{"id":44405,"date":"2026-04-10T21:50:33","date_gmt":"2026-04-10T21:50:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%9b%b0%ec%8a%a4%ed%8c%8c%ea%b3%a0-%ec%9d%b4%ec%bd%94%eb%85%b8%eb%af%b8%ec%8a%a4%ed%8a%b8%eb%93%a4-%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ed%9c%b4%ec%a0%84%ec%9d%80-%ec%95%84%ec%8a%ac%ec%95%84%ec%8a%ac\/"},"modified":"2026-04-10T21:50:33","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T21:50:33","slug":"%ec%9b%b0%ec%8a%a4%ed%8c%8c%ea%b3%a0-%ec%9d%b4%ec%bd%94%eb%85%b8%eb%af%b8%ec%8a%a4%ed%8a%b8%eb%93%a4-%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ed%9c%b4%ec%a0%84%ec%9d%80-%ec%95%84%ec%8a%ac%ec%95%84%ec%8a%ac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9b%b0%ec%8a%a4%ed%8c%8c%ea%b3%a0-%ec%9d%b4%ec%bd%94%eb%85%b8%eb%af%b8%ec%8a%a4%ed%8a%b8%eb%93%a4-%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ed%9c%b4%ec%a0%84%ec%9d%80-%ec%95%84%ec%8a%ac%ec%95%84%ec%8a%ac\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc6f0\uc2a4\ud30c\uace0 \uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf8\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub4e4 \u201c\uc911\ub3d9 \ud734\uc804\uc740 \uc544\uc2ac\uc544\uc2ac\u2026\uc11d\uc720 \uacf5\uae09 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc5ec\uc804, \uc804\ub9dd \uc2e0\ub8b0\ub3c4 \ub0ae\uc544\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc6f0\uc2a4\ud30c\uace0 \uad6d\uc81c\uacbd\uc81c\ud300\uc740 \uc911\ub3d9 \ud734\uc804\uc774 \ubd88\uc548\uc815\ud574 \uc720\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud655\uc2e0\ub3c4 \ub0ae\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \ud300\uc740 \uc2e4\uc81c \ubb34\ub825 \ucda9\ub3cc\uc774 2026\ub144 \uc911\ubc18\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc885\ub8cc\ub41c\ub2e4\uace0 \uac00\uc815\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc720\uac00\ub294 2026\ub144 \ud558\ubc18\uae30(H2\u00b77~12\uc6d4)\ub85c \uac08\uc218\ub85d \ud558\ub77d \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uacf5\uae09 \uce21\uba74\uc758 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \ucc28\uc9c8\uc744 \u201c\ud06c\uace0 \uc545\ud654\ub418\ub294 \uacf5\uae09 \ucda9\uaca9\u201d\uc73c\ub85c \ud45c\ud604\ud588\ub2e4. \uad6d\uc81c\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uae30\uad6c(IEA\u00b7\uc8fc\uc694\uad6d \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ubd84\uc11d\ud558\ub294 \uad6d\uc81c\uae30\uad6c)\ub294 \uc6d0\uc720 \uacf5\uae09 \uc911\ub2e8(\uc2dc\uc124 \uac00\ub3d9 \uc911\uc9c0\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub098\uc624\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\ub7c9)\uc774 \ud558\ub8e8 \uc57d 1,000\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4(mbpd\u00b7million barrels per day, \uc77c\uc77c 100\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4) \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c, \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \uacf5\uae09\uc758 \uc57d 10%\uc5d0 \ud574\ub2f9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ucd94\uc815\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c 4\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc5ec\uac74\uc774 \ub354 \uc545\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd24\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ud734\uc804 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc640 \uc720\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131<\/h3>\n<p>\ud734\uc804\uc774 \uc120\uc5b8\ub410\ub2e4\uace0 \ud574\uc11c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uace7\ubc14\ub85c \uc815\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uac00\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c\uace0\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc744 \ud1b5\uacfc\ud558\ub294 \ud574\uc0c1 \uc6b4\uc1a1\uacfc \uc9c0\uc5ed \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc740 \uc9c0\uc18d \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \ud3c9\ud654\uac00 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba74, \ud68c\ubcf5\uc774 \ub290\ub9ac\uac70\ub098 \uc544\uc608 \ud68c\ubcf5\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae30\uc0ac\uc5d0\ub294 \uc778\uacf5\uc9c0\ub2a5(AI\u00b7\uc0ac\ub78c\ucc98\ub7fc \uae00\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uac70\ub098 \ubd84\uc11d\ud558\ub294 \uc18c\ud504\ud2b8\uc6e8\uc5b4) \ub3c4\uad6c\ub85c \uc791\uc131\ud558\uace0 \ud3b8\uc9d1\uc790\uac00 \uac80\ud1a0\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \uc801\uc2dc\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \ud734\uc804\uc740 \ubd88\uc548\uc815\ud574 \ubcf4\uc774\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc911\ub3d9\uc5d0\uc11c \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \ucc28\uc9c8\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uc720\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub41c\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5(\uad6d\uac00\u00b7\uc9c0\uc5ed \uac08\ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \uc0dd\uae30\ub294 \uc815\uce58\uc801 \ubd88\uc548)\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud655\uc2e0\uc740 \ub0ae\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc790\uccb4\uac00 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354(\ub2e8\uae30 \ub9e4\ub9e4\uc790)\uac00 \ub300\uc751\ud574\uc57c \ud560 \ubcc0\uc218\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud604\uc7ac \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud06c\uace0 \uc545\ud654\ub418\ub294 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801 \uacf5\uae09 \ucda9\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uba74\ud574 \uc788\ub2e4. IEA\uac00 \uacf5\uae09 \uc911\ub2e8 \uac00\ub2a5 \ubb3c\ub7c9\uc744 \ud558\ub8e8 1,000\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9(\uae09\ub4f1)\uc5d0 \ucde8\uc57d\ud558\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uc815\ubcf4\uccad(EIA\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ud1b5\uacc4\u00b7\uc804\ub9dd \uae30\uad00) \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ubbf8\uad6d \uc6d0\uc720 \uc7ac\uace0(\uc800\uc7a5\ub41c \ubb3c\ub7c9)\uac00 250\ub9cc \ubc30\ub7f4 \uac10\uc18c\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \uc810\uc740, \ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc5d0 \uc644\ucda9 \uc5ec\ub825(\uc608\uc0c1\uce58 \ubabb\ud55c \ucda9\uaca9\uc744 \ud761\uc218\ud560 \uc5ec\uc720)\uc774 \uac70\uc758 \uc5c6\ub2e4\ub294 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ub2e8\uae30 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ub300\uc751 \ub9e4\ub9e4 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h3>\n<p>\uc774 \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc624\ub974\ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)\uc774 \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00\ub3fc \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \ud734\uc804\uc774 \uae68\uc9c8 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uac00\uaca9 \uae09\ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\ub3c4\ub85d \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720(\uc720\ub7fd\u00b7\uc138\uacc4 \uae30\uc900\uc774 \ub418\ub294 \uad6d\uc81c\uc720)\uc640 WTI(\uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0 \uc6d0\uc720\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uae30\uc900 \uc720\uc885) \uac19\uc740 \uae30\uc900 \uc720\uc885\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(call option\u00b7\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uc635\uc158 \uacc4\uc57d\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \ub0b4\uc7ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub0b4\ud3ec\ub41c \u2018\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\u2019)\uc740 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \uacf5\uae09\uc758 10%\uac00 \ucc28\uc9c8\uc744 \ube5a\uc744 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud734\uc804\uc740 \uc815\uc0c1\ud654\ub97c \uc758\ubbf8\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4. 2022\ub144 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud63c\ub780\uc744 \ubcf4\uba74, \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd(\uc6d0\uc720\u00b7\uc81c\ud488\uc774 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub3fc \uc6b4\uc1a1\u00b7\uc720\ud1b5\ub418\ub294 \uacbd\ub85c)\uc774 \uc870\uc815\ub418\ub294 \ub370 \uc2dc\uac04\uc774 \uc624\ub798 \uac78\ub838\uace0, \ucd08\uae30 \ucda9\uaca9 \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc218\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub3d9\uc548 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc6b4\uc1a1\uc774\ub098 \uc5ed\ub0b4 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc774 \ud68c\ubcf5\ub418\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub294 \ub290\ub9b4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0(\ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ub9c9\ub294 \ud798)\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae30\ubcf8 \uac00\uc815\uc740 2026\ub144 \uc911\ubc18 \ucda9\ub3cc \uc885\ub8cc\ub85c 2026\ub144 \ud558\ubc18\uae30 \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c4\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub2f9\uc7a5\uc758 \uc704\ud5d8\uc740 \ubd84\uba85\ud788 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucabd\uc5d0 \ub354 \uce58\uc6b0\uccd0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc7a5\uae30 \ud3c9\ud654\uac00 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uae30 \uc804\uc5d0 \ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \ub3c4\ub798\ud558\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc635\uc158(\ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \uc9e7\uc740 \uc635\uc158)\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ub4f1, \ub2e8\uae30 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \uc548\uc815\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc704\ud5d8\uc758 \uc804\uccb4 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub97c \uc778\uc2dd\ud558\uae30 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \uae30\ud68c\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\ud734\uc804=\uc548\uc815\u201d \ucc29\uac01 \uae08\ubb3c. \uc911\ub3d9 \ud734\uc804 \ubd88\uc548\uc5d0 \uc720\uac00 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uace0\uc870, IEA \uacf5\uae09\uc911\ub2e8 1,000\ub9ccbpd \uacbd\uace0. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00 \uc18d \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uc0c1, 2026\ub144 \ud558\ubc18\uae30 \ud558\ub77d \uc804\ub9dd.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44405","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 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content=\"VT Markets -\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\uc6f0\uc2a4\ud30c\uace0 \uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf8\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub4e4 \u201c\uc911\ub3d9 \ud734\uc804\uc740 \uc544\uc2ac\uc544\uc2ac\u2026\uc11d\uc720 \uacf5\uae09 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc5ec\uc804, \uc804\ub9dd \uc2e0\ub8b0\ub3c4 \ub0ae\uc544\u201d - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u201c\ud734\uc804=\uc548\uc815\u201d \ucc29\uac01 \uae08\ubb3c. \uc911\ub3d9 \ud734\uc804 \ubd88\uc548\uc5d0 \uc720\uac00 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uace0\uc870, IEA \uacf5\uae09\uc911\ub2e8 1,000\ub9ccbpd \uacbd\uace0. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00 \uc18d \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uc0c1, 2026\ub144 \ud558\ubc18\uae30 \ud558\ub77d \uc804\ub9dd.\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9b%b0%ec%8a%a4%ed%8c%8c%ea%b3%a0-%ec%9d%b4%ec%bd%94%eb%85%b8%eb%af%b8%ec%8a%a4%ed%8a%b8%eb%93%a4-%ec%a4%91%eb%8f%99-%ed%9c%b4%ec%a0%84%ec%9d%80-%ec%95%84%ec%8a%ac%ec%95%84%ec%8a%ac\/\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-04-10T21:50:33+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-04-10T21:50:33+00:00\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"\uc6f0\uc2a4\ud30c\uace0 \uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf8\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub4e4 \u201c\uc911\ub3d9 \ud734\uc804\uc740 \uc544\uc2ac\uc544\uc2ac\u2026\uc11d\uc720 \uacf5\uae09 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc5ec\uc804, \uc804\ub9dd \uc2e0\ub8b0\ub3c4 \ub0ae\uc544\u201d - VT Markets\" \/>\n\t\t<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"\u201c\ud734\uc804=\uc548\uc815\u201d \ucc29\uac01 \uae08\ubb3c. \uc911\ub3d9 \ud734\uc804 \ubd88\uc548\uc5d0 \uc720\uac00 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