{"id":44301,"date":"2026-04-10T06:14:18","date_gmt":"2026-04-10T06:14:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%af%b8-%ec%83%81%eb%ac%b4%eb%b6%80-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c%eb%b6%84%ec%84%9d%ea%b5%adbea-3%ec%b0%a8-%ec%b6%94%ec%a0%95%ec%b9%98-2025%eb%85%84-4%eb%b6%84%ea%b8%b0-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%8b%a4%ec%a7%88\/"},"modified":"2026-04-10T06:14:18","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T06:14:18","slug":"%eb%af%b8-%ec%83%81%eb%ac%b4%eb%b6%80-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c%eb%b6%84%ec%84%9d%ea%b5%adbea-3%ec%b0%a8-%ec%b6%94%ec%a0%95%ec%b9%98-2025%eb%85%84-4%eb%b6%84%ea%b8%b0-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%8b%a4%ec%a7%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%af%b8-%ec%83%81%eb%ac%b4%eb%b6%80-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c%eb%b6%84%ec%84%9d%ea%b5%adbea-3%ec%b0%a8-%ec%b6%94%ec%a0%95%ec%b9%98-2025%eb%85%84-4%eb%b6%84%ea%b8%b0-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%8b%a4%ec%a7%88\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubbf8 \uc0c1\ubb34\ubd80 \uacbd\uc81c\ubd84\uc11d\uad6d(BEA) 3\ucc28 \ucd94\uc815\uce58: 2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc2e4\uc9c8 GDP, \uc5f0\uc728 0.5% \uc131\uc7a5\u2026\uc804\ub9dd\uce58 0.7% \ud558\ud68c"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8 \uc0c1\ubb34\ubd80 \uacbd\uc81c\ubd84\uc11d\uad6d(BEA)\uc758 3\ucc28 \ucd94\uc815\uce58\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc2e4\uc9c8 \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc81c\uac70\ud55c \uc131\uc7a5\ub960)\uc740 \uc5f0\uc728 \uae30\uc900 0.5% \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc9c1\uc804 \ucd94\uc815\uce58(0.7%)\uc5d0\uc11c \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c4 \uac83\uc774\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58(0.7%)\ub3c4 \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

BEA\ub294 2\ucc28 \ucd94\uc815\uce58 \ub300\ube44 GDP\uac00 0.2%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub410\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc694 \uc6d0\uc778\uc740 \ud22c\uc790(\uc124\ube44\u00b7\uc8fc\ud0dd\u00b7\uc7ac\uace0 \ub4f1 \uc9c0\ucd9c)\uc758 \ucd94\uc815\uce58\uac00 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \ubd84\uae30 \uc911 \uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c\uacfc \ud22c\uc790\ub294 \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Gdp Estimate Revision Drivers<\/h3>\n

\ub2e4\ub9cc \uc815\ubd80\uc9c0\ucd9c\uacfc \uc218\ucd9c \uac10\uc18c\uac00 \uc99d\uac00\ubd84 \uc77c\ubd80\ub97c \uc0c1\uc1c4\ud588\ub2e4. \uc218\uc785\uc740 \uc904\uc5c8\ub294\ub370, GDP \uc0b0\ucd9c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc218\uc785\uc744 \ube7c\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc218\uc785 \uac10\uc18c\ub294 GDP\uc5d0 \ud50c\ub7ec\uc2a4 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubc1c\ud45c \uc9c1\ud6c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(\uc8fc\uc694 6\uac1c \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58)\ub294 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc5c6\uc774 99.00 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \uc804\uc77c(\uc218\uc694\uc77c) \uc885\uac00 \uc218\uc900\uacfc \ube44\uc2b7\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ubc88 2025\ub144 \ucd5c\uc885 GDP \uacb0\uacfc\ub294 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ub69c\ub837\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \ud22c\uc790 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\uc740 \uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 \ub9d0 \ub354 \ubcf4\uc218\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcc0\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc2e0\ud638\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc57d\uc138\ub294 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uac00 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uae30\uc874 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc55e\ub2f9\uaca8 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ubc88 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74 \uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c(\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488)\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 6\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc744 70% \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 3% \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc744 \uace4\ub780\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b4\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc635\uc158(\ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud55c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uace0\ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)\uc73c\ub85c \ubc29\uc5b4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

Market Hedging And Volatility Risk<\/h3>\n

CBOE \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(VIX\u00b7S&P500 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uc0b0\ucd9c\ud558\ub294 \u2018\uacf5\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc218\u2019)\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc 14 \uc218\uc900\uc758 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \ub0ae\uc740 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774\ubc88 GDP \ub274\uc2a4\uac00 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae09\ub4f1\uc758 \ucd09\ub9e4\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 1~2\ubd84\uae30 \uae30\uc5c5 \uc2e4\uc801(\uc774\uc775) \ub454\ud654 \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubcf4\ud638\uc6a9 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d \uc2dc \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc635\uc158)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc778 \ud5e4\uc9c0(\uc704\ud5d8 \ud68c\ud53c) \uc218\ub2e8\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub3c4 GDP\uac00 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \ub454\ud654\ud55c \uc0ac\ub840\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\ub294 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \uc55e\uc11c \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubc1c\ud45c \uc9c1\ud6c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4\ub294 99.00 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc84\ud17c\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc5d0\ub294 \uc758\ubb38\uc774 \uc81c\uae30\ub41c\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubcf4\uc720 \ub9e4\ub825\uc744 \ub5a8\uc5b4\ub728\ub9ac\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubb3c\uac00\uc640 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \ud655\uc778\ud574\uc57c \ud558\uba70, \ucd94\uac00 \uc57d\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ud070 \ud3ed \ud558\ub77d(\ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud655\ub300)\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uc815\ubd80\uc9c0\ucd9c\uacfc \uc218\ucd9c \uac10\uc18c\ub3c4 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub4e4\uc740 \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \uad6c\uc131 \uc694\uc18c\ub2e4. \ud55c \ubd80\ubb38\ub9cc \ub454\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uac83\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc804\ubc18\uc801 \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub294 \uc810\uc740 \ub354 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub294 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uad50\uc5ed\uacfc \uc815\ubd80 \uacc4\uc57d\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \uc5c5\uc885\ubcc4 \uc0c1\uc7a5\uc9c0\uc218\ud380\ub4dc(ETF\u00b7\ud2b9\uc815 \uc9c0\uc218\ub97c \ucd94\uc885\ud558\ub294 \ud380\ub4dc)\uc758 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \ud558\ub77d(\uc20f) \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ubaa8\uc0c9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\ubbf8 2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 GDP 0.5%\ub85c \u2018\uc1fc\ud06c\u2019\u2026\ud22c\uc790 \ud558\ud5a5\uc774 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub838\ub2e4. \uc815\ubd80\u00b7\uc218\ucd9c\ub3c4 \uac10\uc18c. \uc5f0\uc900 \uc870\uae30 \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\u2191, \ub2ec\ub7ec\u00b7VIX \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uacbd\uacc4, \ubc29\uc5b4\uc801 \uc635\uc158 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44301","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44301","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44301"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44301\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44301"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44301"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44301"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}