\uae08\uac12\uc740 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \uc720\ub7fd \ucd08\ubc18 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c 3\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d 4,800\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\ub2e4. \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \uc678\uad50\uc801 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \ubbf8\uad6d \ud574\uad70\uc774 \uc774\ub780 \ud56d\ub9cc\uc744 \ubd09\uc1c4\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc774\ub780\uc758 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec(\uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \uc120\ud638\ub418\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654) \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\uace0, \uae08\uac12\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uacfc \ub808\ubc14\ub17c \uac04 10\uc77c \ud734\uc804\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638 \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub97c \uac1c\uc120\ud588\ub2e4. \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc774\ub780\uc774 \ud569\uc758\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc6d4\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub9ac\ud2b8\uc800\ub110(WSJ)\uc740 \uc591\uce21\uc774 \uc0c8 \ud611\uc0c1\uc744 \uc5f4\uae30\ub85c \uc6d0\uce59\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud569\uc758\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc2dc\uac04\uacfc \uc7a5\uc18c\ub294 \uc815\ud574\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\ub3c4\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ucd08 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \ubbf8\uad6d PPI(\uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218: \uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \ubb3c\uac74\uc744 \ucd9c\uace0\ud560 \ub54c \ubc1b\ub294 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654\ub85c, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uac00\ub2a0\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \uc77c\ubd80 \uc644\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc5f0\uc900(\ubbf8 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc774 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc778\ud558\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc57d 30%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 2\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub410\uace0, \uae08\uac12\ub3c4 4,768~4,767\ub2ec\ub7ec \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uae08\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \uc5c6\uc5b4, \uc5f0\uc900 FOMC(\uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c: \uae08\ub9ac \ub4f1 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uacb0\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ud68c\uc758) \ud575\uc2ec \uc778\uc0ac\ub4e4\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc5d0 \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \uc3e0\ub9b0\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc\ub9d0 \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \ud68c\ub2f4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uae30\uc220\uc801(\ucc28\ud2b8 \uae30\ubc18)\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\uc740 4\uc2dc\uac04 \ucc28\ud2b8 \uae30\uc900 200\uae30\uac04 SMA(\ub2e8\uc21c\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120: \uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0\uc744 \uc774\uc740 \uc120) \ub3cc\ud30c\uc5d0 \uc2e4\ud328\ud588\ub2e4. \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b0\ub824\uba74 4,765\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc838\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. RSI(\uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218: \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uacfc\uc5f4\ub410\ub294\uc9c0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 50 \ubd80\uadfc, MACD(\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc218\ub834\u00b7\ud655\uc0b0\uc9c0\uc218: \ucd94\uc138 \uc804\ud658\uc744 \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 0 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 4,814\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 4,912\ub2ec\ub7ec, \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 4,759\ub2ec\ub7ec, 4,606\ub2ec\ub7ec, 4,416\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc5c7\uac08\ub9b0 \uc2e0\ud638 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\uc740 \u2018\uac15\ud55c \ub2ec\ub7ec\u2019\uc640 \u2018\uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\u2019 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0 \ub07c\uc5b4 \uc788\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud574\uc0c1 \ubd09\uc1c4\uac00 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \uc0ac\ub824\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \uae08\uac12\uc5d0 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud55c \uc694\uc778(\uc5ed\ud48d)\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc8fc\ub9d0 \ud3c9\ud654 \ud68c\ub2f4\uc774 \uc9c4\ud589\ub418\uba74 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\uac00 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ubc14\ub014 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \ubca0\ud305\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \ub4f1 \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488) \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 1~2\uc8fc \u2018\ubc29\ud5a5\u2019\ubcf4\ub2e4 \u2018\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)\u2019\uc5d0 \ucd08\uc810\uc744 \ub9de\ucd9c \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud574\uc11d\uc774 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. CBOE \uae08 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218(GVZ: \uae08 \uc635\uc158\uc5d0\uc11c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud55c \uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 21.5\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub77c, \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \ud68c\ub2f4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \uc804 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae34\uc7a5\uac10\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub2e4. \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc624\ub974\ub4e0 \ub0b4\ub9ac\ub4e0 \ud070 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ub871 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(long straddle\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\/\ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\uc774 \uc720\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ucd08\uc758 PPI \ub454\ud654\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ud654\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c CFTC(\ubbf8 \uc0c1\ud488\uc120\ubb3c\uac70\ub798\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c: \uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \uac10\ub3c5\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uad00) \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \ub9e4\ub2c8\uc9c0\ub4dc \uba38\ub2c8(\ud5e4\uc9c0\ud380\ub4dc \ub4f1 \ub808\ubc84\ub9ac\uc9c0\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ud22c\uae30\uc131 \uc790\uae08) \uacc4\uc815\uc740 4\uc8fc \ub9cc\uc5d0 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c \uc21c\ub9e4\uc218(\uc21c\ub871\u00b7\ub9e4\uc218 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud070 \uc0c1\ud0dc) \uaddc\ubaa8\ub97c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc904\uc600\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubd80 \ucc28\uc775\uc2e4\ud604\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ud070 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \u2018\uc5f0\uc900 \uc911\ub9bd(\ub3d9\uacb0) \uc720\uc9c0\u2019\uac00 \uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub825\uc744 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \uc9c0\uc6b0\uc9c0\ub294 \ubabb\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uae30\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ud655\uc778 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. 4,759\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ud575\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uba70, \uc774 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ud68c\ud558\uba74 4,606\ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub354 \ud070 \uc870\uc815\uc774 \uc5f4\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 2015\ub144 \uc774\ub780 \ud575\ud569\uc758 \ucd08\uae30 \ud611\uc0c1 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uac00\uac00 \u2018\ud718\uccad\uc774\ub294 \uae09\ub4f1\ub77d(\ud729\uc3d8)\u2019\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub358 \uc810\uc744 \ub5a0\uc62c\ub9ac\uba74, \ud604\uc7ac \uae08\ub3c4 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\uae08\uac12, \uc65c 4,800\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubabb \ub118\ub098\u2026 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u00b7\uc911\ub3d9 \uc644\ud654 \uae30\ub300 \uc18d \u2018\ub080 \uc7a5\uc138\u2019. PPI \ub454\ud654\uc5d0 \uc5f0\uc900 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc804\ub9dd, \ud68c\ub2f4 \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\u2014GVZ 21.5, 4,759\uc120 \uc8fc\ubaa9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44919","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44919","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44919"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44919\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44919"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44919"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44919"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}