{"id":44159,"date":"2026-04-07T22:59:02","date_gmt":"2026-04-07T22:59:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%89%b4%ec%9a%95-%ec%97%b0%ec%9d%80-3%ec%9b%94-%ec%84%a4%eb%ac%b8-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%86%8c%eb%b9%84%ec%9e%90-1%eb%85%84-%ed%9b%84-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-3-4-%ec%98%88\/"},"modified":"2026-04-07T22:59:02","modified_gmt":"2026-04-07T22:59:02","slug":"%eb%89%b4%ec%9a%95-%ec%97%b0%ec%9d%80-3%ec%9b%94-%ec%84%a4%eb%ac%b8-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%86%8c%eb%b9%84%ec%9e%90-1%eb%85%84-%ed%9b%84-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-3-4-%ec%98%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%89%b4%ec%9a%95-%ec%97%b0%ec%9d%80-3%ec%9b%94-%ec%84%a4%eb%ac%b8-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%86%8c%eb%b9%84%ec%9e%90-1%eb%85%84-%ed%9b%84-%ec%9d%b8%ed%94%8c%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%ec%85%98-3-4-%ec%98%88\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub274\uc695 \uc5f0\uc740 3\uc6d4 \uc124\ubb38: \ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ube44\uc790, 1\ub144 \ud6c4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 3.4% \uc608\uc0c1"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ub274\uc695 \uc5f0\uc740(\ub274\uc695 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc740\ud589)\uc758 3\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uae30\ub300 \uc124\ubb38(Survey of Consumer Expectations)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 1\ub144 \uae30\ub300 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 3.4%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. 2\uc6d4 3.0%\uc5d0\uc11c 0.4%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc624\ub978 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c, 1\ub144 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \uc6d4\uac04 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed\uc774\uba70 \uc7a5\uae30 \ud3c9\uade0(3.34%)\ub3c4 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc751\ub2f5\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ubc30\uacbd\uc73c\ub85c \ud718\ubc1c\uc720\uc640 \uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc8fc\ub85c \uaf3d\uc558\ub2e4. \uc124\ubb38\uc740 \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc774 \uc0dd\uacc4\ube44(\uc0dd\ud65c\ube44) \ubd80\ub2f4 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6b0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0\ub3c4 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc7a5\uae30 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300<\/h3>\n

\uc7a5\uae30 \uae30\ub300\uce58\ub294 1\ub144 \uc804\ub9dd\ub9cc\ud07c \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. 3\ub144 \uae30\ub300 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 3.1%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uace0, 5\ub144 \uae30\ub300 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 3.0%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc5f0\uc900\uc740 3\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c(dot plot\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900 \uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc810\uc73c\ub85c \ud45c\uc2dc\ud574 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ud45c)\ub294 2026\ub144 \ub0a8\uc740 \uae30\uac04 \ub3d9\uc548 1\ucc28\ub840 \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac\uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ucd94\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 6\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0 \ud655\ub960\uc744 89.2%\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc5f0\ub0b4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc5c6\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub354 \ub192\uac8c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

JP\ubaa8\uac74\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc5c6\uace0 2027\ub144 3\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0 0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(25bp\u00b7bp\ub294 0.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4. FOMC(\uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uacb0\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ud68c\uc758\uccb4) \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uacf5\uac1c\ub420 \uc608\uc815\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ubb36\uc74c(\uc7a5\ubc14\uad6c\ub2c8)\uc758 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \uc62c\ub790\ub294\uc9c0\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\uba70, \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44(MoM)\uc640 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44(YoY)\ub85c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c\ub2e4. \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(core inflation)\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ud488\uacfc \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00\ub85c, \uc815\ucc45 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 \ub300\uccb4\ub85c 2% \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucdb0\uc9c4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc0f \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/h3>\n

CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7\uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uad6c\ub9e4\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud488\u00b7\uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \uc885\ud569\ud55c \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub3c4 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \uce21\uc815\ud558\uba70, \uadfc\uc6d0 CPI(Core CPI\u00b7\uc2dd\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc81c\uc678)\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \ubcf8\ub2e4. \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\uba74 \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc544 \ud1b5\ud654\uac00\uce58\uc5d0\ub294 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc774\uace0 \uae08\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\uba74 \uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub418\uc5b4 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd80\ub2f4, \uae08\uc5d0\ub294 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ucd5c\uadfc 1\ub144 \uae30\ub300 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 3.4%\ub85c \ub6f4 \uac83\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\uae34\ucd95 \uc120\ud638) \uae30\uc870\ub97c \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud55c\ub2e4. 3\uc6d4 CPI\uc5d0\uc11c \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 3.5%\ub85c \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294(\ub048\uc801\ud55c) \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc778 \uac83\uacfc\ub3c4 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9ac\uba70, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud560 \uc774\uc720\uac00 \uc904\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc5ec\ub984\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ubb34\uac8c\ub97c \ub46c\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc7a5\uae30 \uae30\ub300 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc810\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uacf5\ud3ec\uc131 \uc778\uc0c1(\ud328\ub2c9 \uc778\uc0c1)\uc5d0 \ub098\uc124 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ub2e8\uae30 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc27d\uac8c \ub454\ud654\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba74 \uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \uc2dc\uc810\uc758 \uc644\ud654(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558) \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218\ubc16\uc5d0 \uc5c6\ub2e4. VIX(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7S&P500 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud55c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300\uce58)\uac00 15 \uc548\ud30e\uc758 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc635\uc158(\ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uace0\ud314 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218\ub85c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \ub0ae\uc740 \ube44\uc6a9\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\uac00 \ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ud575\uc2ec \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8\uc778 FOMC \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d \uacf5\uac1c\uc5d0 \uc55e\uc11c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc7a1\ub294 \ub370\ub3c4 \ud65c\uc6a9\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc62c\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub0ae\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uae08\ub9ac \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub41c \uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc2a4\uc651\u00b7\uc635\uc158 \ub4f1)\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(Fed Funds Rate\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc740\ud589 \uac04 \ucd08\ub2e8\uae30 \uc790\uae08\uac70\ub798 \uae08\ub9ac\ub85c \uc5f0\uc900 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \uae30\uc900)\uc640 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub41c \uc120\ubb3c(\ubbf8\ub798 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud574 \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d)\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc740 \uacfc\uac70 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801(\uc644\ud654 \uc120\ud638) \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774\ub2e4. 2022~2023\ub144\uc758 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ub5a0\uc62c\ub9ac\uba74, \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uc131\uae09\ud55c \uc644\ud654\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc5b5\uc81c\ub97c \uc6b0\uc120\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138(\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\uc218) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc5d0 \ud798\uc744 \uc2e4\uc5b4\uc900\ub2e4. WTI(\uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0 \uc6d0\uc720\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uae30\uc900 \uc6d0\uc720) \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 85\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uacac\uc870\ud558\uace0 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0(\ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \ub54c \uc120\ud638\ub418\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0) \uc131\uaca9\uc758 \uc218\ud61c\ub97c \ud568\uaed8 \ubc1b\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud1b5\ud654 \uc120\ubb3c\uc774\ub098 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801 \uc120\ud0dd\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uae30\uc5c5 \uac00\uce58\ud3c9\uac00\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ucee4\uc838 \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc57d\uc138(\ud558\ub77d) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc758 \ub9e4\ub825\uc774 \ub192\uc544\uc9c4\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \uc5c5\uc885\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d \uc2dc \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc635\uc158)\ub3c4 \uc704\ud5d8 \ub300\ube44 \uae30\ub300\uc218\uc775 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc774\uc790\uac00 \ubd99\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\ub294 \uae30\ud68c\ube44\uc6a9(\ub2e4\ub978 \uc120\ud0dd\uc744 \ud588\uc744 \ub54c \uc5bb\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc5c8\ub358 \uc774\uc775)\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201c\uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \uc811\uc5b4\uc57c \ud558\ub098\u201d \ub274\uc695 \uc5f0\uc740 \uc124\ubb38\uc11c 1\ub144 \uae30\ub300 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 3.4%\ub85c \uae09\ub4f1. \uc720\uac00\u00b7\uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\uc774 \uc6d0\uc778. \uc5f0\uc900 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc720\uc9c0 \uc18d \uc7a5\uae30 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uc548\uc815, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u00b7\uae08 \uc57d\uc138 \uc555\ub825.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44159","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44159","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44159"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44159\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44159"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44159"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44159"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}