{"id":45121,"date":"2026-04-21T07:23:02","date_gmt":"2026-04-21T07:23:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%8f%89%ed%99%94%ed%9a%8c%eb%8b%b4%ec%9d%84-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-%eb%b6%88%ec%95%88%ec%9d%b4-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8\/"},"modified":"2026-04-21T07:23:02","modified_gmt":"2026-04-21T07:23:02","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%8f%89%ed%99%94%ed%9a%8c%eb%8b%b4%ec%9d%84-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-%eb%b6%88%ec%95%88%ec%9d%b4-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%8f%89%ed%99%94%ed%9a%8c%eb%8b%b4%ec%9d%84-%ec%95%9e%eb%91%90%ea%b3%a0-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-%eb%b6%88%ec%95%88%ec%9d%b4-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ea%b0%95%ec%84%b8\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \ud3c9\ud654\ud68c\ub2f4\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\uc548\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubd80\ucd94\uae30\uba70 \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c AUD\/USD \uc57d\uc138"},"content":{"rendered":"

AUD\/USD\ub294 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c 3\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc800\uc810\uc778 0.7115\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ubc18\ub4f1 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uace0 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. 0.7165 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 0.15% \ub0b4\ub838\uace0, \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uae08\uc694\uc77c \uae30\ub85d\ud55c 2022\ub144 6\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900 \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc774\ub780\uc758 \uac08\ub4f1\uc5d0 \uacc4\uc18d \uc88c\uc6b0\ub410\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc218\uc1a1\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ud1b5\ub85c\uc778 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \uae34\uc7a5\uc774, \ud30c\ud0a4\uc2a4\ud0c4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f4\ub9b4 2\ucc28 \ud3c9\ud654 \ud611\uc758\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \uacbd\uacc4 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub294 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \uc5ec\uaca8\uc9c0\ub294 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610 \uad6d\uc81c\uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc6b0\ub824(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825)\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6cc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\uace0, AUD\/USD\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Fed And Rba Policy Divergence<\/h3>\n

\ub2ec\ub7ec \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub0ae\ucdc4\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubcf4\uba74 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 Fed\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9b4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc57d 45~50%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ub410\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc740 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae34\ucd95\uc801(\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub9ac\uc9c0 \uc54a\uac70\ub098 \uc62c\ub9ac\ub294) \uae30\uc870\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

RBA\uc758 \uc564\ub4dc\ub8e8 \ud558\uc6b0\uc800 \ubd80\ucd1d\uc7ac\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \u201c\uc911\uae30 \ubb3c\uac00 \uae30\ub300(\ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uacc4\uc18d \uc624\ub97c \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\u00b7\uac00\uacc4\uc758 \uc778\uc2dd)\u201d\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub3c4\ub85d \ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc9d1\uc911\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 5\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c 25bp(0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 65%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac \uc815\uc810\uc774 2026\ub144 \uc911\ubc18 4.85%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uac08 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

AUD\/USD\ub294 0.7165 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c 2022\ub144 6\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ub9f4\ub3cc\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc555\ub825\uc740 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, 0.7115\uc5d0\uc11c\ucc98\ub7fc \ud558\ub77d \uc2dc\ub9c8\ub2e4 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(\ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ub9c9\ub294 \uac00\uaca9\ub300)\uc774 \ud615\uc131\ub418\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30 \ub4f1\ub77d\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc758 \uae30\ucd08 \uccb4\ub825\uc740 \uc720\uc9c0\ub41c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc694\uc778\uc740 RBA\uc758 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc5b5\uc81c \uc758\uc9c0\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 1\ubd84\uae30 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI\u00b7\uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uad6c\ub9e4\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 3.6%\ub85c \ub192\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74\uc11c, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c \ub2ec \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 4.60%\ub85c \uc624\ub97c \ud655\ub960\uc744 65%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \uadfc\uc6d0 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(Core PCE\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 2.8%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ud574, \uc5f0\ub9d0 Fed \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud604\uc2e4\uc801\uc778 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Geopolitical Risk And Oil Driven Volatility<\/h3>\n

\ub2e4\ub9cc \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uae34\uc7a5\uacfc \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc720\uac00 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc758 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc744 \ub204\ub974\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc6d0\uc720(WTI)\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 85\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc548\ud30e\uc73c\ub85c \ub192\uac8c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubb3c\uac00 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud0a4\uc6b0\uace0, \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638\ub85c \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 2022\ub144\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc0ac\uac74\uc73c\ub85c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\uba70 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c4 \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc694\uc778\uacfc \ud558\ub77d \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub9de\uc11c\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294, \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \ub192\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uad00\ub9ac\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. \u2018\ubd88 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\u2019(\uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud574 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uace0, \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ube44\uc6a9\uacfc \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5)\uac00 \ub300\uc548\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc73c\ub85c \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc774 \ube44\uc2f8\uc9c4 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c \ube44\uc6a9 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \ub370 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

AUD\/USD, \uace0\uc810 \uadfc\ucc98\uc11c \u2018\uc228 \uace0\ub974\uae30\u2019\u2014\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uae34\uc7a5\u00b7\uc720\uac00\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ubc00\uc5b4\uc62c\ub824 \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uc555\ubc15. \ub2e4\ub9cc Fed \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 vs RBA \uae34\ucd95\uc73c\ub85c \uc870\uc815 \ub54c\ub9c8\ub2e4 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \ud615\uc131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45121","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45121","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45121"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45121\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45121"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45121"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45121"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}