{"id":44388,"date":"2026-04-10T16:53:11","date_gmt":"2026-04-10T16:53:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/ocbc-%ec%a0%84%eb%9e%b5%ea%b0%80%eb%93%a4-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-rbnz-%eb%b0%9c%ec%96%b8%c2%b7%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac%ec%97%90-%eb%89%b4\/"},"modified":"2026-04-10T16:53:11","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T16:53:11","slug":"ocbc-%ec%a0%84%eb%9e%b5%ea%b0%80%eb%93%a4-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-rbnz-%eb%b0%9c%ec%96%b8%c2%b7%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac%ec%97%90-%eb%89%b4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/ocbc-%ec%a0%84%eb%9e%b5%ea%b0%80%eb%93%a4-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-rbnz-%eb%b0%9c%ec%96%b8%c2%b7%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd-%eb%a6%ac%ec%8a%a4%ed%81%ac%ec%97%90-%eb%89%b4\/","title":{"rendered":"OCBC \uc804\ub7b5\uac00\ub4e4 \u201c\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 RBNZ \ubc1c\uc5b8\u00b7\uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u2026\ub2e4\ub9cc \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc601\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec(NZD)\uac00 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBNZ) \ube0c\ub808\uba3c \ucd1d\uc7ac\uc758 \uae34\ucd95 \uc131\ud5a5(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc5b5\uc81c\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9ac\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc785\uc7a5) \ubc1c\uc5b8\uacfc \uc720\uac00 \uad00\ub828 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc644\ud654\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ucd1d\uc7ac\ub294 \uae30\uc870\ubb3c\uac00(\uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \uc694\uc778\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00 \ud750\ub984)\uac00 \ube68\ub77c\uc9c8 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ub300\uc751\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc120\ud638)\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc11c\uba70 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1(\uac01 0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uc57d 3\ud68c\uac00 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc774\ub294 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc758 \ud070 \ub9c8\uc774\ub108\uc2a4 \uc0b0\ucd9c\uac2d(\uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \uc7a0\uc7ac\ub825\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub35c \ub3cc\uc544\uac00\ub294 \uc0c1\ud0dc)\uacfc \ucd5c\uadfc \ubd84\uae30\uc758 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c \uc131\uc7a5 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Market Takes A More Hawkish Turn<\/h3>\n

NZD\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec(AUD) \ub300\ube44 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 NZD\uc758 \ubbf8\ub2ec\ub7ec(USD) \ub300\ube44 \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, NZD\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 AUD\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc131\uacfc\uac00 \ub4a4\ucc98\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

RBNZ\uc758 \uccab \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uc2dc\uc810\uc740 2026\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30(4Q26)\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub41c\ub2e4. 25bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8, 0.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) 1\ud68c \uc778\uc0c1 \uc2dc 2026\ub144 \ub9d0 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 2.75%\uac00 \ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Why The Market May Be Overpricing Hikes<\/h3>\n

\ub2e4\ub9cc \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub108\ubb34 \ube60\ub974\uace0 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \uae34\ucd95\uc744 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 3\uc6d4 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\uc11c \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP) \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 0.1%\ub85c \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uc815\uccb4\uc600\uace0, \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\ub3c4 2.8%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uacbd\uae30 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \uc27d\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uae08\ub9ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uac70\uc758 3\ud68c \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ud070 \ub9c8\uc774\ub108\uc2a4 \uc0b0\ucd9c\uac2d\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba74 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud574 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. 2025\ub144\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ube44\uc2b7\ud558\uac8c \uc131\uc7a5 \ubd80\uc9c4\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba70 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uac15\uacbd \ub300\uc751\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub41c \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub418\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d) \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc NZD \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 3~6\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 NZD\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uba74 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc(\uac00\uaca9 \uc870\uc815)\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub85c \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9(\ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4, \uc635\uc158 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0 \uc9c0\uae09\ud558\ub294 \ube44\uc6a9)\uc774 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc778 \uc218\uc900\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc124\uba85\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub610\ud55c NZD\ub294 AUD \ub300\ube44 \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud638\uc8fc\ub294 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 4.0% \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc774\uace0, \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uc218\ucd9c \uc218\uc694\ub3c4 \uacac\uc870\ud574 \uacbd\uae30 \uccb4\ub825\uc774 \ub354 \ud0c4\ud0c4\ud574 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \uc120\ub3c4\uacc4\uc57d(\ubbf8\ub798 \ud2b9\uc815 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0 \uc815\ud55c \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d)\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c AUD\/NZD \ub9e4\uc218(\ub871) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc778 \ud398\uc5b4 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc(\ub450 \ud1b5\ud654\u00b7\uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \uc0ac\uace0\ud30c\ub294 \uc0c1\ub300\uac00\uce58 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

RBNZ\ub294 2026\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ubbf8\ub8f0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uace0, \uc62c\ud574\ub294 25bp 1\ud68c \uc778\uc0c1\ub9cc \uc608\uc0c1\ub3fc \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 2.75%\uac00 \ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc2a4\uc651 \uc2dc\uc7a5(\uc774\uc790\uc728 \uc2a4\uc651, \uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uad50\ud658\ud558\ub294 \uac70\ub798)\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\uc601 \uc911\uc778 \uc218\uc900\uacfc \ud070 \ucc28\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\ub9e4\ud30c RBNZ\u201d\uc5d0 NZD \uae09\ub4f1\u2026\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac 3\ud68c \uc778\uc0c1 \uacfc\ub300\ubc18\uc601 \ub17c\ub780. \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\u00b7\ub9c8\uc774\ub108\uc2a4 \uc0b0\ucd9c\uac2d\uc5d0 4Q26 \uccab \uc778\uc0c1 \uc804\ub9dd, NZD \ub9e4\ub3c4\u00b7AUD\/NZD \ub871 \uc81c\uc2dc.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44388","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44388","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44388"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44388\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44388"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44388"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44388"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}