{"id":44551,"date":"2026-04-14T00:50:32","date_gmt":"2026-04-14T00:50:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%eb%b4%89%ec%87%84-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%91%ed%8a%b8%eb%9f%bc%ed%94%84-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%98%91%ec%83%81-%ec%9b%90%ed%95%b4\/"},"modified":"2026-04-14T00:50:32","modified_gmt":"2026-04-14T00:50:32","slug":"%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%eb%b4%89%ec%87%84-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%91%ed%8a%b8%eb%9f%bc%ed%94%84-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%98%91%ec%83%81-%ec%9b%90%ed%95%b4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%98%b8%eb%a5%b4%eb%ac%b4%ec%a6%88-%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91-%eb%b4%89%ec%87%84-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%91%ed%8a%b8%eb%9f%bc%ed%94%84-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%98%91%ec%83%81-%ec%9b%90%ed%95%b4\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \ubd09\uc1c4 \uc2dc\uc791\u2026\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \u201c\uc774\ub780, \ud611\uc0c1 \uc6d0\ud574\u201d \ubd80\ud1b5\ub839 JD \ubc34\uc2a4 \ub178\ub825 \uce58\ucf1c\uc138\uc6cc"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \ubc31\uc545\uad00 \uc624\ubc8c\uc624\ud53c\uc2a4(\ub300\ud1b5\ub839 \uc9d1\ubb34\uc2e4) \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac\uc5d0\uc11c J.D. \ubc34\uc2a4 \ubd80\ud1b5\ub839\uc758 \ub300\uc774\ub780 \uc5c5\ubb34\ub97c \uce58\ucf1c\uc138\uc6b0\uba70 \u201c\uc774\ub780 \ubb38\uc81c\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc798\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \u201c\uc624\ub298 \uc544\uce68 \uc774\ub780\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ud574 \uc801\uc808\ud55c \uc0ac\ub78c\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c\uc11c \uc5f0\ub77d\uc744 \ubc1b\uc558\ub2e4\u201d\uba70 \u201c\uadf8\ub4e4\uc774 \ud569\uc758\ub97c \uc6d0\ud55c\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \uc774\ub780\uc774 \u2018\ud575\ubb34\uae30 \ubcf4\uc720 \uae08\uc9c0\u2019\uc5d0 \ub3d9\uc758\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4\uace0 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \u201c\ud575\ubb3c\uc9c8\uc744 \ub418\ucc3e\uc544\uc62c \uac83\u201d\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ubd09\uc1c4\uac00 \uc2dc\uc791\ub410\ub2e4\ub294 \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Market Reaction And Immediate Signals<\/h3>\n

\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \uc2dc\uc9c4\ud551 \uc911\uad6d \uad6d\uac00\uc8fc\uc11d\uc774 \uc0ac\ud0dc \uc885\uc2dd\uc744 \uc6d0\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0\ub3c4 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5b4 \u201c\uc774\ub780 \ubb38\uc81c\uac00 \ub05d\ub098\uba74 \ucfe0\ubc14\uc5d0 \ub4e4\ub97c \uc218\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 4,730\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c 4,741\ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4\uac00 4,734\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\ub838\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc5c5\ud3c9\uade0\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ub099\ud3ed\uc744 \uc904\uc5ec 47,926\uc120\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\ud569\uad8c\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uace0, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY\u00b7\uc8fc\uc694 6\uac1c \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 0.09% \ud558\ub77d\ud55c 98.61\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubd09\uc1c4\uc640 \ud569\uc758 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc5b8\uae09\ub418\ub294 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9b0 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\uc628 \ub9cc\ud07c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uadf9\ub2e8\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ucee4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. CBOE \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(VIX\u00b7S&P500\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud574 \u2018\uacf5\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc218\u2019\ub85c \ubd88\ub9bc)\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc 30% \ub118\uac8c \uae09\ub4f1\ud574 28\uc120 \uadfc\ucc98\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub77c \uac00\uc7a5 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \uaf3d\ud78c\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 VIX \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \ubd09\uc1c4\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \ubcc0\uc218\ub2e4. \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \ud558\ub8e8 \uc6d0\uc720 \uacf5\uae09\ub7c9\uc758 \uc57d 5\ubd84\uc758 1\uc774 \uc774 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ud1b5\uacfc\ud558\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uacf5\uae09 \ucc28\uc9c8(\uacf5\uae09\uc774 \uac11\uc790\uae30 \uc904\uc5b4 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669)\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub824\uba74 WTI\uc640 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720 \uac19\uc740 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc120\ubb3c(\ubbf8\ub798 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0 \uc815\ud55c \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \uae34 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. \ubd09\uc1c4\uac00 \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\ub418\uba74 2025\ub144\uc5d0 \uc7a0\uc2dc \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub358 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 150\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\uac00 \uc7ac\ucc28 \ub118\uc5b4\uc124 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uad00\uce21\ub3c4 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

2019\ub144\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc0ac\uc6b0\ub514 \uc2dc\uc124\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub4dc\ub860 \uacf5\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uacf5\uae09\uc758 5%\uac00 \uc77c\uc2dc \uc911\ub2e8\ub418\uba70 \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ud558\ub8e8 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \uc57d 20% \uae09\ub4f1\ud55c \uc0ac\ub840\uac00 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \uadf8\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud6e8\uc52c \uc2ec\uac01\ud574, \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870 \uc2dc \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud06c\uace0 \uc624\ub798\uac00\ub294 \ucda9\uaca9\uc744 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\ub840\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub294\uc9c0 \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \uc548 \ub41c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Portfolio Positioning For Escalation Risk<\/h3>\n

\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uacbd\uc81c\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \u2018\uc138\uae08\u2019\ucc98\ub7fc \uc791\uc6a9\ud574 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\ub97c \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub9b4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc6b0\uc9c0\uc218\uc758 \ubcf4\ud569 \ubc18\uc751\uc740 \ubd09\uc1c4 \ud604\uc2e4\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud569\uc758 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \uce58\uc6b0\uce5c \ub099\uad00\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc9c0\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubc29\uc5b4(\ud5e4\uc9c0\u00b7\ubd88\ub9ac\ud55c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub85c S&P500\uacfc \ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc5c5\ud3c9\uade0\uc9c0\uc218 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubd09\uc1c4\uc758 \uc9c1\uaca9\ud0c4\uc744 \ub9de\ub294 \uc5c5\uc885\uc740 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ud574\uc6b4\u00b7\ubb3c\ub958 \uae30\uc5c5, \ud2b9\ud788 \uc720\uc870\uc120 \uc6b4\uc601\uc0ac\ub2e4. \uc774\ub4e4 \uc885\ubaa9\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \uc0dd\uae38 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubcf4\ud5d8\ub8cc \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \uc6b0\ud68c \ud56d\ub85c \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \ube44\uc6a9 \uae09\uc99d\uc774 \uc218\uc775\uc131\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811 \ud0c0\uaca9\uc744 \uc8fc\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uae08\uc740 \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c \ub300\ud45c\uc801 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc774\uba70, \ucd08\uae30 \uae09\ub4f1\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \uc704\uae30\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubbfc\uac10\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc774 \uafb8\uc900\ud788 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 2025\ub144 \ud55c \ud574\uc5d0\ub9cc 800\ud1a4 \uc774\uc0c1\uc744 \ud761\uc218\ud55c \uc810\uc740 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub2e8\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uaf3d\ud78c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc0c1\ud669 \uc545\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \uae08 \uc120\ubb3c\uc774\ub098 \uae08 ETF(\uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ucd94\uc885\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\uc7a5\uc9c0\uc218\ud380\ub4dc) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ube44\uc911\uc744 \ub298\ub9ac\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc774 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ubd09\uc1c4 vs \uc774\ub780 \ud569\uc758\u201d\u2026\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9b0 \uc2e0\ud638\uc5d0 \uae08 \uae09\ub4f1\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\u00b7VIX \uae09\ub4f1. \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 \uc6d0\uc720\u00b7\uae08 \ucf5c, \uc8fc\uc2dd\u00b7\ud574\uc6b4 \ud48b \ub4f1 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44551","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44551","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44551"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44551\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44551"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44551"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44551"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}