{"id":43664,"date":"2026-03-30T20:39:44","date_gmt":"2026-03-30T20:39:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%86%8c%ec%8b%9c%ec%97%90%ed%85%8c-%ec%a0%9c%eb%84%a4%eb%9e%84-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-2026%eb%85%84-%ec%98%81%eb%9e%80%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-70bp-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ec%a0%84\/"},"modified":"2026-03-30T20:39:44","modified_gmt":"2026-03-30T20:39:44","slug":"%ec%86%8c%ec%8b%9c%ec%97%90%ed%85%8c-%ec%a0%9c%eb%84%a4%eb%9e%84-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-2026%eb%85%84-%ec%98%81%eb%9e%80%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-70bp-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ec%a0%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%86%8c%ec%8b%9c%ec%97%90%ed%85%8c-%ec%a0%9c%eb%84%a4%eb%9e%84-%ec%8b%9c%ec%9e%a5-2026%eb%85%84-%ec%98%81%eb%9e%80%ec%9d%80%ed%96%89-70bp-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac%ec%9d%b8%ed%95%98-%ec%a0%84\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc18c\uc2dc\uc5d0\ud14c \uc81c\ub124\ub784 \u201c\uc2dc\uc7a5, 2026\ub144 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589 70bp \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uc804\ub9dd\u2026\ub2f9\uad6d\uc740 \uc2e0\uc911, \uc62c\ud574 \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uc5c6\uc5b4\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"\uc601\uad6d \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(MPC) \uc77c\ubd80\uc758 \ubc18\ub300\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 2026\ub144\uc5d0 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589(BoE)\uc774 \uc57d 70bp(\ubca0\uc774\uc2dc\uc2a4\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\u00b70.01%p) \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9b4 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc18c\uc2dc\uc5d0\ud14c\uc81c\ub124\ub784 \uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf8\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub4e4\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc5c6\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8\ub2e4.\n\n2\uc6d4 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7\uc804\uccb4 \ubb3c\uac00)\ub294 3%\ub85c, \ube14\ub8f8\ubc84\uadf8 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\uc640 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc758 2\uc6d4 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\uc640 \uac19\uc558\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc774 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uae09\ub4f1(\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \ucda9\uaca9) \uc774\uc804\uc5d0 \ub098\uc628 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc774\ub4e4\uc740 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Near Term Inflation Outlook<\/h3>\n\uc774\ub4e4\uc740 \uc5f0\ub8cc \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c 3\uc6d4 \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 CPI\uac00 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 \uc57d 3.2%\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c\uac08 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc758 2\uc6d4 MPR(\ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c) \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc57d 0.5%p \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 2026\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 3~3.5% \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \ud06c\uac8c \uc624\ub974\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc774\uc720\ub85c\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \uc720\ud734(\uc218\uc694 \ubd80\uc9c4\uc73c\ub85c \uc0dd\uc0b0\u00b7\uace0\uc6a9\uc774 \ub0a8\ub294 \uc0c1\ud0dc), \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 \uc0c1\uc2b9, \uc18c\ube44 \ubd80\uc9c4\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\uc5c5\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc5ec\ub825\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uaf3d\uc558\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \uc911\uc694\ub3c4\uac00 \ud55c \ub2e8\uacc4 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc9c0\ud45c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub85c \uc62e\uaca8\uac08 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. 3\uc6d4 DMP(Decision Makers\u2019 Panel\u00b7\uae30\uc5c5 \uc758\uc0ac\uacb0\uc815\uc790 \uc124\ubb38)\ub294 \ub3c4\ub9e4 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc774\ud6c4 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc758 \ubb3c\uac00\uc640 \uc784\uae08 \uae30\ub300\uac00 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \ubc14\ub00c\ub294\uc9c0 \ucd08\uae30 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.\n\n\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc758 \ud070 \ud3ed \uc644\ud654(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558)\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 3\uc6d4 30\uc77c \uae30\uc900 SONIA \uc120\ub3c4\uae08\ub9ac \uace1\uc120(\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 SONIA \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub9cc\uae30\ubcc4\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b8 \uace1\uc120)\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc62c\ud574 25bp \uc778\ud558 \uc57d 3\ud68c\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c\ub2e4. SONIA\ub294 \uc601\uad6d\uc758 \ub300\ud45c \ubb34\uc704\ud5d8 \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac(\ub2f4\ubcf4 \uc5c6\ub294 \ucd08\ub2e8\uae30 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \ud615\uc131\ub418\ub294 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac)\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Trade Expression And Market Catalysts<\/h3>\n\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud310\ub2e8\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ubc30\uacbd\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720(\ubd81\ud574\uc0b0 \uc6d0\uc720 \uae30\uc900\uac00\uaca9)\ub294 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 \ub0b4\ub0b4 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 85\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc704\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 3\uc6d4 \uc601\uad6d \ud1b5\uacc4\uccad(ONS) \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c \ud5e4\ub4dc\ub77c\uc778 CPI\uac00 3.2%\ub85c \ub192\uc544\uc9c4 \ub370 \uc9c1\uc811 \uae30\uc5ec\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc774\uc804 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub3c4 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub4e4\uc740 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uc62c\ud574 \ub0a8\uc740 \uae30\uac04 3~3.5% \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ub192\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n\uacbd\uc81c\uc5d0 \uc720\ud734\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c\ub2e4\uace0 \ud574\uc11c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub85c \uace7\ubc14\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc544\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 4.5%\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc74c\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc784\uae08 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \ub204\ub974\uace0 2\ucc28 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9(\uc784\uae08\u00b7\ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9ac\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1)\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58 2%\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc720\ud734\ub294 MPC\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub3d9\uacb0\uc744 \ud0dd\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc5d0 \uac00\uae5d\ub2e4\ub294 \uc9c4\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n2025\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \uafb8\uc900\ud788 \ub0b4\ub824\uac08 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305\ud55c \uac70\ub798\uac00 \uc720\ub9ac\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uadf8 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \uba48\ucd98 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \u2018\ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\u2019\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb34\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ub300\ud45c \uc218\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c\uc744 \ub4e4\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac \uc120\ubb3c\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ub2e8\uae30\uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub418\ub294 \uc0c1\uc7a5\uc0c1\ud488\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub4e4\uc740 2026\ub144 12\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30 SONIA \uc120\ubb3c \ub9e4\ub3c4(\uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ubca0\ud305)\uc5d0 \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd24\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\uba74 \uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\ub610 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\uc2a4\uc651(\uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \uc774\uc790 \uc9c0\uae09 \ubc29\uc2dd, \ubcf4\ud1b5 \uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uad50\ud658\ud558\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d)\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc9c0\uae09\ud558\uace0 \ubcc0\ub3d9 SONIA\ub97c \uc218\ucde8\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4. \uc601\ub780\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\ub9cc\ud07c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9ac\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba74, \uc218\ucde8\ud558\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc544\uc838 \uc774 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \uc720\ub9ac\ud574\uc9c4\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc120\ub3c4\uae08\ub9ac \uace1\uc120\uc774 \uc9c0\ub098\uce58\uac8c \ub0ae\ub2e4\ub294 \ud310\ub2e8\uc5d0 \uae30\ubc18\ud55c \uac70\ub798\ub2e4.\n\n\uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc\uc5d0\ub294 \uc911\uc694\ub3c4\uac00 \ud55c \ub2e8\uacc4 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ud575\uc2ec \ubcc0\uc218\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 3\uc6d4 DMP \uc124\ubb38\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc601\uad6d \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc774 \uac00\uaca9\uacfc \uc784\uae08 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uc870\uc815\ud558\ub294\uc9c0 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc904 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacb0\uacfc\uac00 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub098\uc624\uba74, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 70bp \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc218\uc815\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uad00\uce21\uc774\ub2e4.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 &#8211; VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694 <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201c70bp \uc778\ud558 \ubca0\ud305 \uacfc\ud588\ub098\u201d \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ubc1c CPI 3~3.5% \uace0\ucc29\uc5d0 BoE \uc62c\ud574 \ub3d9\uacb0 \uc804\ub9dd. DMP \uc124\ubb38\uc774 \uc784\uae08\u00b7\ubb3c\uac00 \uae30\ub300 \uc7ac\uc810\ud654\ud558\uba74 SONIA \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300 \uae09\uc218\uc815 \uac00\ub2a5.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43664","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43664","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43664"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43664\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43664"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43664"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43664"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}