{"id":43684,"date":"2026-03-31T01:39:39","date_gmt":"2026-03-31T01:39:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/aud-usd-0-42-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd-%ed%9b%84-0-6850%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc-%eb%93%b1%eb%9d%bd-5%ea%b1%b0%eb%9e%98%ec%9d%bc-%ec%97%b0%ec%86%8d-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%c2%b7300%ed%95%8d-%ed%9b%84\/"},"modified":"2026-03-31T01:39:39","modified_gmt":"2026-03-31T01:39:39","slug":"aud-usd-0-42-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd-%ed%9b%84-0-6850%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc-%eb%93%b1%eb%9d%bd-5%ea%b1%b0%eb%9e%98%ec%9d%bc-%ec%97%b0%ec%86%8d-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%c2%b7300%ed%95%8d-%ed%9b%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/aud-usd-0-42-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd-%ed%9b%84-0-6850%ec%84%a0-%eb%b6%80%ea%b7%bc-%eb%93%b1%eb%9d%bd-5%ea%b1%b0%eb%9e%98%ec%9d%bc-%ec%97%b0%ec%86%8d-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%c2%b7300%ed%95%8d-%ed%9b%84\/","title":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD, 0.42% \ud558\ub77d \ud6c4 0.6850\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc \ub4f1\ub77d\u2026 5\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d\u00b7300\ud54d \ud6c4\ud1f4"},"content":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD\ub294 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c 0.42% \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \uc57d 0.6850\uc5d0 \ub9c8\uac10\ud558\uba70 5\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. 3\uc6d4 \uc911\uc21c \uc5f0\uc911 \uace0\uc810(\uc57d 0.7190) \ub300\ube44 300\ud54d(pip\u00b7\ud658\uc728\uc758 \ucd5c\uc18c \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ub2e8\uc704) \uc774\uc0c1 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\uace0, \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uc7a5\uc911\uc5d0\ub294 \ub300\ub7b5 0.6870~0.6830\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4.\n\nRBA(\ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\ub294 3\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac(\ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\u00b7cash rate)\ub97c 25bp(bp\u00b71bp=0.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uc778\uc0c1\ud574 4.10%\ub85c \uc62c\ub838\ub2e4. \ud45c\uacb0\uc740 5\ub3004\ub85c, 2\ud68c \uc5f0\uc18d \uc778\uc0c1\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uacf5\uac1c\ub420 \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\uc740 5\uc6d4 \ucd94\uac00(3\ubc88\uc9f8) \uc778\uc0c1 \uac80\ud1a0 \uc5ec\ubd80\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc911\ub3d9\ubc1c \uacf5\uae09 \ucda9\uaca9\uc774 \ubb3c\uac00\uc640 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ubc1c\uc5b8\ub3c4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Fed Policy And Key US Data<\/h3>\n\uc5f0\uc900(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc740 3\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.50%~3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\uace0, \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c(dot plot\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900 \uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc758 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc810\uc73c\ub85c \ud45c\uc2dc\ud55c \ud45c)\ub294 \uc62c\ud574 1\ud68c \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uac00\ub9ac\ud0a8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c ISM \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI(PMI\u00b7\uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218, 50 \uc774\uc0c1\uc774\uba74 \uacbd\uae30 \ud655\uc7a5)\uc640 \uae08\uc694\uc77c NFP(NFP\u00b7\ube44\ub18d\uc5c5\ubd80\ubb38 \uace0\uc6a9\uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 \uc608\uc815\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4. NFP\ub294 \uc804\uc6d4 \ub9c8\uc774\ub108\uc2a4 \uacb0\uacfc \uc774\ud6c4 5\ub9cc5000\uba85 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70, \uc131\uae08\uc694\uc77c(Good Friday)\ub85c \uc720\ub3d9\uc131(\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub3c8\uc774 \uc624\uac00\uba70 \uac70\ub798\uac00 \uc798 \ub418\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4)\uc774 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n5\ubd84 \ucc28\ud2b8 \uae30\uc900 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 0.6846 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\uba70, 200\uae30\uac04 EMA(\uc9c0\uc218\uc774\ub3d9\ud3c9\uade0\uc120\u00b7\ucd5c\uadfc \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub354 \ud070 \uac00\uc911\uce58\ub97c \ub454 \ud3c9\uade0)\uc778 0.6857 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc740 0.6855~0.6860, \uc774\uc5b4 0.6875\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 0.6844, 0.6835, \uc774\ud6c4 0.6825\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4.\n\n\uc77c\ubd09 \ucc28\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 0.6848 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c 50\uc77c EMA \uc544\ub798\uc9c0\ub9cc, 200\uc77c EMA(\uc57d 0.67) \uc704\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc740 0.6920\/0.6950, \uc774\uc5b4 0.7050\uacfc 0.7120\uc774\uba70, \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 0.6800, 0.6750, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 0.6735 \ubd80\uadfc\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Widening Rate Gap And Macro Divergence<\/h3>\n\ud604\uc7ac \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28\ub294 \ub354 \ubc8c\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4. RBA \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 4.35%\uc778 \ubc18\uba74, \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(Fed funds rate\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac)\ub294 5.25%~5.50%\ub85c \ub354 \ub192\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubbf8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubcf4\uc720\uac00 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4, \ud1b5\ud654\uc30d\uc5d0 \uad6c\uc870\uc801 \ubd80\ub2f4(\ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825)\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uce90\ub9ac \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc(carry trade\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\ub97c \uc0ac\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\uc774\ub97c \uc218\uc775\uc73c\ub85c \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uac70\ub798) \uc218\uc694\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6b0\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n2026\ub144 \ucd08 \uacbd\uc81c\uc9c0\ud45c \ud750\ub984\ub3c4 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9b0\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 20\ub9cc\uba85 \uc774\uc0c1 \uc99d\uac00\ud558\ub294 \ub4f1 \uacac\uc870\ud55c \ubc18\uba74, \ud638\uc8fc\ub294 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 4.1%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \uace0\uc6a9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub454\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uae30\uc758 \ud0c4\ub825\uc131\uacfc \ud638\uc8fc \uacbd\uae30\uc758 \ub0c9\uac01\uc740 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 \ub17c\ub9ac\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n\ub610\ud55c \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 \ucd5c\ub300 \uad50\uc5ed \uc0c1\ub300\uc778 \uc911\uad6d \uc804\ub9dd\ub3c4 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc911\uad6d \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\uac00 50\uc120 \ubc14\ub85c \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uba38\ubb3c\ub7ec, \uacbd\uae30 \ud655\uc7a5\uc774 \ubbf8\ubbf8\ud558\uace0 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc774 \ucde8\uc57d\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ud638\uc8fc \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uc81c\ud55c\ud574 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc744 \ub204\ub974\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 &#8211; VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694 <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD 5\uac70\ub798\uc77c\uc9f8 \ud558\ub77d, \uc5f0\uc911 \uace0\uc810\uc11c 300\ud54d \ubc00\ub838\ub2e4. RBA \uc758\uc0ac\ub85d\u00b7\ubbf8 ISM\/NFP \ucd09\uac01. \ubbf8\u00b7\ud638 \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28 \ud655\ub300\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uac15\uc138\u00b7\uc911\uad6d PMI \ubd80\uc9c4\uc774 \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ubc29 \uc555\ub825 \ud0a4\uc6b4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43684","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43684","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43684"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43684\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43684"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43684"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43684"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}