04-21T18:50:37","modified_gmt":"2026-04-21T18:50:37","slug":"1%eb%b6%84%ea%b8%b0-cpi-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-%ed%82%a4%ec%9c%84%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8nzd-usd-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-bbh-%ed%95%98%eb%8b%a4%eb%93%9c-rbnz-%ea%b8%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/1%eb%b6%84%ea%b8%b0-cpi-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%97%90-%ed%82%a4%ec%9c%84%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8nzd-usd-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9-bbh-%ed%95%98%eb%8b%a4%eb%93%9c-rbnz-%ea%b8%88\/","title":{"rendered":"1\ubd84\uae30 CPI \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ud0a4\uc704\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u2026NZD\/USD \uc0c1\uc2b9, BBH \ud558\ub2e4\ub4dc \u201cRBNZ \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ubca0\ud305 \uacfc\ub300\ud3c9\uac00\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc758 1\ubd84\uae30 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI\u00b7\uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uad6c\uc785\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0 \ubcc0\ud654)\ub294 \uc804\ubd84\uae30 \ub300\ube44 0.9% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1(0.8%)\uacfc \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBNZ) \uc804\ub9dd(0.6%)\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. 4\ubd84\uae30(0.6%)\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub3c4 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc804\uccb4 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960(\ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\u00b7CPI \uc804\uccb4 \uae30\uc900)\uc740 \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uae30 \ub300\ube44 3.1%\ub85c, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1(2.9%)\uacfc RBNZ \uc804\ub9dd(2.8%)\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c\ud588\uc73c\uba70 4\ubd84\uae30(3.1%)\uc640 \ub3d9\uc77c\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 12\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub3d9\uc548 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(\uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac)\ub97c \ucd1d 100bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\u00b70.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 3.25%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub9b4 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ub17c\ud3c9\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uae30\uc870 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\uc77c\uc2dc \uc694\uc778\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00 \ud750\ub984)\uc774 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc774\uace0, \uacbd\uc81c\uc5d0 \uc720\ud734\uc0dd\uc0b0\ub2a5\ub825(\uc218\uc694 \ub300\ube44 \ub0a8\ub294 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \uc5ec\ub825)\uc774 \uc874\uc7ac\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \uac83\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud3ed\uc774 \uc801\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Market Pricing Versus Policy Reality<\/h3>\n<p>NZD\/USD(\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728)\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c 0.5800~0.6000 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud574\ub2f9 \uae30\uc0ac\ub294 \uc778\uacf5\uc9c0\ub2a5 \ub3c4\uad6c\uc758 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc744 \ubc1b\uc544 \uc791\uc131\ub410\uace0 \ud3b8\uc9d1\uc790\uac00 \uac80\ud1a0\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc758 1\ubd84\uae30 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 3.1%\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc RBNZ \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubaa8\ub450 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac\uc2a4\uc651(\ubbf8\ub798 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uae08\ub9ac\ub85c \uad50\ud658\ud558\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488) \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud574 \ud5a5\ud6c4 12\uac1c\uc6d4 100bp \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \uacbd\uae30 \uc5ec\uac74\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud55c \ubc18\uc751\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uacbd\uc81c\uc5d0\ub294 \uc720\ud734\uc0dd\uc0b0\ub2a5\ub825\uc774 \ucda9\ubd84\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \ub9cc\ud07c\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74 2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP\u00b7\ud55c \ub098\ub77c\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c \uaddc\ubaa8\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \ud569\uacc4) \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 0.2%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub410\uace0, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\ub3c4 4.4%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 \ub192\uc9c0\ub9cc, RBNZ\uac00 \ubcf4\ub294 \uadfc\uc6d0\ubb3c\uac00(\ucf54\uc5b4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\uc2dd\ud488 \ub4f1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \ud488\ubaa9\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud574 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 2.6%\ub85c \ub354 \ub0ae\uc544 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc11c\ub450\ub974\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uadfc\uac70\uac00 \ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>RBNZ\ub294 2025\ub144\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc77c\ubd80 \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uacac\uc870\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub300\uc678 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \uc774\uc720\ub85c \uc0c1\ub2f9 \uae30\uac04 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uba48\ucd98 \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ube44\uc2b7\ud558\uac8c \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc811\uadfc\uc744 \ud0dd\ud574, \uacbd\uae30 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc774 \ub354 \ub69c\ub837\ud574\uc9c8 \ub54c\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uae30\ub300\ud558\ub294 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uacbd\ub85c\ub85c\uc758 \uc804\ud658\uc744 \uc720\ubcf4\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>NZDUSD Range And Volatility Strategy<\/h3>\n<p>\ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc5f4\uae30\uac00 \uc2dd\uc73c\uba74\uc11c NZD\/USD\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c 0.5800~0.6000 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\uac00 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \ubcc0\ud558\ub294 \uae08\uc735\uc0c1\ud488) \uac70\ub798\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c \uc720\ub9ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 0.6000\uc744 \uc57d\uac04 \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00(\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\uac70\ub098 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uac00\uaca9)\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc624\ub97c \ub54c \uc774\uc775)\uacfc 0.5800 \uc544\ub798 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\ub0b4\ub9b4 \ub54c \uc774\uc775)\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\uba74, \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc5c6\uc744 \ub54c \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc744 \uc218\ucde8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc 1\ubd84\uae30 CPI\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\u00b7RBNZ \uc804\ub9dd \uc0c1\ud68c\ud574 \u2018\uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uacbd\ubcf4\u2019\u2026\uae08\ub9ac\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 12\uac1c\uc6d4 100bp \uc778\uc0c1 \ubc18\uc601. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc720\ud734\uc0dd\uc0b0\ub2a5\ub825\u00b7\uadfc\uc6d0\ubb3c\uac00 \uc548\uc815\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\uc0c1\ud3ed \ucd95\uc18c \uac00\ub2a5, NZD\/USD 0.58~0.60 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c \uc804\ub9dd.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45169","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45169","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45169"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45169\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45169"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45169"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45169"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}