{"id":44140,"date":"2026-04-07T20:27:51","date_gmt":"2026-04-07T20:27:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%83%88%eb%b9%84%ec%a7%80-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%c2%b7ecb-%eb%b0%9c%ec%96%b8-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%eb%b6%84%ec%9f%81%ea%b3%bc-%ec%97%90%eb%84%88%ec%a7%80-%ec%b6%a9\/"},"modified":"2026-04-07T20:27:51","modified_gmt":"2026-04-07T20:27:51","slug":"%ec%83%88%eb%b9%84%ec%a7%80-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%c2%b7ecb-%eb%b0%9c%ec%96%b8-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%eb%b6%84%ec%9f%81%ea%b3%bc-%ec%97%90%eb%84%88%ec%a7%80-%ec%b6%a9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%83%88%eb%b9%84%ec%a7%80-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c%c2%b7ecb-%eb%b0%9c%ec%96%b8-%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%eb%b6%84%ec%9f%81%ea%b3%bc-%ec%97%90%eb%84%88%ec%a7%80-%ec%b6%a9\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc0c8\ube44\uc9c0 \u201c\uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc9c0\ud45c\u00b7ECB \ubc1c\uc5b8, \uc774\ub780 \ubd84\uc7c1\uacfc \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \uc720\ub85c \uc131\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd \ud6fc\uc190 \uc2dc\uc0ac\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB) \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc744 \uc885\ud569\ud558\uba74, \uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1\uacfc \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uae09\ub4f1(\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc1fc\ud06c)\uc774 \uc131\uc7a5\uacfc \ud22c\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac\ub97c \ud6fc\uc190\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uc758 \ud558\ubc29 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc720\ub85c\ud654\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uace0, \uc800\uae08\ub9ac \ud1b5\ud654\uc778 \uc77c\ubcf8 \uc5d4\ud654(JPY), \uc2a4\uc6e8\ub374 \ud06c\ub85c\ub098(SEK), \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \ub2ec\ub7ec(NZD)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc790\uae08 \uc720\ucd9c\uc774 \ud568\uaed8 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. (\uc800\uae08\ub9ac \ud1b5\ud654: \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub0ae\uc544 \uc774\uc790 \uc218\uc775\uc774 \uc801\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654)<\/p>\n<p>ECB \uc815\ucc45\uacb0\uc815\uae30\uad6c\uc778 \uc6b4\uc601\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(Governing Council) \uc704\uc6d0 \ub514\ubbf8\ud0c0\ub974 \ub77c\ub370\ud504\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uacbd\uae30 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ub098\ube60\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0, \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300(\ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\u00b7\uac00\uacc4\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1)\uc5d0 \ub354 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \uc804\ub2ec\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \ub354 \ub098\uc05c \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uac00 \ud604\uc2e4\ud654\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc720\ub85c\ud654\uc5d0 \ucee4\uc9c0\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8<\/h3>\n<p>\ub77c\ub370\ud504\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \uc784\uae08, \uae30\uc5c5 \uc774\uc775\ub960(\ub9e4\ucd9c \ub300\ube44 \uc774\uc775 \ube44\uc728), \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc88\uc9c0\uba74(2\ucc28 \ud30c\uae09), \ub300\uc751\uc744 \ubbf8\ub8f0\uc218\ub85d \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \ucee4\uc838 \ub354 \ube60\ub978 \uc815\ucc45 \ub300\uc751\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc ECB 4\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uba85\ud655\ud55c \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ub0b4\ub9b4 \ub9cc\ud07c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \ucda9\ubd84\ud560\uc9c0\ub294 \uc544\uc9c1 \uc774\ub974\ub2e4\uace0 \ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc6b4\uc601\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c \uc704\uc6d0 \ud53c\uc5d0\ub974 \ubd84\uc288\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc1fc\ud06c\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74 ECB\uac00 \uc774\ub974\uba74 4\uc6d4\ubd80\ud130 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub9ac\uace0(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1), \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc9c0\uc18d\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. 3\uc6d4 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 2.5%\ub85c \ub192\uc544\uc84c\uace0, \uadf8\ub294 \uc784\uae08 \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ubc88\uc9c0\ub294 \u20182\ucc28 \ud6a8\uacfc(Second-round effects: \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc784\uae08\uacfc \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9 \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \uc7ac\ud655\uc0b0\ub418\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)\u2019\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uba74 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ub354 \uc624\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc720\ub85c\ud654\ub294 \uc790\uae08\uc774 \uc720\ub7fd\uc5d0\uc11c \ube60\uc838\ub098\uac00 \uace0\uae08\ub9ac \ud1b5\ud654\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uacc4\uc18d \uc57d\uc138\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1\uacfc \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc1fc\ud06c\ub294 \uc720\ub7fd\uc758 \uc131\uc7a5\uacfc \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. ECB\ub294 \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654\uc640 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub294 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \uc120\ud0dd\uc744 \uac15\uc694\ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc2e4\ubb3c \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 \ub9d0 \ubd84\uc7c1 \uc774\ud6c4 40% \ub118\uac8c \uae09\ub4f1\ud574 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 125\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \ud0c0\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 \ub3c5\uc77c\uc740 \uacf5\uc7a5 \uc218\uc8fc(Factory orders)\uac00 3\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc18d \uac10\uc18c\ud588\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI(\uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218: 50 \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc774\uba74 \uacbd\uae30 \uc704\ucd95\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8)\ub294 45.8\ub85c, \uc704\ucd95\uc774 \uc2ec\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uacfc \uc815\ucc45\uc758 \ub51c\ub808\ub9c8<\/h3>\n<p>ECB \ub0b4\ubd80\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub192\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \uc784\uae08\uacfc \uadfc\uc6d0\ubb3c\uac00(Core prices: \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488 \ub4f1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \ud488\ubaa9\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00)\ub85c \ubc88\uc9c0\ub294 2\ucc28 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub97c \uacbd\uacc4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub4e4\uc740 2022\ub144\uc5d0 \ucd08\uae30 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae09\ub4f1\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\uc774 \ub2a6\uc5c8\ub2e4\ub294 \u2018\uc815\ucc45 \uc2e4\uae30\u2019 \ub17c\ub780\uc744 \uc5b8\uae09\ud558\uba70, \uadf8 \uae30\uc5b5\uc774 \uacbd\uae30 \uc57d\ud654\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \ub354 \uac15\uacbd\ud55c \uae30\uc870(\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc2a4\ud0e0\uc2a4: \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \ud0dc\ub3c4)\ub85c \uae30\uc6b8\uac8c \ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc778\ub370 \uacbd\uae30\ub294 \ub098\ube60\uc9c0\ub294 \ucda9\ub3cc\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd \uc99d\uc2dc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc911\uc774\uba70, VSTOXX \uc9c0\uc218(\uc720\ub85c\uc874 \ub300\ud45c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 2025\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30 \ubd84\uc7c1 \uaca9\ud654 \uc774\ud6c4 30% \uc774\uc0c1 \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \ubcc0\ud558\ub294 \uae08\uc735\uc0c1\ud488) \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc774 \ube44\uc2f8\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uacbd\uae30 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba74 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc6b0\uc138\ud558\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub300\ube44 \uc57d\uc138 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. EUR\/USD \ud658\uc728\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 \uac00\uc744 1.10\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3cc\ub358 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd5c\uadfc 1.05 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\uace0, \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc720\ub85c \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc635\uc158) \ub9e4\uc218\ub098 \uc57d\uc138 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(\uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \ub9e4\ub9e4\ud574 \ube44\uc6a9\uacfc \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5) \uac19\uc740 \ud558\ubc29 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc18d\ubcf4 CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218)\uc640 \uc784\uae08 \ud611\uc0c1 \uad00\ub828 \uc18c\uc2dd\uc744 \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \ubd10\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. ECB\ub294 4\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc774 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub824 \uc788\uc73c\uba70(\ub370\uc774\ud130 \ub514\ud39c\ub358\ud2b8: \uc9c0\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uacb0\uc815), \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 \uace0\ucc29(\uc784\uae08\u00b7\uac00\uaca9 \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \u2018\ub2f9\uc5f0\ud55c \uac83\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\ud0dc)\ub418\ub294\uc9c0 \uc5ec\ubd80\uac00 \ud575\uc2ec\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \ube68\ub77c\uc9c0\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba74, \uacbd\uae30 \ub454\ud654 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc120\ud0dd\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uc5d0\ub294 \ucd94\uac00 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc18d\ubcf4: \uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1\ubc1c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc1fc\ud06c\ub85c \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc131\uc7a5\u00b7\uc2ec\ub9ac \uc545\ud654, \uc720\ub85c\ud654 \ucd5c\uc57d\uc138. ECB\ub294 4\uc6d4 \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba70 \ubb3c\uac00 2\ucc28 \ud30c\uae09 \uacbd\uacc4, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uc18d EUR\/USD \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44140","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\uc18d\ubcf4: \uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1\ubc1c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc1fc\ud06c\ub85c \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc131\uc7a5\u00b7\uc2ec\ub9ac \uc545\ud654, \uc720\ub85c\ud654 \ucd5c\uc57d\uc138. 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