{"id":45117,"date":"2026-04-21T06:20:51","date_gmt":"2026-04-21T06:20:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/eur-usd-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%9c%b4%ec%a0%84-%eb%b6%88%ed%99%95%ec%8b%a4%ec%84%b1-%ec%86%8d-1-1785%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%eb%8f%85%ec%9d%bc%c2%b7%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c\/"},"modified":"2026-04-21T06:20:51","modified_gmt":"2026-04-21T06:20:51","slug":"eur-usd-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%9c%b4%ec%a0%84-%eb%b6%88%ed%99%95%ec%8b%a4%ec%84%b1-%ec%86%8d-1-1785%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%eb%8f%85%ec%9d%bc%c2%b7%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/eur-usd-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%9c%b4%ec%a0%84-%eb%b6%88%ed%99%95%ec%8b%a4%ec%84%b1-%ec%86%8d-1-1785%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%eb%8f%85%ec%9d%bc%c2%b7%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"EUR\/USD, \uc774\ub780 \ud734\uc804 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc18d 1.1785\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc \ud558\ub77d\u2026\ub3c5\uc77c\u00b7\uc720\ub85c\uc874 ZEW \uc9c0\ud45c \ub300\uae30"},"content":{"rendered":"

EUR\/USD\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \ucd08\ubc18 1.1785 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ub9cc\ub8cc \uc608\uc815\uc778 14\uc77c \ud734\uc804(\uc804\ud22c\ub97c \uc7a0\uc2dc \uba48\ucd94\ub294 \ud569\uc758) \uc885\ub8cc\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5\uc744 \uc810\uac80\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub0a0 \ub3c5\uc77c\uacfc \uc720\ub85c\uc874 ZEW \uacbd\uae30\uae30\ub300\uc9c0\uc218(\uae30\uad00\ud22c\uc790\uac00 \uc124\ubb38\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\ub294 \uacbd\uae30 \uc804\ub9dd) \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\uace0, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 3\uc6d4 \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4(\uc18c\ube44 \uc9c0\ucd9c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub3c4 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \uc774\ub780\uacfc\uc758 \uac08\ub4f1\uc744 \uc11c\ub458\ub7ec \ub05d\ub0bc \uc0dd\uac01\uc740 \uc5c6\ub2e4\uace0 \ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4, \ud30c\ud0a4\uc2a4\ud0c4\uc5d0\uc11c \ud14c\ud5e4\ub780\uacfc \uc0c8 \ub300\ud654\ub97c \uae30\ub300\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \ud734\uc804 \uc2dc\ud55c\uc774 \uc784\ubc15\ud55c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ub098\uc628 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Ceasefire Talks And Market Reaction<\/h3>\n

\uac00\ub514\uc5b8\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \ubaa8\ud558\ub9c8\ub4dc \ubc14\uac8c\ub974 \uac08\ub9ac\ubc14\ud504 \uc774\ub780 \uc758\ud68c \uc758\uc7a5\uc740 \u201c\uc704\ud611\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc\uc758 \ud611\uc0c1\uc744 \ubc1b\uc544\ub4e4\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uaca0\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc555\ubc14\uc2a4 \uc544\ub77c\uadf8\uce58 \uc774\ub780 \uc678\ubb34\uc7a5\uad00\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \u201c\ud734\uc804 \uc9c0\uc18d \uc704\ubc18\u201d\uc774 \uc678\uad50 \uacfc\uc815\uc744 \ubc29\ud574\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \ud734\uc804 \ud611\uc758(\ud734\uc804\uc744 \ub193\uace0 \ubc8c\uc774\ub294 \ud611\uc0c1)\ub97c \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\uace0, \uc774\ub294 EUR\/USD\uc5d0 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc704\ud5d8\ud68c\ud53c(\ubd88\uc548\ud560 \ub54c \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984) \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uba70 \ud658\uc728\uc740 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \ubc1b\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB) \uad00\uacc4\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 4\uc6d4 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0)\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. \ubc14\ud074\ub808\uc774\uc2a4\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\ubc1c(\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac12 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc6d0\uc778\uc778) \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub3fc 6\uc6d4\uacfc 9\uc6d4\uc5d0 25bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, 0.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uc120\uc774 \uc62e\uaca8\uac08 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd24\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

2025\ub144 \ubd04\uc5d0\ub3c4 EUR\/USD\ub294 1.18 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \ud734\uc804 \ud611\uc758 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uae09\ub4f1\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c ECB\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uadf8 \ub4a4 \ud734\uc804 \ud611\uc0c1\uc740 \uc9c4\uc804\uc744 \ubcf4\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\uace0, \uc704\ud5d8\ud68c\ud53c\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 2025\ub144 \ud558\ubc18\uae30 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc804\uc7c1\u00b7\uc815\uce58 \ubd88\uc548 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc5b9\ud788\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \uc704\ud5d8 \ubc18\uc601)\uc740 \ubc18\ubcf5\ub418\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub410\uace0, Cboe \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(VIX\u00b7\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\uc548\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc 6\uac1c\uc6d4 \ud3c9\uade0 19\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc544 \uacfc\uac70\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \uae34\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba70 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6e0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Policy Divergence And Options Positioning<\/h3>\n

ECB\ub294 2025\ub144\uc5d0 25bp\uc529 \ub450 \ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub838\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ubbf8\uad6d \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc27d\uac8c \uaebe\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc544 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub294 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 3\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 2.9%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uc790, \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ubcf4\ub0c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774(\uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9ac\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)\uac00 EUR\/USD\ub97c \ud604\uc7ac 1.07\ub300\ub85c \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub9b0 \ud575\uc2ec \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c0\ubaa9\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 EUR\/USD\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 2026\ub144 6\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \uc911 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00(\uad8c\ub9ac\ub97c \ud589\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uaca9)\ub97c 1.06 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uc124\uc815\ud55c \uc0c1\ud488\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc190\uc2e4\uc774 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c, \uc5f0\uc911 \uc800\uc810 \uc774\ud0c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubc18\uba74 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uac11\uc790\uae30 \uc644\ud654\ub418\uac70\ub098 \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud06c\uac8c \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\uba74 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ub098\uc62c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub824\uba74 5\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30 \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(\ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \ubc29\ud5a5\uacfc \ubb34\uad00\ud558\uac8c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\uc774 \ud65c\uc6a9\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d 1\ubd84\uae30 GDP(\uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0\u00b7\uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc640 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 4\uc6d4 \ubb3c\uac00 \u2018\uc18d\ubcf4\uce58\u2019(\ucd08\uae30 \ucd94\uc815\uce58)\uac00 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \ucd09\ub9e4\uac00 \ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 2.1%\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uba74 EUR\/USD \ud558\ub77d \ub17c\ub9ac\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud574 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc774 \ub354 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uc720\ub7fd \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16\uc73c\ub85c \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\uba74 ECB\uac00 \ub354 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\uae34\ucd95 \uc120\ud638)\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

EUR\/USD, \uc911\ub3d9 \u2018\ud734\uc804 \uc2dc\ud55c\u2019 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc18d 1.1785\uc120 \uc57d\uc138. \ud611\uc0c1 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694\u2191. \ub3c5\u00b7\uc720\ub85c\uc874 ZEW\uc640 \ubbf8 \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4 \uc8fc\ubaa9, ECB \ub3d9\uacb0 vs Fed \uace0\uae08\ub9ac\ub85c \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45117","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45117","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45117"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45117\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45117"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45117"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45117"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}