{"id":44946,"date":"2026-04-17T19:23:38","date_gmt":"2026-04-17T19:23:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ed%9c%b4%ec%a0%84-%ea%b8%b0%ea%b0%84%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%ec%84%a0%eb%b0%95-%ed%86%b5%ed%95%ad-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80\/"},"modified":"2026-04-17T19:23:38","modified_gmt":"2026-04-17T19:23:38","slug":"%ed%9c%b4%ec%a0%84-%ea%b8%b0%ea%b0%84%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%ec%84%a0%eb%b0%95-%ed%86%b5%ed%95%ad-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%9c%b4%ec%a0%84-%ea%b8%b0%ea%b0%84%ec%97%90%eb%8f%84-%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%ec%84%a0%eb%b0%95-%ed%86%b5%ed%95%ad-%ec%9c%a0%ec%a7%80%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud734\uc804 \uae30\uac04\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc120\ubc15 \ud1b5\ud56d \uc720\uc9c0\u2026\uc774\ub780 \uc7a5\uad00 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc5d0 \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638 \ub530\ub77c \ucd9c\ub801\uc778 \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5"},"content":{"rendered":"

\uc774\ub780\uc758 \uc555\ubc14\uc2a4 \uc544\ub77c\uadf8\uce58 \uc678\ubb34\uc7a5\uad00\uc740 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \u201c\ub808\ubc14\ub17c \ud734\uc804\u201d \uc774\ud6c4 \ud734\uc804 \uae30\uac04 \ub3d9\uc548 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ud1b5\uacfc\ud558\ub294 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uc0c1\uc5c5 \uc120\ubc15 \uc6b4\ud56d\uc774 \uc804\uba74\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac1c\ubc29\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \uc120\ubc15\ub4e4\uc774 \uc774\ub780 \ud56d\ub9cc\ud574\uc0ac\uae30\uad6c(Ports and Maritime Organisation\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \uc815\ubd80 \uc0b0\ud558 \ud56d\ub9cc\u00b7\ud574\uc6b4 \uac10\ub3c5\uae30\uad00)\uac00 \uc815\ud55c \u2018\uc870\uc815\ub41c \ud56d\ub85c(\uc120\ubc15 \ucda9\ub3cc\uacfc \ud63c\uc120\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 \uc9c0\uc815\u00b7\uad00\ub9ac\ud558\ub294 \ud56d\ub85c)\u2019\ub97c \uc774\uc6a9\ud558\uac8c \ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \ud2b8\ub8e8\uc2a4\uc18c\uc15c(Truth Social\u00b7\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uac00 \uc8fc\ub85c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uc18c\uc15c\ubbf8\ub514\uc5b4)\uc5d0 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc774 \u201c\uc644\uc804 \ud1b5\ud589(full passage\u00b7\uc120\ubc15\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c \uc5c6\uc774 \ud1b5\uacfc\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c)\u201d \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub77c\uace0 \uac8c\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ubbf8\u00b7\uc774\ub780 \u201c\uac70\ub798(transaction\u00b7\uc591\uad6d \uac04 \ud569\uc758 \ub610\ub294 \uad50\ud658 \uc870\uac74\uc744 \ubb36\uc740 \ud611\uc0c1 \ud328\ud0a4\uc9c0)\u201d\uac00 \u201c100% \uc644\ub8cc\u201d\ub420 \ub54c\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc774\ub780\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud574\uc0c1 \ubd09\uc1c4(naval blockade\u00b7\uad70\ud568\uc73c\ub85c \ud2b9\uc815 \uad6d\uac00\uc758 \ud574\uc0c1 \uc774\ub3d9\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uc870\uce58)\ub294 \uc720\uc9c0\ub41c\ub2e4\uace0 \ud588\uace0, \ub300\ubd80\ubd84\uc758 \uc7c1\uc810\uc774 \uc774\ubbf8 \ud611\uc758\ub410\ub2e4\uba70 \uc808\ucc28\uac00 \uc2e0\uc18d\ud788 \uc9c4\ud589\ub3fc\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751 \ubc0f \uc989\uac01\uc801 \uac00\uaca9 \ubc18\uc601<\/h3>\n

\ubcf4\ub3c4 \uc774\ud6c4, \uacf5\uac1c \uc2dc\uc810 \uae30\uc900 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218 \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 0.8%~1.2% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY\u00b7\uc8fc\uc694 6\uac1c \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 97.70 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824 2\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uace0, \ub2f9\uc77c \uae30\uc900 0.5% \ub118\uac8c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ub780\uc744 \uaca8\ub0e5\ud55c \ubd09\uc1c4\uac00 \uc77c\ubd80 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc774 \uc5f4\ub9ac\uba74 \uc720\uac00\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub3fc \uc788\ub358 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(geopolitical risk premium\u00b7\ubd84\uc7c1 \uc704\ud5d8 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \ubd99\ub294 \uac00\uaca9)\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd9c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc774 \ud575\uc2ec \ud574\uc0c1 \ud1b5\ub85c\ub85c\ub294 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \ud558\ub8e8 \uc6d0\uc720 \uacf5\uae09\ub7c9\uc758 \uc57d 5\ubd84\uc758 1\uc774 \uc9c0\ub098\uac00\uba70, \ucd5c\uadfc \uae34\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c WTI \uc6d0\uc720 \uc120\ubb3c(WTI crude futures\u00b7\uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0 \uc6d0\uc720\ub97c \uae30\ucd08\ub85c \ud558\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c)\uc774 2026\ub144 3\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 95\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub3fc \uc654\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 2~3\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub0b4 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc120\ubb3c \ud48b\uc635\uc158(put option\u00b7\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ubc88 \uc18c\uc2dd\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ubc18\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9 \ucd9c\ub801\uc784)\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c\ub3c4 \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. CBOE \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(VIX\u00b7S&P500 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud55c \u2018\uacf5\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc218\u2019)\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac 20\ub300 \ucd08\ubc18\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0b4\ub824\uac08 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 \ubd04 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uc77c\uc2dc \uc644\ud654\ub410\uc744 \ub54c 2\uc8fc \ub9cc\uc5d0 \uc57d 30% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub358 \ud750\ub984\uacfc \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774 \ub098\uc62c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. VIX \ub610\ub294 VIX \uc5f0\uacc4 ETF(\uc0c1\uc7a5\uc9c0\uc218\ud380\ub4dc\u00b7\uc8fc\uc2dd\ucc98\ub7fc \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \ud380\ub4dc)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money\u00b7\ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\uacfc \uac70\ub9ac\uac00 \uc788\uc5b4 \ub2f9\uc7a5 \ud589\uc0ac \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc5c6\ub294) \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(call spread\u00b7\ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uac00 \ub2e4\ub978 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\ub9e4\ub3c4\ub97c \ud568\uaed8 \ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5) \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud558\ub77d \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uae08\ub9ac \ubc0f \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n

\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9) \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \uc644\ud654\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 3\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI\u00b7\uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uc0ac\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc5d0\uc11c \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 3.1%\ub85c \ub192\uac8c \ub098\uc628 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c, \uc774\ubc88 \ubcc0\ud654\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900(Federal Reserve\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc774 \uc62c\uc5ec\ub984 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558(rate cut\u00b7\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \ub0b4\ub9bc)\ub97c \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uadfc\uac70\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6b8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc774\uba70, S&P500 \uc9c0\uc218 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218 \uac19\uc740 \uc0c1\uc2b9(\uac15\uc138) \uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \ub192\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638(risk-on\u00b7\uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc8fc\uc2dd \ub4f1 \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638)\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \uc790\uae08\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac19\uc740 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0\uc11c \uc131\uc7a5\uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud55c \uacb0\uacfc\ub85c \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. DXY\uac00 97.70 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc120 \uac83\uc740 2026\ub144 2\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c\uc774\uba70, \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ubd95\uad34(technical breakdown\u00b7\ucc28\ud2b8\uc0c1 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 \uae68\uc9c0\ub294 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784)\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654 ETF \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud558\ub77d(\uc57d\uc138) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc5d0 \ud798\uc744 \uc2e4\uc5b4\uc900\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c \uac1c\uc124<\/a>\u00a0\ubc0f\u00a0\uc9c0\uae08 \uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uc791<\/a>. <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \uc644\uc804 \ud1b5\ud589\u201d\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc989\uac01 \ubc18\uc751\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780, \ud734\uc804\uae30 \uc0c1\uc120 \uc804\uba74 \uac1c\ubc29\u00b7\uc870\uc815\ud56d\ub85c \uc6b4\ud56d. \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\ub294 \ubd09\uc1c4 \uc720\uc9c0 \uc5b8\uae09. \uc9c0\uc218\uc120\ubb3c\u2191\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec\u2193, \uc720\uac00 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\u00b7VIX \ud558\ub77d \uae30\ub300.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44946","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44946","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44946"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44946\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44946"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44946"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44946"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}