{"id":43506,"date":"2026-03-27T13:39:04","date_gmt":"2026-03-27T13:39:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%bd%94%eb%a9%94%eb%a5%b4%ec%b8%a0%eb%b0%a9%ed%81%ac-2026%eb%85%84-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5%eb%a5%a0-%ed%95%98%ed%96%a5-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9decb-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac\/"},"modified":"2026-03-27T13:39:04","modified_gmt":"2026-03-27T13:39:04","slug":"%ec%bd%94%eb%a9%94%eb%a5%b4%ec%b8%a0%eb%b0%a9%ed%81%ac-2026%eb%85%84-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5%eb%a5%a0-%ed%95%98%ed%96%a5-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9decb-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%bd%94%eb%a9%94%eb%a5%b4%ec%b8%a0%eb%b0%a9%ed%81%ac-2026%eb%85%84-%ec%9c%a0%eb%a1%9c%ec%a1%b4-%ec%84%b1%ec%9e%a5%eb%a5%a0-%ed%95%98%ed%96%a5-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9decb-%ea%b8%88%eb%a6%ac\/","title":{"rendered":"\ucf54\uba54\ub974\uce20\ubc29\ud06c, 2026\ub144 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc804\ub9dd\u2026ECB \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud69f\uc218 \ucd95\uc18c\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub300\u00b7\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 \uc608\uc0c1"},"content":{"rendered":"Commerzbank\ub294 \uc911\ub3d9 \uc804\uc7c1 \uc5ec\ud30c\ub85c 2026\ub144 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub97c 0.9%\uc5d0\uc11c 0.6%\ub85c \ub0ae\ucdc4\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc2dc\uc7a5(\uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5)\uc774 \uc554\uc2dc\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc900\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc720\ub7fd\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(ECB)\uc758 **\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \ud69f\uc218**\uac00 \ub354 \uc801\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub2e4\ubd24\ub2e4. \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 **\ubbf8\ub798 \ud2b9\uc815 \uc2dc\uc810\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud574 \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5**\uc73c\ub85c, \uc5ec\uae30\uc11c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uae30\ub300\uce58\uac00 \u2018\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\u2019\uc73c\ub85c \uc790\uc8fc \uc778\uc6a9\ub41c\ub2e4.\n\n\ubc18\uba74 Commerzbank\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\uc5f0\uc900)\uac00 \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \uac83\ubcf4\ub2e4 **\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub354 \ub9ce\uc774 \uc778\ud558**\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4, **\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960(\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158)\uc774 \ub192\uc544** \uc2dc\uc810\uc740 \uae30\uc874 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub2a6\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uad00\uce21\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc804\uc7c1\uc774 \ub05d\ub098\uba74 \uc720\ub85c\/\ub2ec\ub7ec(EUR\/USD)\uac00 \ud68c\ubcf5\ud55c \ub4a4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ubd84\uae30\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac08 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4. EUR\/USD\ub294 **\uc720\ub85c 1\uc720\ub85c\ub97c \uc0ac\ub294 \ub370 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uaca9**\uc744 \ub73b\ud558\uba70, \uc22b\uc790\uac00 \uc624\ub974\uba74 \uc720\ub85c \uac15\uc138(\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138)\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ud55c\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Eurozone Outlook Revision<\/h3>\nCommerzbank\ub294 2027\ub144 \uc911\ubc18 EUR\/USD\ub97c 1.21\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc644\ud654(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558)\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\ub300\uc640, \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub3c5\ub9bd\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uacfc \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9b0\ub2e4\ub294 \uc124\uba85\uc774\ub2e4. **\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub3c5\ub9bd\uc131**\uc740 \uc815\ubd80\u00b7\uc815\uce58\uad8c \uc601\ud5a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub098 \ubb3c\uac00\uc640 \uace0\uc6a9\uc744 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uacb0\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc131\uaca9\uc744 \ub9d0\ud558\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9b0\ub2e4\uace0 \ub290\ub07c\uba74 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc791\ub144 \ubd84\uc11d\uc744 \ub418\uc9da\uc5b4\ubcf4\uba74, \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc740 2026\ub144\uc5d0 \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\uac00 \ud06c\uace0 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 0.6%\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac08 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc2dc\uac01\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\uc758 \ubc30\uacbd\uc740 \uc911\ub3d9 \uc804\uc7c1\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc\uc5d0\ub294 ECB\ub3c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \uac83\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub35c \uc62c\ub9b4 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. **\uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1(\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1)**\uc740 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ub3c8\uc758 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc62c\ub824 \ubb3c\uac00\ub97c \uc7a1\uace0 \uacbd\uae30\ub97c \uc2dd\ud788\ub294 \uc870\uce58\ub2e4.\n\n\uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 2026\ub144 3\uc6d4 27\uc77c \ud604\uc7ac \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc \ub2e4\ub974\uac8c \uc804\uac1c\ub410\ub2e4. \uc131\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc57d\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc720\ub85c\uc2a4\ud0c0\ud2b8\uc758 1\ubd84\uae30 \uc18d\ubcf4\uce58\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\ub85c\uc874\uc740 \uc804\ubd84\uae30 \ub300\ube44 0.3% \uc131\uc7a5\ud574 \u2018\uc815\uccb4 \uc9c0\uc18d\u2019 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ubc84\ud300\ubaa9\uc740 2025\ub144\uc758 \ube44\uad00\uc774 \uacfc\ud588\ub358 \uce21\uba74\uc774 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uba70, ECB\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ubcf4\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. **\uc18d\ubcf4\uce58(\ud50c\ub798\uc2dc \ucd94\uc815\uce58)**\ub294 \ucd5c\uc885 \ud655\uc815 \uc804\uc5d0 \uba3c\uc800 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud558\ub294 \uc7a0\uc815 \ud1b5\uacc4\ub2e4.\n\n\ubc18\ub300\ub85c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c \ub354 \ube60\ub974\uace0 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \ud604\uc2e4\ud654\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \uace0\uc6a9 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 2026\ub144 2\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc740 3.4%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc27d\uac8c \ubc14\uafb8\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. **CPI**\ub294 \ub300\ud45c\uc801\uc778 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub85c, \uac12\uc774 \ub192\uc73c\uba74 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \u2018\ub3d9\uacb0 \uae30\uc870\u2019\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc791\ub144\uc5d0 \uc608\uc0c1\ub410\ub358 \u2018\uc784\ubc15\ud55c \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uc644\ud654(\uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558)\u2019\ub77c\ub294 \uc11c\uc0ac\ub294 \ud798\uc744 \uc783\uc5c8\ub2e4.\n\n<h3>Trading Implications For Eurusd<\/h3>\n\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc5c7\uac08\ub9bc\uc73c\ub85c EUR\/USD\ub294 \ub20c\ub9b0 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uba70 \ud604\uc7ac 1.0785 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c **\uae08\ub9ac \ucc28(\uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28)**\uac00 \uc7a5\uae30\uc801\uc778 \u2018\uac00\uce58 \ub300\ube44 \uc800\ud3c9\uac00\u2019 \ub17c\ub9ac\ub97c \uc555\ub3c4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \ucc28\ub294 **\ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc720\ub85c\uc874\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc744 \ub54c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc790\uc0b0\uc774 \ub354 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1**\uc744 \ub9d0\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c 1.21\ub85c\uc758 \ud68c\ubcf5 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \ud06c\uac8c \ub2a6\ucdb0\uc84c\uace0, \uc911\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ubb34\ud6a8\uac00 \ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(derivatives) \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 \uc791\ub144\uc758 \uac15\uc138 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ub2f9\uc7a5 \uc801\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\ub2e4. **\ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488**\uc740 \uc8fc\uc2dd\u00b7\ud658\uc728\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \uac19\uc740 \uae30\ucd08\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub3d9\ub3fc \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uacb0\uc815\ub418\ub294 \uacc4\uc57d\uc774\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubd84\uae30 \ub3d9\uc548 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00 1.12\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \uc678\uac00\uaca9(out-of-the-money) \uc720\ub85c \ucf5c \uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud574 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. **\ucf5c \uc635\uc158**\uc740 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9(\ud589\uc0ac\uac00)\uc73c\ub85c \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac\uc774\uace0, **\uc678\uac00\uaca9**\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac \ud658\uc728\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud574(\uc608: \ucf5c\uc758 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uac00 \ud604\uc7ac\uac00\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc544) \uc9c0\uae08\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uac70\uc758 \uc5c6\ub294 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub97c \ub9d0\ud55c\ub2e4.  \n\n\ub610\ud55c \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \u2018\ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \ubcf4\uace0 \uacb0\uc815\u2019\ud558\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uc694 \ubb3c\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804\ud6c4\ub85c \ub2e8\uae30 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(straddle)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300\ub97c \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4. **\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4**\uc740 \uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uacfc \ud48b\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \uc0ac\uc11c \uc5b4\ub290 \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c\ub4e0 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uba74 \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774\uba70, **\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131**\uc740 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud754\ub4e4\ub9ac\ub294 \ud3ed\uc744 \ub73b\ud55c\ub2e4.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 &#8211; VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694 <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc911\ub3d9 \uc804\uc7c1 \uc5ec\ud30c\uc5d0 Commerzbank\ub294 \uc720\ub85c\uc874 2026 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc744 0.6%\ub85c \ud558\ud5a5, ECB \uc778\uc0c1\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc801\uac8c \ubd24\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \u7f8e CPI \uace0\ucc29\uc5d0 Fed \uc778\ud558 \uc9c0\uc5f0, EUR\/USD 1.21 \uc804\ub9dd\ub3c4 \ud754\ub4e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43506","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43506","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43506"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43506\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43506"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43506"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43506"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}