{"id":44992,"date":"2026-04-20T00:50:33","date_gmt":"2026-04-20T00:50:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c-%ec%97%b0%ea%b0%84-%eb%ac%b4%ec%97%ad%ec%88%98%ec%a7%80-%ec%a0%81%ec%9e%90-3%ec%9b%94-31%ec%96%b5-%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%eb%a1%9c\/"},"modified":"2026-04-20T00:50:33","modified_gmt":"2026-04-20T00:50:33","slug":"%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c-%ec%97%b0%ea%b0%84-%eb%ac%b4%ec%97%ad%ec%88%98%ec%a7%80-%ec%a0%81%ec%9e%90-3%ec%9b%94-31%ec%96%b5-%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%eb%a1%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c-%ec%97%b0%ea%b0%84-%eb%ac%b4%ec%97%ad%ec%88%98%ec%a7%80-%ec%a0%81%ec%9e%90-3%ec%9b%94-31%ec%96%b5-%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac%eb%a1%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uc5f0\uac04 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc218\uc9c0 \uc801\uc790, 3\uc6d4 31\uc5b5 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ud655\ub300\u2026\uc774\uc804 30\uc5b5 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc758 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44(1\ub144 \uc804 \uac19\uc740 \ub2ec\uacfc \ube44\uad50) \ubb34\uc5ed\uc218\uc9c0\ub294 3\uc6d4\uc5d0 31\uc5b5 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec(NZD) \uc801\uc790\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub294 \uc9c1\uc804 \uae30\uac04\uc758 30\uc5b5 NZD \uc801\uc790\uc640 \ube44\uad50\ud574 \uc801\uc790 \ud3ed\uc774 1\uc5b5 NZD \ud655\ub300\ub41c \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ubb34\uc5ed\uc801\uc790 \ud655\ub300\uc640 NZD \uc804\ub9dd<\/h3>\n<p>3\uc6d4 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc801\uc790\uac00 -31\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ud655\ub300\ub41c \uac83\uc740 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec(NZD)\uc5d0 \ud558\ubc29(\uc57d\uc138) \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc218\uc785 \uc9c0\ucd9c\uc774(\uc218\uc785 \ube44\uc6a9) \uc218\ucd9c\ub85c \ubc8c\uc5b4\ub4e4\uc774\ub294 \ub3c8(\uc218\ucd9c \uc218\uc775)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ub298\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc73c\ub85c, \ud1b5\ud654 \uac00\uce58\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd80\uc815\uc801(\uc57d\uc138) \uc2e0\ud638\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c NZD\uac00 \uc8fc\uc694 \uad50\uc5ed \uc0c1\ub300\uad6d \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBNZ)\uc774 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4. RBNZ\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158)\uc744 \uc7a1\uae30 \uc704\ud574 2024\ub144 \uc911\ubc18 \uc774\ud6c4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(Official Cash Rate\u00b7\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc815\ud558\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac)\ub97c 5.5%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \ub300\uc678(\ud574\uc678) \uac70\ub798 \uc5ec\uac74\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\uba74 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c4\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uad6d\uac00 \uac04 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28(\uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28)\uac00 NZD\uc5d0 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, NZD \ub9e4\ub3c4(\ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305) \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc2dc\uac01\uc740 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ud750\ub984\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP\u00b7\ud55c \ub098\ub77c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub41c \uc7ac\ud654\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc758 \ucd1d\ud569) \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc740 4.6%\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce58\uba70 \ub454\ud654 \uc870\uc9d0\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 \ub9d0\uc5d0\ub294 \uc218\ucd9c\uc774 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub298\uc5c8\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ucd5c\uadfc\uc5d0\ub294 \uc804\uc9c0\ubd84\uc720(whole milk powder\u00b7\uc6b0\uc720\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\ubd84\uc744 \uc81c\uac70\ud574 \ub9cc\ub4e0 \ubd84\ub9d0 \ud615\ud0dc \uc720\uc81c\ud488) \uac19\uc740 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac(\uc0c1\ud488) \uac00\uaca9\uc774 2\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 5% \ub118\uac8c \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ub099\uad00\ub860\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ub300\uc678 \uc57d\uc138\ub294 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc758 \uad50\uc5ed\uc870\uac74(terms of trade\u00b7\uc218\ucd9c \uac00\uaca9 \ub300\ube44 \uc218\uc785 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801 \uc218\uc900)\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ub7f0 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc815\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \uae08\uc735\uc0c1\ud488) \uac70\ub798\uc790\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 4~6\uc8fc \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 NZD\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158(put option\u00b7\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac, \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc190\uc2e4 \ud55c\ub3c4\uac00 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4(\uc815\uc758\ub41c \uc704\ud5d8) \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc798 \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uad6c\uac04) \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac08 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c4 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money\u00b7\ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud55c \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uaca9) \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(\ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uaca9 \ucf5c \ub9e4\uc218\uc640 \ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uaca9 \ucf5c \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub97c \uc870\ud569\ud55c \uad6c\uc870)\ub97c \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc744 \uc218\ucde8\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\ub3c4 \uc57d\uc138 \uad00\uc810\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \uc704\ud5d8<\/h3>\n<p>\ub610\ud55c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\uc640 \ub2e4\uc74c RBNZ \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 NZD \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131)\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\uc218(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c\uc218\ub85d \uc720\ub9ac) \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218) \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \ud574\ub2f9\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \uc5b4\ub290 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774\ub4e0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uba74 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uae30\ub300\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \uacbd\uc81c \ub274\uc2a4 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc \ub2e4\ub974\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud560 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ubc29\uc5b4(\ud5e4\uc9c0)\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc 3\uc6d4 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc801\uc790 31\uc5b5NZD\ub85c \ud655\ub300(-1\uc5b5). \uc218\uc785 \uc99d\uac00\u00b7\uc911\uad6d \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\u00b7\uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac\uac12 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uad50\uc5ed\uc870\uac74 \uc545\ud654, RBNZ \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc555\ub825. NZD \uc57d\uc138 \ubca0\ud305\uc73c\ub85c \ud48b\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\uc218 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uc0c1.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44992","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44992","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44992"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44992\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44992"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44992"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44992"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}