{"id":44399,"date":"2026-04-10T19:50:30","date_gmt":"2026-04-10T19:50:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%eb%af%b8%ec%8b%9c%ea%b0%84%eb%8c%80-5%eb%85%84-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-3-2%e2%86%923-4-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9\/"},"modified":"2026-04-10T19:50:30","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T19:50:30","slug":"%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%eb%af%b8%ec%8b%9c%ea%b0%84%eb%8c%80-5%eb%85%84-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-3-2%e2%86%923-4-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%eb%af%b8%ec%8b%9c%ea%b0%84%eb%8c%80-5%eb%85%84-%ea%b8%b0%eb%8c%80%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-3-2%e2%86%923-4-%ec%83%81%ec%8a%b9\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \ubbf8\uc2dc\uac04\ub300 5\ub144 \uae30\ub300\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 3.2%\u21923.4% \uc0c1\uc2b9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 5\ub144 \uae30\ub300 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uc124\ubb38 \uae30\ubc18)\uc740 4\uc6d4 3.4%\ub85c, \uc774\uc804 3.2%\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.2%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc624\ub978 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c, \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c 5\ub144 \ub3d9\uc548\uc758 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uae30\ub300 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \u2018\ubb3c\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \ud750\ub984(\ub514\uc2a4\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158)\u2019\uc774 \ub048\uc801\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac<\/h3>\n<p>5\ub144 \uae30\ub300 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 3.4%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uac00\uba74\uc11c, \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac08 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae30\uc874 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \uc81c\ub3d9\uc774 \uac78\ub838\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uadfc\uc6d0\uc801\uc778 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc624\ub798 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \u2018\uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \ubc18\ub4f1\u2019\uc774\ub77c\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4, \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45(\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uae30\ub97c \uc870\uc808\ud558\ub294 \uc815\ucc45) \uacbd\ub85c\uac00 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 2026\ub144 \ub0a8\uc740 \uae30\uac04 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ubcf4\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd5c\uc18c \ub450 \ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud574 \uc654\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774\uc81c\ub294 \uadf8 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc9c0\ub098\uce58\uac8c \ub099\uad00\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2025\ub144\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ube44\uc2b7\ud558\uac8c, \uc644\ud654 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c \uc5ec\ub7ec \ubc88 \ub4a4\ub85c \ubc00\ub838\ub358 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uacfc \ub2ee\uc544 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uae08\ub9ac \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354(\uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790) \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 SOFR(\ub2f4\ubcf4\ubd80 \uc775\uc77c \uae08\ub9ac, \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub2e8\uae30\uc790\uae08\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ub300\ud45c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac)\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub41c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc810\uac80\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 \ub9d0~2027\ub144 \ucd08 \uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c\uc740 Fed\uac00 \u2018\ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\u2019\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. CME FedWatch Tool(\uc2dc\uce74\uace0\uc0c1\ud488\uac70\ub798\uc18c\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\u00b7\uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud574 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 9\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc57d 60%\ub85c \ubcf4\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774\ubc88 \uae30\ub300 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uadf8 \ud655\ub960\uc5d0 \uc758\ubb38\uc744 \ub358\uc9c4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub192\uc740 \uae30\ub300 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc7a5\uae30\uac04 \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uae30\uc5c5\uc758 \uc774\uc775\ub960(\uc6d0\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \ub9c8\uc9c4\uc774 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4dc\ub294 \ubb38\uc81c)\uacfc \ubc38\ub958\uc5d0\uc774\uc158(\uc8fc\uac00\uc758 \uc801\uc815 \uc218\uc900 \ud3c9\uac00)\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5100\ucc98\ub7fc \uc131\uc7a5\uc8fc \ube44\uc911\uc774 \ud070 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud558\ubbc0\ub85c, \ubc29\uc5b4 \ubaa9\uc801\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac\ub85c, \ud558\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ub9c9\ub294 \uc218\ub2e8) \ub9e4\uc218 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba74 VIX(\ubbf8\uad6d \uc99d\uc2dc\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\ub3c4 \ud558\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0(\uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc0c1\uc1c4\ud558\ub294 \uac70\ub798) \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218, \uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uad6c\uc785\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\ud45c) \ud750\ub984\uacfc\ub3c4 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9b0\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec \uadfc\uc6d0 \ubb3c\uac00(\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \ud488\ubaa9\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00)\uac00 3.7%\ub85c Fed \ubaa9\ud45c(2%)\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. 2022\ub144\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 Fed\uc758 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub300\uc751 \uc758\uc9c0\ub97c \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00\ud574 \u2018\ube60\ub978 \uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ud658\u2019\uc744 \uae30\ub300\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \ud070 \uc190\uc2e4\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uc804\ub840\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uac19\uc740 \uc2e4\uc218\ub97c \uacbd\uacc4\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\ub354 \ub192\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd<\/h3>\n<p>\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uac70\ub798\ub3c4 \uc7ac\uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc2a4\uc651(\uc2e4\uc81c \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uacfc \uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc11c\ub85c \uad50\ud658\ud558\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488)\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae30\ub300 \uc218\uc900(\ube0c\ub808\uc774\ud06c\uc774\ube10, \uba85\ubaa9\uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \ubb3c\uac00\uc5f0\ub3d9\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \uacc4\uc0b0\ub418\ub294 \uae30\ub300 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158)\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc2e4\ud604 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ub354 \ub192\uac8c \ub098\uc62c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \ub610 TIPS ETF(\ubbf8\uad6d \ubb3c\uac00\uc5f0\ub3d9\uad6d\ucc44\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc790\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\uc7a5\uc9c0\uc218\ud380\ub4dc) \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub3c4 \uae30\ub300 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ub354 \uc624\ub97c \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c\ub514\uc2a4\uc778\ud50c\ub808 \uaebe\uc774\ub098\u201d \ubbf8\uad6d 5\ub144 \uae30\ub300\uc778\ud50c\ub808 3.4%\ub85c 0.2%p \uc0c1\uc2b9. \uc5f0\uc900 \uc870\uae30 \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \ud754\ub4e4\uba70 \u2018\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\u2019 \uc7ac\ubd80\uc0c1, \uc8fc\uc2dd \ubc38\ub958\u00b7\ub9c8\uc9c4 \uc555\ubc15\uc5d0 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \ud544\uc694.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44399","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44399","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44399"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44399\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44399"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44399"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44399"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}