EUR\/USD \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub294 3\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d 1.18\uc744 \ub118\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uba48\ucdc4\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc740 4\uc6d4 29\uc77c \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c **\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1**(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc62c\ub9ac\uae30) \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c0\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uacbd\uacc4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub294 \ud558\ud5a5\ub410\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 ECB \uc9c1\uc6d0(\uc2a4\ud0dc\ud504)\uc774 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c \uae30\uc900 \uc804\ub9dd(\uae30\ubcf8 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624)\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \ub192\ub2e4. \uad6d\uc81c\ud1b5\ud654\uae30\uae08(IMF)\uc740 2026\ub144 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub97c 1.3%\uc5d0\uc11c 1.1%\ub85c \ub0ae\ucdc4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc720\ub85c\uc640 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ud654\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \u2018\ud68c\ubcf5 \uad6d\uba74\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub41c\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uaebe\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uace0, \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \ud655\ub300\ub97c \uc774\uc720\ub85c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uac15\ud55c \uc0ac\uc804 \uc548\ub0b4(\uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4)\ub97c \ub0b4\ub193\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc120\ud0dd\uc744 \uc639\ud638\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc EUR\/USD \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub294 \ubd84\uba85\ud788 \uba48\ucdc4\ub2e4. 3\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d 1.1800 **\uc800\ud56d\uc120**(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc624\ub974\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \uad6c\uac04)\uc744 \ub6ab\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\ub2e4. **\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488**(\uc8fc\uc2dd\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\ud658\uc728 \uac19\uc740 \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9c0\ub294 \uae08\uc735\uc0c1\ud488) \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294, 1.18 \uc704\uc758 **\ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uaca9**(\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0ac\uace0\ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9)\uc744 \uac00\uc9c4 **\uc678\uac00\uaca9 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158**(\ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc740 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uad8c\ub9ac\ub85c, \ub2f9\uc7a5 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158)\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 **\ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4**(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uace0\ub824\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 1.18 \uad6c\uac04\uc740 \uc7a5\uae30 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc800\ud56d\ub3c4 \uacb9\uccd0, \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uc7ac\ub8cc \uc5c6\uc774\ub294 \ub3cc\ud30c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\ub2e4\ub294 \ud574\uc11d\uc774 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc815\uccb4\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ubc30\uacbd\uc740 ECB\ub2e4. ECB\ub294 4\uc6d4 29\uc77c \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub0ae\ucd94\ub824\ub294 \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0\ub97c \ub0b4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac **\uc624\ubc84\ub098\uc774\ud2b8 \uc778\ub371\uc2a4 \uc2a4\uc651(OIS)**(\ud558\ub8e8\uc9dc\ub9ac \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc8fc\uace0\ubc1b\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\uc2a4\uc651\uc73c\ub85c, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc77d\ub294 \ub370 \uc4f0\uc784) \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ub2ec \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 15% \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 ECB\uc758 **\ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801(\uc644\ud654\uc801)** \uc131\ud5a5\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \ub9e4\ub825\uc774 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc544, \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \uc624\ub974\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ubc18\uba74 Fed\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub69c\ub837\ud558\uac8c \ub204\ub974\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc544, \uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774 \uac08\ub9ac\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c\ub2e4. **\uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c**(Fed \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c)\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c 5\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c 0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 70% \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc758 **\uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28**(\ub450 \uc9c0\uc5ed \uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900 \ucc28\uc774)\uac00 \ud655\ub300\ub418\uba74 EUR\/USD \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
ECB \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc678\ud658 \uc635\uc158\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2e8\uae30 **\ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131**(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \u2018\uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\ud3ed\u2019)\uc774 \uc624\ub974\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. Cboe \uc720\ub85c\ud1b5\ud654 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(EVZ)\ub294 8.5\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c, \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804\ud6c4\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c **\ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4**(\uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \uc0ac\uc11c, \uc704\ub4e0 \uc544\ub798\ub4e0 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uba74 \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ucc98\ub7fc \ubc29\ud5a5\uacfc \ubb34\uad00\ud558\uac8c \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
2025\ub144 \ub9d0\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ube44\uc2b7\ud558\uac8c, \uc815\ucc45\ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c \ud6c4 \uae09\ub77d\ud55c \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. 4\uc6d4 29\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 ECB\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub300\ub85c \uc644\ud654\uc801 \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0\ub97c \ub0b4\uba74, **\uc1fc\ud2b8 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00**(\uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\u00b7\ud48b\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \ud314\uc544 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5) \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud558\ub77d \uad6c\uac04\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ubd84\uc11d\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubc1c\ud45c \ub4a4 \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc774 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc904\uc5b4\ub4dc\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ub2e8\uae30 \uc545\uc7ac\uac00 \uc788\uc5b4\ub3c4 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uc758 \ud070 \ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \uc131\uae09\ud788 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uae30\ub294 \uc774\ub974\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4. IMF\uac00 2026\ub144 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 1.1%\ub85c \ub0ae\ucdc4\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ucd5c\uadfc **\uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218(PMI)**(\uae30\uc5c5 \uc124\ubb38\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uae30 \ud655\uc7a5\u00b7\uc704\ucd95\uc744 \uac00\ub2a0\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubc84\ud2f0\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774 \ud655\uc778\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc810\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, \ubb34\uc81c\ud55c \uc190\uc2e4 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uc788\ub294 \ub2e8\uc21c \ub9e4\ub3c4\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 **\ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ub9e4\uc218**(\ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uac00 \ub2e4\ub978 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \uc190\uc2e4\uacfc \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ucc98\ub7fc \uc190\uc2e4 \ud55c\ub3c4\ub97c \uc815\ud55c \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \ub354 \uc2e0\uc911\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c \uac1c\uc124<\/a>\u00a0\ubc0f\u00a0\uac70\ub798 \uc2dc\uc791<\/a><\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" EUR\/USD, 1.18 \u2018\ubcbd\u2019\uc5d0 3\uc77c\uc9f8 \ub9c9\ud614\ub2e4. ECB\ub294 4\uc6d4 29\uc77c \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\ub85c \uc778\uc0c1 \uae30\ub300 \uc81c\ub3d9, Fed\ub294 \uc5ec\uc9c0. \uc635\uc158 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u2191\u2026\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4\u00b7\ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4 \uc804\ub7b5 \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44933","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44933","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44933"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44933\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44933"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44933"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44933"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}