{"id":44203,"date":"2026-04-08T04:52:52","date_gmt":"2026-04-08T04:52:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-1-3400%ec%84%a0-%ea%b7%bc%ec%a0%91%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%9c%b4%ec%a0%84%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9c%84%ed%97%98%ec%84%a0%ed%98%b8-%ec%8b%ac\/"},"modified":"2026-04-08T04:52:52","modified_gmt":"2026-04-08T04:52:52","slug":"%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-1-3400%ec%84%a0-%ea%b7%bc%ec%a0%91%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%9c%b4%ec%a0%84%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9c%84%ed%97%98%ec%84%a0%ed%98%b8-%ec%8b%ac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ed%8c%8c%ec%9a%b4%eb%93%9c-%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-1-3400%ec%84%a0-%ea%b7%bc%ec%a0%91%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ed%9c%b4%ec%a0%84%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ec%9c%84%ed%97%98%ec%84%a0%ed%98%b8-%ec%8b%ac\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\/\ub2ec\ub7ec, 1.3400\uc120 \uadfc\uc811\u2026\uc774\ub780 \ud734\uc804\uc73c\ub85c \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638 \uc2ec\ub9ac \uac1c\uc120\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uc5d0 \uc0c1\uc2b9"},"content":{"rendered":"

GBP\/USD\ub294 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \uc774\ub780\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad70\uc0ac\uc791\uc804\uc744 2\uc8fc\uac04 \uc911\ub2e8\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud55c \ub4a4, 1.3200\ub300 \uc800\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc62c\ub77c \uc7a5\uc911 \uace0\uc810\uc778 1.3400 \ubd80\uadfc\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 1.3300\ub300 \ud6c4\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uc130\uace0, \uc2dc\uac04\ubd09 \uae30\uc900 50\uae30\uac04\uacfc 200\uae30\uac04 \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120 \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. (\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uc740 \uc77c\uc815 \uae30\uac04\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b8 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c, \ub2e8\uae30\u00b7\uc7a5\uae30 \ucd94\uc138 \ud310\ub2e8\uc5d0 \uc4f0\uc778\ub2e4.)<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc6d0\uc720(WTI)\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 106\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c 90\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c \uae09\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. (WTI\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ub300\ud45c \uae30\uc900\uc774\ub2e4.) S&P500 \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 1% \ub118\uac8c \uc62c\ub790\uace0, \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(DXY)\ub294 100.00 \ubd80\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \ubc00\ub838\ub2e4. (DXY\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\ub97c \uc8fc\uc694 6\uac1c \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b8 \uc9c0\uc218\ub2e4.)<\/p>\n

Uk Data And Pmi Weakness<\/h3>\n

\uc601\uad6d \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud588\ub2e4. 3\uc6d4 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 \uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218(PMI) \ud655\uc815\uce58\ub294 51.2\uc5d0\uc11c 50.5\ub85c \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub410\uace0, 2\uc6d4 53.9\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. (PMI\ub294 \uae30\uc5c5 \uc124\ubb38\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uae30 \ud655\uc7a5(50 \uc774\uc0c1)\u00b7\uc704\ucd95(50 \ubbf8\ub9cc)\uc744 \uac00\ub2a0\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub2e4.) \uc885\ud569 PMI\ub294 50.3\uc73c\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\uc73c\uba70, \uc2e0\uaddc \uc8fc\ubb38\uc740 2025\ub144 11\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c \uac10\uc18c\ud588\ub2e4. \uae30\uc5c5 \ud22c\uc785\ube44\uc6a9 \ubb3c\uac00(\uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac\u00b7\uc778\uac74\ube44 \ub4f1 \ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960)\ub294 11\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BoE)\uc740 2025\ub144 12\uc6d4\ubd80\ud130 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.75%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud574 \uc654\uace0, 3\uc6d4\uc5d0\ub294 \ub9cc\uc7a5\uc77c\uce58\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\uc744 \uacb0\uc815\ud588\ub2e4. (\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\ub85c, \ub300\ucd9c\u00b7\uc608\uae08 \ub4f1 \uc2dc\uc911\uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc900\ub2e4.) \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 2026\ub144 \u20182~3\ucc28\ub840 \uc778\ud558\u2019\uc5d0\uc11c \u2018\uc5f0\ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\uc529 4\ucc28\ub840 \uc778\uc0c1\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \uae09\ubcc0\ud588\ub2e4\uac00, \ud734\uc804 \uad00\ub828 \uc18c\uc2dd \uc774\ud6c4 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ubc14\ub00c\uc5c8\ub2e4. (0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0\uc11c \u2018\ud55c \ubc88\uc758 \ud1b5\uc0c1\uc801 \uc870\uc815 \ud3ed\u2019\uc744 \ub73b\ud55c\ub2e4.)<\/p>\n

\uc774\ub780\uc740 \ubc1c\ud45c \uba87 \uc2dc\uac04 \uc804 \uc784\uc2dc \ud734\uc804\uc744 \uac70\ubd80\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc608\uce21\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud3f4\ub9ac\ub9c8\ucf13\uc740 4\uc6d4 \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \u2018\uc9c0\uc18d \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \ud734\uc804\u2019 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 22.5%\ub85c \ubd24\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc694 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc77c\uc815\uc740 \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC) \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d(18:00 GMT), \uadfc\uc6d0 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c(Core PCE\u00b712:30 GMT), 3\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI\u00b712:30 GMT)\ub2e4. (FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc740 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \ub17c\uc758 \ub0b4\uc6a9\uc744 \ub2f4\uc740 \ubb38\uc11c\uc774\uace0, \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \ud2b9\ud788 \uc911\uc2dc\ud55c\ub2e4. CPI\ub294 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\uac00 \uccb4\uac10\ud558\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\ud45c\ub2e4.) CPI\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.3%(\uc774\uc804 2.4%), \uadfc\uc6d0\uc740 2.7%(\uc774\uc804 2.5%)\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc601\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud57c\ub9ac\ud329\uc2a4 \uc8fc\ud0dd\uac00\uaca9, \uac74\uc124\uc5c5 PMI, \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589 \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc5ec\uac74\uc870\uc0ac, RICS \uc8fc\ud0dd\uac00\uaca9\uc9c0\uc218(-18%)\uac00 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. GBP\/USD\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \ub808\ubca8\ub85c\ub294 200\uae30\uac04 \uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0(EMA) 1.3261, \uc800\ud56d 1.3480 \ubd80\uadfc, 1.3160~1.3480 \ubc15\uc2a4\uad8c\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub410\ub2e4. (EMA\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud070 \ube44\uc911\uc744 \uc8fc\ub294 \uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\uc774\ub2e4.)<\/p>\n

Options Volatility And Risk Hedging<\/h3>\n

\ub2f9\uc2dc \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \uc601\uad6d \uacbd\uae30\uc758 \uc57d\uc138\uc600\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 PMI\uac00 50.5\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac04 \uac83\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654 \uc18d \ubb3c\uac00 \uc555\ub825(\ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9)\uc774 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, GBP\/USD \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud55c \u2018\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 \ubca0\ud305\u2019\uc774\ub77c\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4 \u2018\ucde8\uc57d\ud55c \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc704\ud5d8\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\u2019\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 GBP\/USD \ud48b\uc635\uc158 \ub9e4\uc218\ub85c \ud558\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ubc29\uc5b4\ud558\uac70\ub098, \ub354 \uac15\ud55c \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ud30c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ub97c \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ub300\uac00\uce58 \uac70\ub798(\ud1b5\ud654 \uac04 \uc0c1\ub300 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub3c4 \uc120\ud0dd\uc9c0\uac00 \ub41c\ub2e4. (\ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc740 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac\ub85c, \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d \uc2dc \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \ub370 \uc4f0\uc778\ub2e4.)<\/p>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d CPI\uc640 FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b0\ub294 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\uac00 \uc608\uc815\ub41c \uc8fc\uc5d0\ub294, \uad6d\uac00\ubcc4 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45 \ucc28\uc774(\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \u2018\uc5c7\uac08\ub9bc\u2019)\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc154\ub2dd\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. (\uc815\ucc45 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9bc\uc740 \ud55c \ub098\ub77c\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9ac\uace0 \ub2e4\ub978 \ub098\ub77c\ub294 \ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \ub4f1 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774 \ub2ec\ub77c \ud658\uc728\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774\ub2e4.) \ubbf8\uad6d \uadfc\uc6d0 CPI\uac00 0.2%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub9cc \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc \ub2ec\ub77c\uc838\ub3c4 GBP\/USD\uac00 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, \ubc1c\ud45c \uc9c1\ud6c4\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc635\uc158(\uc9e7\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \uc635\uc158)\uc774 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uac70\ub798 \uc218\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c \uc790\uc8fc \ud65c\uc6a9\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804\ud6c4\uc758 \u2018\uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\u2019\ub9cc \ub178\ub9ac\uace0 \uc7a5\uae30\uac04 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \ub5a0\uc548\uc9c0 \uc54a\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

WTI\uc758 \uae09\ub77d\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4e0 \uc8fc\uc694 \ubc30\uacbd\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c0\ubaa9\ub410\ub2e4. \uc6d0\uc720\uc640 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ub3d9\uc870\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba74, \uc77c\ubd80\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c1\uc811 \ud5e4\uc9c0(\uc704\ud5d8 \uc0c1\uc1c4)\ub97c \uac78\uae30\ub3c4 \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 GBP\/USD \ud604\ubb3c \ub9e4\uc218(\uc989\uc2dc \uacb0\uc81c\ub418\ub294 \ud658\uc728 \uac70\ub798)\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 WTI \uc120\ubb3c \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0ac \ub450\uba74, \ud734\uc804\uc774 \uae68\uc838 \uc720\uac00\uac00 \uae09\ubc18\ub4f1\ud560 \ub54c \ud1b5\ud654 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc758 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \uc644\ucda9 \uc7a5\uce58\uac00 \ub41c\ub2e4. (\uc120\ubb3c\uc740 \ubbf8\ub798 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uc0ac\uace0\ud30c\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d\uc774\ub2e4.)<\/p>\n

\uac70\ub860\ub410\ub358 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ub808\ubca8, \uc608\ucee8\ub300 1.3480 \ubd80\uadfc \uc800\ud56d\uc740 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc124\uacc4\ud558\ub294 \uae30\uc900\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. 1.3500 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00(\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud589\uc0ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uac00\uaca9)\uc758 \uc8fc\uac04 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158 \uac70\ub798\uac00 \ub298\uba74, \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc5d0 \uc800\ube44\uc6a9\uc73c\ub85c \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c 1.3300\uc740 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub300\ud45c \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\ub85c \ud65c\uc6a9\ub418\uba70, \uc704\ud5d8\ud68c\ud53c \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uac11\uc790\uae30 \ub418\uc0b4\uc544\ub0a0 \ub54c \ud558\ubc29\uc744 \ubc29\uc5b4\ud558\ub294 \u2018\ubcf4\ud5d8\u2019 \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud55c\ub2e4. (\ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc740 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac\ub85c, \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc2dc \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9b0\ub2e4.)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc18d\ubcf4: \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \u2018\uc774\ub780 \uad70\uc0ac\uc791\uc804 2\uc8fc \uc720\uc608\u2019\uc5d0 \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638 \ud655\ub300, GBP\/USD 1.3200\u21921.3400 \uae09\ub4f1 \ud6c4 1.33\ub300. \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub77d\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 vs \uc601\uad6d PMI \ubd80\uc9c4, \uc635\uc158 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44203","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44203","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44203"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44203\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44203"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44203"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44203"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}