{"id":44394,"date":"2026-04-10T18:27:50","date_gmt":"2026-04-10T18:27:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%8a%a4%ec%bd%94%ed%8b%b0%ec%95%84%eb%b1%85%ed%81%ac-%ec%a0%84%eb%9e%b5%ea%b0%80%eb%93%a4-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-1-17-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%eb%b0%95%ec%8a%a4\/"},"modified":"2026-04-10T18:27:50","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T18:27:50","slug":"%ec%8a%a4%ec%bd%94%ed%8b%b0%ec%95%84%eb%b1%85%ed%81%ac-%ec%a0%84%eb%9e%b5%ea%b0%80%eb%93%a4-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-1-17-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%eb%b0%95%ec%8a%a4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%8a%a4%ec%bd%94%ed%8b%b0%ec%95%84%eb%b1%85%ed%81%ac-%ec%a0%84%eb%9e%b5%ea%b0%80%eb%93%a4-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-1-17-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc%ec%97%90%ec%84%9c-%eb%b0%95%ec%8a%a4\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc2a4\ucf54\ud2f0\uc544\ubc45\ud06c \uc804\ub7b5\uac00\ub4e4 \u201c\uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec, 1.17 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\u2026\uc2ec\ub9ac\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \uc694\uc778\uc5d0 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"

EUR\/USD\ub294 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc6b0\ub824 \uc644\ud654\ub85c \ucd5c\uadfc \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \ub4a4 1.17 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ud6a1\ubcf4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ubd81\ubbf8 \uc138\uc158 \ucd08\ubc18\uc5d0\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 0.1% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc635\uc158 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \u2018\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ub9ac\ubc84\uc124(risk reversal\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9 \ucc28\uc774\ub85c \ud22c\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\u2019\uc774 \uac1c\uc120\ub418\uba70 \uc720\ub85c \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \u2018\ubcf4\ud5d8 \uc218\uc694(\ud558\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ub9c9\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218)\u2019\uac00 \uc904\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \u2018\ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138(\uacbd\uc81c \uae30\ucd08\uc5ec\uac74: \uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\uc131\uc7a5\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \ub4f1)\u2019\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uac08 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4e0 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Near Term Drivers For Eurusd<\/h3>\n

\u2018\uae08\ub9ac \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(yield spread\u00b7\uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774, \ubcf4\ud1b5 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \ub3c5\uc77c \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774)\u2019\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\ub85c\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 EUR\/USD\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2e8\uae30 \u2018\uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc9c0\ud45c(\ucc28\ud2b8 \uae30\ubc18 \uc9c0\ud45c)\u2019\ub3c4 \uac15\uc138\ub2e4. RSI(RSI\u00b7\uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218: \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\u00b7\ud558\ub77d\uc758 \ud798\uc744 0~100\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 50\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3c8\ub2e4. \uc55e\uc11c 3\uc6d4 \uc911\uc21c\uc5d0\ub294 RSI\uac00 20 \uadfc\ucc98\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub0b4\ub824\uac00 \uacfc\ub9e4\ub3c4(\ub108\ubb34 \ub9ce\uc774 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uc0c1\ud0dc) \uc2e0\ud638\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6e0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc800\ud56d\uc740 1.18 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ub41c\ub2e4. 1.18\uc740 2\uc6d4 \ud558\ubc18\uae30 \u2018\ud63c\uc7a1 \uad6c\uac04(congestion area\u00b7\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc881\uc740 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc790\uc8fc \uc624\uac00\uba70 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131\uc774 \uc57d\ud588\ub358 \uad6c\uac04)\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30 \uc608\uc0c1 \uac70\ub798 \ubc94\uc704\ub294 1.1680~1.1780\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Options Positioning And Trade Ideas<\/h3>\n

\uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub410\ub358 \uae08\ub9ac \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\uac00 \uc774\uc81c\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \ubc14\ub00c\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d 10\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44\uc640 \ub3c5\uc77c 10\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44(\ubd84\ud2b8) \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uae30\uc758 \uacac\uc870\ud568 \uc18d\uc5d0 200bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\u00b70.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \ub0b4\uc678\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc8c\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \ubc30\uacbd\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \u2018\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud45c\uc2dc \uc790\uc0b0(\uc218\uc775\uc774 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ub098\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0)\u2019\uc774 \uc774\uc790 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c \ub354 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc784\uc744 \ub73b\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ucd5c\uadfc \uc9c0\ud45c\ub3c4 \uc774\ub7f0 \uaca9\ucc28\ub97c \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud55c\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 3\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2e0\uaddc \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 25\ub9cc\uba85 \uc774\uc0c1 \ub298\uba70 \uac15\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\uace0, \uc5f0\uc900(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc740 \u2018\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(hawkish\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\/\uae34\ucd95 \uc120\ud638)\u2019 \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 ECB(\uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\ub294 \ub354 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\uc874 3\uc6d4 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 2.6%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc62c\ub790\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc131\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc84c\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774\ub294 EUR\/USD\uc5d0 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825(\uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub204\ub974\ub294 \ud798)\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c 2025\ub144\uc758 \ub099\uad00\uc740 \uaebe\uc600\uace0, \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub294 \ubc18\uc804\ub410\ub2e4. EUR\/USD 1\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ub9ac\ubc84\uc124\uc740 \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uc5b4 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc774 \uc720\ub85c \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc5d0 \ub354 \ube44\uc2fc \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc744 \uc9c0\ubd88\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc791\ub144\uc5d0 \uad00\ucc30\ub410\ub358 \u2018\ud558\ub77d \ubc29\uc5b4 \uc218\uc694 \uc644\ud654\u2019\uc640\ub294 \uc815\ubc18\ub300\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uc720\ub85c \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uac70\ub098 \uc774\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00(strike price\u00b7\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0b4\/\ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uac00\uaca9) 1.0750 \ub610\ub294 1.0700 \ubd80\uadfc\uc758 EUR\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uba74 1.0800 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120(support level\u00b7\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc790\uc8fc \ubc84\ud2f0\ub294 \uad6c\uac04) \uc544\ub798\ub85c \uc774\ud0c8\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud558\uac8c \ub300\ube44\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub824\uba74 \u2018\ubca0\uc5b4 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bear put spread\u00b7\ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ud48b \ub9e4\uc218 + \ub354 \ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 \ud48b \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc870\ud569\uc73c\ub85c \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \ubca0\ud305 \uc804\ub7b5)\u2019\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc644\ud654\uc5d0 EUR\/USD 1.17 \ud6a1\ubcf4. \ub2e8\uae30 \uae30\uc220\u00b7\uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc\uac00 \uc720\ub85c\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ubbf8\u00b7\ub3c5 \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28 \ud655\ub300\uc640 Fed \ub9e4\ud30c\u00b7ECB \uc2e0\uc911\ub860\uc5d0 \uc635\uc158\uc2ec\ub9ac \uae09\ubc18\uc804, \uc720\ub85c \uc57d\uc138 \ubca0\ud305 \ubd80\uc0c1.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44394","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44394","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44394"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44394\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44394"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44394"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44394"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}