{"id":44732,"date":"2026-04-15T18:23:06","date_gmt":"2026-04-15T18:23:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/3%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%88%98%ec%9e%85%eb%ac%bc%ea%b0%80%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-%ec%a0%84%eb%85%84-%eb%8c%80%eb%b9%84-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%eb%a5%a0-1-3%e2%86%922-1-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80\/"},"modified":"2026-04-15T18:23:06","modified_gmt":"2026-04-15T18:23:06","slug":"3%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%88%98%ec%9e%85%eb%ac%bc%ea%b0%80%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-%ec%a0%84%eb%85%84-%eb%8c%80%eb%b9%84-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%eb%a5%a0-1-3%e2%86%922-1-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/3%ec%9b%94-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%88%98%ec%9e%85%eb%ac%bc%ea%b0%80%ec%a7%80%ec%88%98-%ec%a0%84%eb%85%84-%eb%8c%80%eb%b9%84-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9%eb%a5%a0-1-3%e2%86%922-1-%ed%99%95%eb%8c%80\/","title":{"rendered":"3\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc218\uc785\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218, \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960 1.3%\u21922.1% \ud655\ub300"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8\uad6d **\uc218\uc785\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(Import Price Index: \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \ud574\uc678\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4e4\uc5ec\uc624\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0 \uc218\uc785\uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)**\ub294 3\uc6d4 **\uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.1% \uc0c1\uc2b9**\ud588\ub2e4. \uc9c1\uc804\uce58(1.3%)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 \uc218\uc785\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\uac00 2.1%\ub85c \ub6f4 \uac83\uc740 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud574\uc57c \ud560 **\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00\uc758 \uc804\ubc18\uc801 \uc0c1\uc2b9)** \uc2e0\ud638\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 **\uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc555\ub825**\uc774 \uc27d\uac8c \uaebe\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba70, **\uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)**\uac00 **\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558)**\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud558\uae30 \ub354 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 **\uc624\ub79c \uae30\uac04 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \ud658\uacbd(\u2018higher for longer\u2019)**\uc744 \uc804\uc81c\ub85c \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc810\uac80\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc7ac\uc870\uc815\uacfc \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n

\uc774\ubc88 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. **CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \ud234(CME FedWatch Tool: \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \ud655\ub960\ud654\ud574 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)**\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 7\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac **25%**\ub85c, \ud55c \ub2ec \uc804 **70% \uc774\uc0c1**\uc5d0\uc11c \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uace0\uc810 \uc720\uc9c0\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ub73b\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc608\ub85c **\uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c(\uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc120\ubb3c\uc0c1\ud488)** \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ub610\ub294 **\ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 ETF \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d \uc2dc \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc635\uc158)** \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. **\ubbf8 2\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44\uae08\ub9ac(2-year Treasury yield: 2\ub144 \ub9cc\uae30 \ubbf8 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960)**\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 **4.95%\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c**\ud558\uba70 \uae30\ub300 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc6d0\uac00(\ud22c\uc785\ube44\uc6a9)\uc640 \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 **\uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc(\ubbf8\ub798 \uc774\uc775 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \ud070 \uae30\uc5c5 \uc8fc\uc2dd)**\uc640 **\uacbd\uae30\uc18c\ube44\uc7ac(\uc18c\ube44 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \uc5c5\uc885)**\uc5d0 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\ub3c4 \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. **VIX(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218: S&P 500 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ub418\ub294 \u2018\uacf5\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc218\u2019)**\ub294 15 \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 2022\ub144 \ubb3c\uac00 \ucda9\uaca9 \uad6d\uba74\ucc98\ub7fc VIX \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uc885\uc885 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc870\uc815\uc758 \uc804\uc870\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub358 \ub9cc\ud07c, **VIX \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc790)** \ub610\ub294 **S&P 500 \uc9c0\uc218 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uc9c0\uc218 \ud558\ub77d \ubc29\uc5b4\u00b7\uc218\uc775 \ubaa9\uc801)** \ub4f1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc5f0\uc900\uc774 **\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\uae34\ucd95 \uc120\ud638)**\uc77c\uc218\ub85d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\ub2e4. **\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY: \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\ub97c \uc720\ub85c\u00b7\uc5d4 \ub4f1 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ubc14\uc2a4\ucf13\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b8 \uc9c0\uc218)**\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 **106\uc744 \uc0c1\ud68c**\ud558\uba70 5\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub0b4 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. **ECB(\uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)** \ub4f1 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc801\uadf9\uc801 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ub0b4\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc694\uc778\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uaca9\ucc28\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 **\uc720\ub85c**\ub098 **\uc77c\ubcf8 \uc5d4\ud654** \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub610\ud55c \ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uae30\uc5c5 **\ub9c8\uc9c4(\uc774\uc775\ub960)**\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc601\ud5a5\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc218\uc785 \uc758\uc874\ub3c4\uac00 \ub192\uace0 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc804\uac00\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \uae30\uc5c5, \uc608\ucee8\ub300 **\ub300\ud615 \ud560\uc778\uc810(\ube45\ubc15\uc2a4 \ub9ac\ud14c\uc77c\ub7ec)**\uc740 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ucde8\uc57d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. **XRT(\ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ub9e4\uc5c5 ETF)** \uac19\uc740 \uc5c5\uc885 ETF\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc774\ub098, \ucde8\uc57d\ud55c \uae30\uc5c5\uc740 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\uace0 **\uac00\uaca9 \uacb0\uc815\ub825(\uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc62c\ub824\ub3c4 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub294 \ud798)**\uc774 \uac15\ud55c **\uae30\uc5c5\uc6a9 \uc18c\ud504\ud2b8\uc6e8\uc5b4**\u00b7**\ud5ec\uc2a4\ucf00\uc5b4** \uc5c5\uc885\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 **\ud398\uc5b4 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc(\uc0c1\ub300\uac00\uce58 \ub9e4\ub9e4: \ud55c\ucabd\uc740 \ub9e4\uc218, \ub2e4\ub978 \ucabd\uc740 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub85c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \ub0ae\ucd94\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)**\ub3c4 \uac80\ud1a0 \ub300\uc0c1\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\ubb3c\uac00 \uacbd\uace0\ub4f1\u201d \ubbf8\uad6d 3\uc6d4 \uc218\uc785\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218 \uc804\ub144\ube44 2.1%\u2191\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed \ud655\ub300. Fed \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \uae09\ud6c4\ud1f4, higher for longer \uc7ac\ubd80\uac01. \uad6d\ucc44\u00b7VIX\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138, \uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc\u00b7\uc18c\ube44\uc7ac \ubd80\ub2f4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44732","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44732","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44732"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44732\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44732"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44732"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44732"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}