{"id":44049,"date":"2026-04-06T22:24:13","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T22:24:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ea%b1%b0%eb%9e%98%ea%b0%80-%ec%b0%a8%eb%b6%84%ed%95%9c-%ed%9d%90%eb%a6%84%ec%9d%84-%eb%b3%b4%ec%9d%b4%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0-%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac\/"},"modified":"2026-04-06T22:24:13","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T22:24:13","slug":"%ea%b1%b0%eb%9e%98%ea%b0%80-%ec%b0%a8%eb%b6%84%ed%95%9c-%ed%9d%90%eb%a6%84%ec%9d%84-%eb%b3%b4%ec%9d%b4%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0-%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ea%b1%b0%eb%9e%98%ea%b0%80-%ec%b0%a8%eb%b6%84%ed%95%9c-%ed%9d%90%eb%a6%84%ec%9d%84-%eb%b3%b4%ec%9d%b4%eb%8a%94-%ea%b0%80%ec%9a%b4%eb%8d%b0-%eb%89%b4%ec%a7%88%eb%9e%9c%eb%93%9c%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac\/","title":{"rendered":"\uac70\ub798\uac00 \ucc28\ubd84\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec(\ud0a4\uc704\ub2ec\ub7ec)\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654 \uc57d\uc138\uc640 \uc57d\uc138\ub860 \uc644\ud654\uc5d0 \ud798\uc785\uc5b4 0.5720\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4"},"content":{"rendered":"NZD\/USD\ub294 \ubd80\ud65c\uc808 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud55c\uc0b0\ud558\uace0 \ub2e4\uc218 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud734\uc7a5\ud55c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ud22c\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uac1c\uc120\ub418\uba74\uc11c earlier \ub099\ud3ed\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uace0 0.5720\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\uc544\uac14\ub2e4. \uc55e\uc11c \ud658\uc728\uc740 4\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810\uc778 0.5680 \ubd80\uadfc\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc00\ub838\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud070 \ud750\ub984\uc758 \ud558\ub77d \ucd94\uc138\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc720\uc9c0\ub410\ub2e4.\n\n\ubcf4\ub3c4\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc774\ub780\uc774 \uad00\ub828\ub41c \ud3c9\ud654 \ud569\uc758 \ud611\uc0c1\uc740 \uacc4\uc18d \uc9c4\ud589 \uc911\uc774\uba70, \ub85c\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc774\ub780\uacfc \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc989\uac01\uc801\uc778 \uc801\ub300 \ud589\uc704 \uc911\ub2e8\uc744 \uc704\ud55c \u2018\ud569\uc758 \ud2c0(\ud070 \uc6d0\uce59\uc744 \uc815\ub9ac\ud55c \ucd08\uc548 \uc218\uc900\uc758 \uad6c\uc870)\u2019\uc744 \uc804\ub2ec\ubc1b\uc558\ub2e4\uace0 \uc804\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611(\uc911\ub3d9 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc218\uc1a1\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ud56d\ub85c) \uc7ac\uac1c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc600\uace0, \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638(\ubd88\uc548\ud560 \ub54c \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc548\uc804\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5ec\uaca8\uc9c0\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \ubab0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694\ub3c4 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n

Near Term Technical Picture<\/h3>\n\ub2e8\uae30 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131(\ucc28\ud2b8 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \ub2e8\uae30 \uc804\ub9dd)\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud558\ubc29\uc774 \uc6b0\uc138\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \u2018\uc5d4\ub529 \uc6e8\uc9c0(ending wedge: \uace0\uc810\uacfc \uc800\uc810\uc774 \uc810\uc810 \uc881\ud600\uc9c0\uba70 \ud558\ub77d \ud798\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \uc410\uae30\ud615 \ud328\ud134)\u2019\ub85c \uc124\uba85\ub41c \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ub77d \ubaa8\uba58\ud140(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud55c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub824\ub294 \ud798)\uc774 \ub454\ud654\ub418\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. NZD\/USD\ub294 1\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \uc774\ud6c4 6% \uc774\uc0c1 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n4\uc2dc\uac04 \ucc28\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc11c RSI(\uc0c1\ub300\uac15\ub3c4\uc9c0\uc218: 0~100 \ubc94\uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uacfc\ub9e4\uc218\u00b7\uacfc\ub9e4\ub3c4\ub97c \uac00\ub2a0\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uac15\uc138 \ub2e4\uc774\ubc84\uc804\uc2a4(bullish divergence: \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\ub294\ub370 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ub192\uc544\uc838 \ud558\ub77d\uc138 \uc57d\ud654\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac)\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70 50\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uc811\uadfc\ud588\ub2e4. MACD(\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc218\ub834\u00b7\ud655\uc0b0: \ucd94\uc138\uc640 \ubc29\ud5a5 \uc804\ud658\uc744 \ubcf4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c) \uc120\uc740 \uc2dc\uadf8\ub110\uc120(\uc2e0\ud638\uc120: MACD\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0\uc120) \uc704\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uc11c\ub824\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\uba70, \ud788\uc2a4\ud1a0\uadf8\ub7a8(\ub9c9\ub300: \ub450 \uc120\uc758 \ucc28\uc774\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec \ud798\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c4)\uc740 0 \uc704\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 0.5740, 0.5753, 0.5780 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub410\uace0, \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 0.5680 \ubc0f 0.5660 \uadfc\ucc98\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4.\n\n

Policy Divergence And Market Implications<\/h3>\n\uc624\ub298(2026\ub144 4\uc6d4 6\uc77c) \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c, \uae30\ucd08\uc5ec\uac74(\uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac\u00b7\uc815\ucc45 \uc694\uc778)\uc740 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc774\uc720\uc5d0\uc11c \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec(\ud0a4\uc704)\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc14\ub00c\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\/\uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc720\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub354 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc778) \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBNZ)\uacfc \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\/\uc644\ud654\uc801 \uc815\ucc45 \uc120\ud638) \uc131\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc6b0\ub294 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed) \uac04 \uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ub300\ube44\uac00 NZD\/USD\uc758 \ud558\ub2e8\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ud604\uc7ac \ud658\uc728\uc740 0.6150\uc120\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ucd5c\uadfc \uc9c0\ud45c\ub3c4 \uc774 \uad00\uc810\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub274\uc9c8\ub79c\ub4dc\uc758 \ucd5c\uc2e0 \ubd84\uae30 \ubb3c\uac00\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 4.2%\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc558\uace0, \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \uc99d\uac00\uac00 19\ub9cc5,000\uba85\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub97c \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 RBNZ\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc27d\uac8c \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, Fed\uc5d0\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6b0\ub294 \uc7ac\ub8cc\uac00 \ub41c\ub2e4.\n\n\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uacb0\uc815\ub418\ub294 \uae08\uc735\uc0c1\ud488) \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 NZD\/USD\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(implied volatility: \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \u2018\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\u2019)\uc774 \ud2b9\ud788 \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub0ae\uac8c \ud3c9\uac00\ub410\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc218\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ub178\ub9b0\ub2e4\uba74 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218\ub098 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(\ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0ac\uace0 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ud30c\ub294 \uc870\ud569\uc73c\ub85c \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc904\uc778 \uc804\ub7b5) \uac19\uc740 \ubc29\ubc95\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc800\ud56d\uc744 \uc0c1\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud574 0.6300\uc120(\ud578\ub4e4: \ud070 \ub2e8\uc704\uc758 \uac00\uaca9\ub300\/\ub77c\uc6b4\ub4dc \ub118\ubc84)\uc744 \uaca8\ub0e5\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\ub2e4.\n\n\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ubcf4\uba74, CFTC(\ubbf8 \uc0c1\ud488\uc120\ubb3c\uac70\ub798\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c) \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud22c\uae30\uc801 \uc21c\ub9e4\ub3c4(\uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc635\uc158\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \ub9e4\uc218\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub9ce\uc740 \uc0c1\ud0dc) \uaddc\ubaa8\uac00 2\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \uafb8\uc900\ud788 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud558\ub77d \ubca0\ud305\uc774 \ub418\uac10\uae30\uba70(\uc1fc\ud2b8 \ucee4\ubc84\ub9c1: \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \ub418\uc0ac\uc11c \uc815\ub9ac) \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.\n

\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 – VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694 <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

[FX\uc18d\ubcf4] NZD\/USD, \ubd80\ud65c\uc808 \ud55c\uc0b0\uc7a5 \uc18d 0.5680 \uc800\uc810 \ucc0d\uace0 0.5720 \ud68c\ubcf5. \uc774\ub780 \ud611\uc0c1 \uc9c4\uc804 \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694 \ub454\ud654. \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ud558\ubc29 \uc6b0\uc138\uc9c0\ub9cc \ubaa8\uba58\ud140 \ub454\ud654\u00b7\uc815\ucc45\ucc28(RBNZ \ub9e4\ud30c vs Fed \ube44\ub458\uae30)\ub85c \ud558\ub2e8 \uc9c0\uc9c0.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44049","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44049","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44049"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44049\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44049"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44049"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44049"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}