{"id":44328,"date":"2026-04-10T08:27:34","date_gmt":"2026-04-10T08:27:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/bny-%ec%a0%84%eb%9e%b5%ea%b0%80-%ec%a0%9c%ed%94%84-%ec%9c%a0-%eb%b6%84%ec%9f%81-%ec%86%8d-%ec%9c%84%ec%95%88%ed%99%94-2%ec%b0%a8-%ec%95%88%ec%a0%84%ec%9e%90%ec%82%b0-%ec%97%ad%ed%95%a0\/"},"modified":"2026-04-10T08:27:34","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T08:27:34","slug":"bny-%ec%a0%84%eb%9e%b5%ea%b0%80-%ec%a0%9c%ed%94%84-%ec%9c%a0-%eb%b6%84%ec%9f%81-%ec%86%8d-%ec%9c%84%ec%95%88%ed%99%94-2%ec%b0%a8-%ec%95%88%ec%a0%84%ec%9e%90%ec%82%b0-%ec%97%ad%ed%95%a0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/bny-%ec%a0%84%eb%9e%b5%ea%b0%80-%ec%a0%9c%ed%94%84-%ec%9c%a0-%eb%b6%84%ec%9f%81-%ec%86%8d-%ec%9c%84%ec%95%88%ed%99%94-2%ec%b0%a8-%ec%95%88%ec%a0%84%ec%9e%90%ec%82%b0-%ec%97%ad%ed%95%a0\/","title":{"rendered":"BNY \uc804\ub7b5\uac00 \uc81c\ud504 \uc720 \u201c\ubd84\uc7c1 \uc18d \uc704\uc548\ud654, 2\ucc28 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc5ed\ud560\u2026\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uad00\ub9ac, \uc911\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44(CGB) \ubcf4\uc720\uc640 \uc5ed\uc0c1\uad00\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\ubd84\uc7c1 \uccab \uc8fc\uc5d0 \uc704\uc548\ud654(CNY)\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc548\uc815\ub41c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uac00\uc7a5 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778 \ud1b5\ud654\uc600\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd84\uc11d\uc758 \ucd08\uc810\uc740 \uc704\uc548\ud654\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub2e4\uc74c\uc758 \u20182\ucc28 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\u2019\ucc98\ub7fc \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\ub294\uc9c0 \uc5ec\ubd80\uc600\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc11c **\uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0**\uc740 \uc704\uae30 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c \uc790\uae08\uc774 \ubab0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \ub73b\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d\uc740 \uc800\ucd95 \ube44\uc911\uc774 \ud070 \uc544\uc2dc\uc544\u00b7\ud0dc\ud3c9\uc591 \uc9c0\uc5ed \uc8fc\uc694\uad6d\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc218\uae09 \ucda9\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub35c \ucde8\uc57d\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\ub97c \ubc1b\uc73c\uba70(\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uacf5\uae09\u00b7\uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \ubc84\ud2f8 \ud798) \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc790\uae08 \ud750\ub984(\ud50c\ub85c\uc6b0) \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc704\uc548\ud654 \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \uc911\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44(CGB)\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uc790\uae08 \uc720\ucd9c\uacfc \ub9de\ubb3c\ub824 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. **\ud50c\ub85c\uc6b0 \ub370\uc774\ud130**\ub294 \uc790\uae08\uc774 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \u2018\uc21c\uc720\uc785(\ub9e4\uc218 \uc6b0\uc704)\u2019 \ub610\ub294 \u2018\uc21c\uc720\ucd9c(\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc6b0\uc704)\u2019\ub418\ub294\uc9c0\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub2e4. \uc62c\ud574 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84 \uae30\uac04 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc704\uc548\ud654\uc640 \uc911\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44 \ubcf4\uc720\ub294 \ubc18\ub300 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\uace0, \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158)\uc73c\ub85c \uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc6b0\ub824 \uc18d\uc5d0 \uad6d\ucc44 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uba74\uc11c(\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uccad\uc0b0) \uc704\uc548\ud654\ub97c \uc0ac\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ud3ec\ucc29\ub410\ub2e4. **\uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac**\ub294 \uba85\ubaa9\uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0\uc11c \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc744 \ube80 \uac12\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Shift In Flow Dynamics<\/h3>\n<p>\uc6d4\ub9d0\ub85c \uac08\uc218\ub85d \uc911\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub298\uc5c8\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc704\uc548\ud654\ub294 \uc21c\ub9e4\ub3c4\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc130\uace0 \uc774\ub294 \ud658\uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc99d\uac00\uc640 \ub9de\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc774\ub2e4. **\ud5e4\uc9c0(\uc704\ud5d8\ud68c\ud53c)**\ub294 \ud658\uc728 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ub4f1 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ubc18\ub300 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ucde8\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ub9d0\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 2\ubd84\uae30 \ucd08\ubc18 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc704\uc548\ud654\uc640 \uc911\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44\uac00 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc21c\ub9e4\uc218\ub418\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \ud328\ud134\uc740 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \ub9e4\ub825\uc774 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740\ub370\ub3c4 \uc704\uc548\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \u2018\uc21c\ub178\ucd9c(\uadf8\ub300\ub85c \ub4e4\uace0 \uac00\ub294 \ud22c\uc790)\u2019\uc774 \ub298\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. **\uc0c1\ub300\uae08\ub9ac**\ub294 \ub2e4\ub978 \ub098\ub77c \uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \ube44\uad50\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc774\uba70, **\uc21c\ub178\ucd9c**\uc740 \ud5e4\uc9c0\ub85c \uc0c1\uc1c4\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \uc2e4\uc81c \ud22c\uc790 \ube44\uc911\uc744 \ub73b\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc911\uad6d \uc778\ubbfc\uc740\ud589(PBoC)\uc774 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uc2e4\ud6a8\ud658\uc728(REER) \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uaebc\ub824\uc654\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810(\uc704\uc548\ud654\uc758 \uc2e4\uc9c8 \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uacfc\ub3c4\ud558\uac8c \uc624\ub974\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uc5b5\uc81c)\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \uace0\ub824\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. **\uc2e4\uc9c8\uc2e4\ud6a8\ud658\uc728(REER)**\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00\uc640 \uad50\uc5ed \uc0c1\ub300\uad6d \ud1b5\ud654\ub97c \ud568\uaed8 \ubc18\uc601\ud574 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud55c \u2018\uc2e4\uc9c8 \uae30\uc900\u2019\uc758 \uc885\ud569 \ud658\uc728\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub2e4\ub978 \ud574\uc11d\uc73c\ub85c\ub294, \ud32c\ub370\ubbf9 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc7ac\uac1c\ubc29 \ub4a4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub358 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \u2018\ub9ac\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\uacbd\uae30\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \ub3d9\ubc18 \ud68c\ubcf5)\u2019\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc2dc\uc791\ub418\uace0, \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ud2c0\ub838\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. **\ub9ac\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158**\uc740 \uacbd\uae30 \ubd80\uc591\uc73c\ub85c \ubb3c\uac00\uc640 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 \ud568\uaed8 \uc62c\ub77c\uac00\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ub73b\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ud734\uc804 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\uc804\ubd80\ud130 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc774 \uc644\ud654 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uc5c8\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4 \ubc30\uacbd\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. **\uc644\ud654\uc801 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45**\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub298\ub9ac\ub294 \uc815\ucc45\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>2025\ub144 \ucd08 \ubd84\uc7c1 \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \ub3cc\uc544\ubcf4\uba74, \uc704\uc548\ud654\ub294 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\ucc98\ub7fc \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\uc9c0\ub9cc \ucd08\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc911\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44\ub97c \ud314\uba74\uc11c \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \ud604\uc0c1\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc989 \ucc44\uad8c\uc5d0\uc11c \ube60\uc838\ub098\uc628 \ub3c8\uc774 \ud1b5\ud654\ub85c \ub4e4\uc5b4\uac00\ub294 \uc5ed(\u9006)\uad00\uacc4\uac00 \uc791\ub144 \ub0b4\ub0b4 \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 2025\ub144 2\ubd84\uae30 \ubb34\ub835\ubd80\ud130 \uc704\uc548\ud654\uc640 \uc911\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44\uac00 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc21c\ub9e4\uc218\ub418\ub294 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uad00\uce21\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774 \u2018\ub3d9\uc2dc \uc720\uc785\u2019 \ud750\ub984\uc740 2026\ub144\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\uba70, \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc911\uad6d \uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud788 \uc804\uc220\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uc9c1\uc811 \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc131\ud5a5\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc790\ub8cc\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 2026\ub144 3\uc6d4 \uc678\uad6d\uc778\uc758 \uc911\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44 \ubcf4\uc720\ub294 800\uc5b5 \uc704\uc548(\u00a580bn) \uc774\uc0c1 \uc21c\uc720\uc785\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud574 4\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc18d \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \u2018\ud604\uae08 \uc8fc\ucc28\u2019\ud558\ub4ef \uba38\ubb34\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c, \ud658\ud5e4\uc9c0\ub97c \uc904\uc778 \ucc44 \uc911\uad6d \ucc44\uad8c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc790\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc790\uc2e0\uac10\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\ub85c \uc77d\ud78c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>Implications For Traders<\/h3>\n<p>\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354(\uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \ub4f1 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488 \uac70\ub798\uc790) \uc785\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc218\uc694 \uc9c0\uc18d\uacfc \uc778\ubbfc\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc548\uc815 \uc120\ud638(\uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ud658\uc728 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc5b5\uc81c)\ub85c \ud658\uc728 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. **\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488**\uc740 \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0(\ud658\uc728\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \ub4f1)\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uacb0\uc815\ub418\ub294 \uae08\uc735\uc0c1\ud488\uc774\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc 1\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30 \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc704\uc548(USD\/CNY) \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(IV)\uc740 \uc218\ub144\ub798 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900 \uadfc\ucc98\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\ub2e4. **\ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131**\uc740 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \u2018\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u2019\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\uc744 \ub54c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub0b4\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc778 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ub4f1\uc774 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. **\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00 \ub9e4\ub3c4**\ub294 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uac00 \ub2e4\ub978 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \ud314\uc544 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c, \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc73c\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \ub54c \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae30\ubcf8 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub294 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uc774\ud0c8(\uae09\ub4f1\ub77d)\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uad00\ub9ac\ub41c \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc911\uad6d\uc758 \ub9ac\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 5.1%\ub85c \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud655\uc778\ub418\uba70 \ud798\uc744 \uc5bb\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc5ec\ub7ec \ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \ub2e8\ud589\ud55c \ub4a4 \uc77c\uc2dc \uc911\ub2e8(\ub3d9\uacb0 \uc2dc\uc0ac) \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ub0b4\uba74\uc11c \uc911\uad6d \uc790\uc0b0 \ubcf4\uc720\uc758 \uc190\uc775 \uad6c\uc870\uac00 \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. **\uae08\ub9ac\ucc28(\ubbf8\u00b7\uc911 \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28)**\uac00 \ub354 \ubc8c\uc5b4\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc54a\uac8c \ub418\uba74 \uc704\uc548\ud654\uc5d0\ub294 \uae30\ucd08\uc801\uc778(\ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138) \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uacfc\uac70\ucc98\ub7fc \uc911\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44(CGB) \ud22c\uc790\ub97c \uc804\ubd80 \ud658\ud5e4\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \u2018\uae30\uc874 \uad00\ud589\u2019\uc740 \uc774\uc81c \ud6a8\uacfc\uac00 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud1b5\ud654\uc640 \ucc44\uad8c\uc758 \ub3d9\uc2dc \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uc704\uc548\ud654 \ud604\ubb3c(\uc9c1\uc811 \ubcf4\uc720) \uac15\uc138 \ubca0\ud305, \ub610\ub294 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc774\uac70\ub098 \uac15\ud55c \uc704\uc548\ud654\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \uc2e4\ud589 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc911\uad6d \uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \ub2e8\uae30 \uac70\ub798 \ub300\uc0c1\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \ud575\uc2ec \ubcf4\uc720 \uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \ubc14\ub77c\ubcf4\ub294 \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \ubcc0\ud654\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc704\uc548\ud654, \u20182\ucc28 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\u2019 \ubd80\uc0c1\ud558\ub098: \ubd84\uc7c1\uae30 \uac15\uc138 \uc18d CGB \uc720\ucd9c\uacfc \uc5ed\ud589\ud558\ub2e4 2\ubd84\uae30\ubd80\ud130 \ud1b5\ud654\u00b7\uad6d\ucc44 \ub3d9\uc2dc \uc720\uc785. \ud5e4\uc9c0 \ucd95\uc18c\u00b7\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc800\uc810\uc5d0 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00 \ub9e4\ub3c4 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