{"id":44821,"date":"2026-04-16T14:50:45","date_gmt":"2026-04-16T14:50:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c-3%ec%9b%94-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-rba-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81-%eb%b6%80%ed%95%a9%ec%8b%a4%ec%97%85%eb%a5%a0-%ec%95%88%ec%a0%95%c2%b7%ec%a0%95%ea%b7%9c\/"},"modified":"2026-04-16T14:50:45","modified_gmt":"2026-04-16T14:50:45","slug":"td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c-3%ec%9b%94-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-rba-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81-%eb%b6%80%ed%95%a9%ec%8b%a4%ec%97%85%eb%a5%a0-%ec%95%88%ec%a0%95%c2%b7%ec%a0%95%ea%b7%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/td%ec%a6%9d%ea%b6%8c-3%ec%9b%94-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9a%a9%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-rba-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81-%eb%b6%80%ed%95%a9%ec%8b%a4%ec%97%85%eb%a5%a0-%ec%95%88%ec%a0%95%c2%b7%ec%a0%95%ea%b7%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"TD\uc99d\uad8c \u201c3\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c, RBA \uc608\uc0c1 \ubd80\ud569\u2026\uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 \uc548\uc815\u00b7\uc815\uaddc\uc9c1 \uc99d\uac00\uc138 \ub69c\ub837\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ud638\uc8fc\uc758 3\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\uc740 \ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc758 \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \ub300\uccb4\ub85c \ube44\uc2b7\ud588\ub2e4. \uc804\uccb4 \ucde8\uc5c5\uc790 \uc218\ub294 1\ub9cc7900\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\ud574 RBA\uc640 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(2\ub9cc\uba85)\ub97c \uc18c\ud3ed \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\uace0, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 4.3%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc804\uc77c\uc81c(\ud480\ud0c0\uc784) \uace0\uc6a9\uc740 5\ub9cc2500\uba85 \ub298\uc5c8\uace0, \uc2dc\uac04\uc81c(\ud30c\ud2b8\ud0c0\uc784) \uace0\uc6a9\uc740 2\uc6d4 \uc99d\uac00 \ud6c4 3\ub9cc4600\uba85 \uac10\uc18c\ud588\ub2e4. \uacbd\uc81c\ud65c\ub3d9\ucc38\uac00\uc728(\uc77c\ud560 \uc758\uc0ac\uc640 \ub2a5\ub825\uc774 \uc788\ub294 \uc0ac\ub78c\uc774 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ucc38\uc5ec\ud558\ub294 \ube44\uc728)\uc740 66.9%\uc5d0\uc11c 66.8%\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 \ubcc0\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ub370 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc92c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uac04\uacfc \uace0\uc6a9 \ud750\ub984<\/h3>\n

\ud30c\ud2b8\ud0c0\uc784 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\uac00 \uc904\uc5c8\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc804\uccb4 \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uac04(\uadfc\ub85c\uc790\uac00 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc77c\ud55c \uc2dc\uac04)\uc740 \ub298\uc5c8\ub2e4. 3\uc6d4 \uae30\uc900 \uc804\uc77c\uc81c\u00b7\uc2dc\uac04\uc81c \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uac04\uc740 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.5% \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 12\uc6d4\uc758 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 0.9% \uc99d\uac00\uc640 \ube44\uad50\ud558\uba74 \uc99d\uac00 \ud3ed\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \ub2ec\uac04 \uc911\ub3d9 \uc815\uc138 \ubcc0\ud654\ub85c \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc5ec\uac74\uc774 \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \ubc1b\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 4\uc6d4 29\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294 1\ubd84\uae30 CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218, \uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uad6c\ub9e4\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 5\uc6d4 RBA\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc790\ub8cc\uc774\uba70, \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec(\ud658\uc728) \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

RBA \ubd80\ucd1d\uc7ac \uc564\ub4dc\ub8e8 \ud558\uc6b0\uc800\ub294 \uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134DC\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f4\ub9b0 \uad6d\uc81c\uae08\uc735\ud611\ud68c(IIF) \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc544\uc6c3\ub8e9 \ud3ec\ub7fc(\uc138\uacc4 \uacbd\uc81c\u00b7\uae08\uc735 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ub17c\uc758\ud558\ub294 \ud589\uc0ac)\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc1c\uc5b8\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\uac00 \u2018\uc774\ub780 \ucda9\uaca9\u2019(\uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uac00\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\uba70 \ubb3c\uac00\uc640 \uc131\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\ub294 \ucda9\uaca9)\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc124 \ub54c \uc774\ubbf8 \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \u201c\uc0c1\ub2f9\ud788 \ub728\uac70\uc6b4\u201d \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc600\ub2e4\uace0 \ud588\uace0, \ud718\ubc1c\uc720 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc124\uba85\ud574\uc57c \ud558\ub294 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6c0\uc744 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

3\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ud070 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \uc8fc\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 4.3%\ub85c \uace0\uc815\ub418\uba70 RBA\uc758 \uae30\uc874 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uadf8\ucce4\uace0, \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac14\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

CPI \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc55e\ub454 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n

\ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\ub294 4\uc6d4 29\uc77c 1\ubd84\uae30 CPI\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \u2018\uc774\ub780 \ucda9\uaca9\u2019\uc774 \uc720\uac00\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce5c \uc601\ud5a5\uc774 \ubb3c\uac00\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720(\uad6d\uc81c \uc720\uac00\uc758 \ub300\ud45c \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c 6\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uc57d 20% \uae09\ub4f1\ud574 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 105\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc130\uace0, \uc774\ub294 2024\ub144 \ub9d0 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c \ubcf4\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uae09\ub4f1\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9b4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4, RBA\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \ub9cc\ud07c CPI \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub9e4\uc218(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \ub54c \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 AUD\/USD(\ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\ubbf8\uad6d\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728) \uc635\uc158\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle, \uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \uc0ac \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc704\ub4e0 \uc544\ub798\ub4e0 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uba74 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uae30\ub300\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \ud658\uc728\uc740 0.6550 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 \uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub7ec \uc788\uc5b4, \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uac70\ub098 \ub0ae\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba70 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uac08\ub9b4 \ub54c \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc4f0\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubd80\ucd1d\uc7ac \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc740 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ub4f1 \uae34\ucd95\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \uc131\ud5a5)\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 5\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ub0ae\uac8c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\uc2a4\uc651(\uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uad50\ud658\ud558\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uac70\ub798)\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 25bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, 0.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uc778\uc0c1 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uc57d 40%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294\ub370, \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba74 \ub0ae\uc544 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ud638\uc8fc 3\uc6d4 \uace0\uc6a9, RBA \uc804\ub9dd \ubd80\ud569\uc5d0\ub3c4 \u2018\uc774\ub780 \ucda9\uaca9\u2019 \ubcc0\uc218 \ubd80\uc0c1. \ucde8\uc5c5 1.79\ub9cc\u2191\u00b7\uc2e4\uc5c5 4.3% \uace0\uc815, \ud480\ud0c0\uc784\u2191\u00b7\ud30c\ud2b8\ud0c0\uc784\u2193. 4\/29 CPI\u00b7\uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\uc774 5\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac\u00b7AUD \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc88c\uc6b0.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44821","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44821","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44821"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44821\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44821"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44821"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44821"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}