{"id":43673,"date":"2026-03-30T22:40:42","date_gmt":"2026-03-30T22:40:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-%ed%99%98%ec%9c%a8-160%ec%97%94-%eb%8f%8c%ed%8c%8c-%ed%9b%84-159-60%ec%97%94-%ec%95%88%ed%8c%8e%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8-%ec%97%94\/"},"modified":"2026-03-30T22:40:42","modified_gmt":"2026-03-30T22:40:42","slug":"%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-%ed%99%98%ec%9c%a8-160%ec%97%94-%eb%8f%8c%ed%8c%8c-%ed%9b%84-159-60%ec%97%94-%ec%95%88%ed%8c%8e%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8-%ec%97%94","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%eb%8b%ac%eb%9f%ac-%ec%97%94-%ed%99%98%ec%9c%a8-160%ec%97%94-%eb%8f%8c%ed%8c%8c-%ed%9b%84-159-60%ec%97%94-%ec%95%88%ed%8c%8e%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ec%9d%bc%eb%b3%b8-%ec%97%94\/","title":{"rendered":"\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4 \ud658\uc728, 160\uc5d4 \ub3cc\ud30c \ud6c4 159.60\uc5d4 \uc548\ud30e\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\u2026\uc77c\ubcf8, \uc5d4\ud654 \uc57d\uc138 \uacbd\uace0 \uc7ac\ud655\uc778"},"content":{"rendered":"USD\/JPY(\ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4 \ud658\uc728)\uc740 24\uc77c 159.60\uc5d4\ub300\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub0b4\ub824 0.44% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc55e\uc11c 160.00\uc5d4\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uba70 \uc57d 20\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uc758 \uace0\uc810 \ubd80\uadfc\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub790\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub300\uc751\uc744 \uacbd\uace0\ud558\uc790 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4.\n\n\uc77c\ubcf8\uc758 \uc678\ud658 \ub2f4\ub2f9 \uace0\uc704 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc790\uc778 \ubbf8\ubb34\ub77c \uc544\uc4f0\uc2dc(\u4e09\u6751\u6df3) \uc7ac\ubb34\uc131 \uad6d\uc81c\uad6d\uc7a5\uc740 \ud22c\uae30\uc801 \uac70\ub798\uac00 \ub298\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uba70 \uc774\ub7f0 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74 \u201c\ub2e8\ud638\ud55c \uc870\uce58\u201d\ub97c \ucde8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5d4\ud654(\uc77c\ubcf8 \ud1b5\ud654) \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ub9c9\uae30 \uc704\ud55c **\uc9c1\uc811 \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac1c\uc785(\uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ucc38\uc5ec\ud574 \uc5d4\ud654\ub97c \uc0ac\uac70\ub098 \ud30c\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \ud658\uc728\uc744 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\ub294 \uc870\uce58)** \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6e0\ub2e4.\n\n

Renewed Intervention Risk<\/h3>\n\uc77c\ubd80 \uc815\ucc45 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc790\ub294 **\uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589(BOJ)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1(\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc62c\ub824 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc57d\uc138\uc640 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \uc815\ucc45)** \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uac70\ub860\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5d4\ud654 \uc57d\uc138\uac00 **\uc218\uc785 \ubb3c\uac00(\ud574\uc678\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4e4\uc5ec\uc624\ub294 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uad6d\ub0b4 \ubb3c\uac00\ub85c \uc804\uac00\ub418\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)**\uc640 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4\uc11c\ub2e4. MUFG \uc560\ub110\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub4e4\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uac00 \uacc4\uc18d \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \ubc1b\uc73c\uba74 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 **\uae34\ucd95 \uc815\ucc45(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \ub3c8\uc758 \uacf5\uae09\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \uc815\ucc45)**\uacfc **\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac1c\uc785**\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \uc4f8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd24\ub2e4.\n\n\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 \ud3ed\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\ub410\ub2e4. \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub85c **\uc704\ud5d8\ud68c\ud53c(\ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uace0 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \uc62e\uae30\ub294 \ud750\ub984)**\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780\uc758 \uc9c0\uc6d0\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \ud6c4\ud2f0(\uc608\uba58 \ubb34\uc7a5\uc138\ub825)\uc640 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc6d0\uc720 \ud574\uc0c1 \uc6b4\uc1a1\ub85c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc704\ud611\uc774 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b0\uba70 **\uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0(\uc704\uae30 \ub54c \uac00\uce58\uac00 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc720\uc9c0\ub41c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5ec\uaca8\uc9c0\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0)** \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n\ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \uc774\ub780\uc758 \u201c\uc0c8 \uc815\uad8c\u201d\uacfc \uad70\uc0ac\uc791\uc804 \uc911\ub2e8\uc744 \uc704\ud55c \ud611\uc0c1\uc774 \uc9c4\ud589 \uc911\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610 \ud569\uc758\uac00 \ube68\ub9ac \ub098\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\uac70\ub098 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d \ubd09\uc1c4\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc774\ub780\uc758 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc124\uc744 \ud0c0\uaca9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n\uc81c\ub86c \ud30c\uc6d4 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900) \uc758\uc7a5\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc774 \u201c\uc88b\uc740 \uc704\uce58\u201d\uc5d0 \uc788\ub2e4\uba70, \uae08\ub9ac \ubcc0\uacbd \uc804 \ucd94\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \ub354 \ubcf4\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uc640 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc5d0\uc11c \ube44\ub86f\ub418\ub294 **\uacf5\uae09 \ucda9\uaca9(\uc804\uc7c1\u00b7\uc81c\uc7ac\u00b7\ubb3c\ub958 \ucc28\uc9c8 \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \uacf5\uae09\uc774 \uc904\uc5b4 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)**\uc774 **\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uae30\ub300(\ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc624\ub97c \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubbff\uc74c)**\ub97c \ubd88\uc548\uc815\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub3c4\ub85d \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ud588\ub2e4.\n\n

Volatility First Approach<\/h3>\n\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc758 \ub3c4\ucfc4 CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218), \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc0dd\uc0b0, \uc18c\ub9e4\ud310\ub9e4 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub3c4 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uacbd\uae30\uc640 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589 \uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \uac00\ub2a0\ud558\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\ud45c\ub2e4.\n\nUSD\/JPY\uac00 160\uc5d4\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc811\uadfc\ud558\ub294 \ud750\ub984\uc740 2025\ub144\uacfc \ube44\uc2b7\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc774 \u201c\ub2e8\ud638\ud55c \uc870\uce58\u201d\ub97c \uc7ac\ucc28 \uc5b8\uae09\ud558\uba74\uc11c **\uac1c\uc785 \uacbd\uacc4\uac10**\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\uace0, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud788 \ud658\uc728 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0\ub9cc \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc9c0\uc801\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc131 \ubca0\ud305\ubcf4\ub2e4 **\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300(\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc624\ub974\ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc0c1\ud0dc)**\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c **\uc635\uc158(\ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\ud55c \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uace0\ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)** \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 **\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(\uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ub098\uba74 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)** \ub610\ub294 **\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub7ad\uae00(\uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\u00b7\ud48b\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)** \ub9e4\uc218\uac00 \uac70\ub860\ub41c\ub2e4. **1\uac1c\uc6d4\ubb3c USD\/JPY \uc635\uc158\uc758 \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131)**\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8 12%\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3cc\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4.\n\n\uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\ub840\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74 \uc704\ud5d8\uc740 \ubd84\uba85\ud558\ub2e4. 2022\ub144 \uac00\uc744 \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub2f9\uad6d\uc740 600\uc5b5\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc774\uc0c1\uc744 \ud22c\uc785\ud588\uace0, \ud658\uc728\uc740 \ud558\ub8e8 \ub9cc\uc5d0 5\uc5d4 \ub118\uac8c \uae09\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \ubc18\ubcf5\ub418\uba74 \uc900\ube44\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc740 \ud070 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4, **USD\/JPY \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\ud658\uc728 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud558\uac70\ub098 \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \ub9c9\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\ub2e8)**\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \uc218\uc694\ub3c4 \ubb34\uc2dc\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba70 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 95\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uace0, **VIX \uc9c0\uc218(\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uacf5\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc218\ub85c \ubd88\ub9ac\uba70 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c4)**\uac00 18\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uba74 \uc704\ud5d8\ud68c\ud53c \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ubd88\uc548\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub5a0\ubc1b\uce58\uba70 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uac00\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uac8c \ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n\uae30\ubcf8 \uc694\uc778\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\uc900\uacfc \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uaca9\ucc28\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 4.5% \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc544 \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uc81c\ub85c(0) \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \uadf8\ucce4\ub2e4. **\ubbf8\u00b7\uc77c \uae08\ub9ac\ucc28(\ub450 \ub098\ub77c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \ucc28\uc774)**\uac00 4%p\ub97c \ub118\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74 \uc5d4\ud654 \ubcf4\uc720 \ub9e4\ub825\uc740 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c0\uace0, \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub098 \uc77c\ubcf8\uc740\ud589\uc758 \ub354 \uac15\ud55c \uae34\ucd95\uc774 \ub098\uc624\uae30 \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0 USD\/JPY \uc0c1\ubc29 \uc555\ub825\uc740 \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.\n

\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 – VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694 <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

160\uc5d4 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\ub358 \ub2ec\ub7ec\/\uc5d4, \uc77c\ubcf8 \u2018\ub2e8\ud638\ud55c \uc870\uce58\u2019 \uacbd\uace0\uc5d0 159.6\uc5d4\ub300\ub85c \uae09\ub77d. \uac1c\uc785\u00b7BOJ \uc778\uc0c1 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \ubd80\uac01, \uc911\ub3d9\ubc1c \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ud558\ub2e8 \uc81c\ud55c. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ubca0\ud305 \ud655\uc0b0.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43673","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43673","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43673"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43673\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43673"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43673"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43673"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}