{"id":42185,"date":"2026-03-24T04:24:14","date_gmt":"2026-03-24T04:24:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/aud-usd-3%ec%9b%94-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a0%90-%eb%8c%80%eb%b9%84-200%ed%95%8d-%ec%9d%b4%ec%83%81-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ed%95%9c-0-6980%ec%84%a00-7000%ec%84%a0-2%ec%9b%94-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-%ec%b2%ab\/"},"modified":"2026-03-24T04:24:14","modified_gmt":"2026-03-24T04:24:14","slug":"aud-usd-3%ec%9b%94-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a0%90-%eb%8c%80%eb%b9%84-200%ed%95%8d-%ec%9d%b4%ec%83%81-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ed%95%9c-0-6980%ec%84%a00-7000%ec%84%a0-2%ec%9b%94-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-%ec%b2%ab","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/aud-usd-3%ec%9b%94-%ea%b3%a0%ec%a0%90-%eb%8c%80%eb%b9%84-200%ed%95%8d-%ec%9d%b4%ec%83%81-%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ed%95%9c-0-6980%ec%84%a00-7000%ec%84%a0-2%ec%9b%94-%ec%9d%b4%ed%9b%84-%ec%b2%ab\/","title":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD, 3\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810 \ub300\ube44 200\ud54d \uc774\uc0c1 \ud558\ub77d\ud55c 0.6980\uc120\u20260.7000\uc120 2\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \uccab \ud558\ud5a5 \ub3cc\ud30c"},"content":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD\ub294 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c 0.6980\uc120\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. 3\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810(0.7120 \ubd80\uadfc)\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \ud2c0\uc5b4 1\uc8fc\uc77c\ub3c4 \uc548 \ub3fc 200\ud54d(pip\u00b7\ud658\uc728\uc758 \ucd5c\uc18c \ubcc0\ub3d9 \ub2e8\uc704) \ub118\uac8c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\uace0, 2\uc6d4 \ucd08 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c 0.7000\uc744 \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4.  \n\n\ud638\uc8fc\uc758 3\uc6d4 \uc7a0\uc815(\uc18d\ubcf4) PMI(\uad6c\ub9e4\uad00\ub9ac\uc790\uc9c0\uc218\u00b7\uae30\uc5c5 \uc124\ubb38\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uae30 \ud655\uc7a5\/\uc704\ucd95\uc744 \uac00\ub2a0\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 \uc57d\ud654\ub410\ub2e4. \uc885\ud569 PMI\ub294 2\uc6d4 52.4\uc5d0\uc11c 47.0\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc5c5 PMI\ub294 52.8\uc5d0\uc11c 46.6\uc73c\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\uace0, \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 PMI\ub294 51.0\uc5d0\uc11c 50.1\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4.  \n\n<h3>\ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA) \uc804\ub9dd\uacfc \uc8fc\uc694 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00) \uc2dc\ud5d8\ub300<\/h3>  \n\ud638\uc8fc\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(RBA)\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 25bp(bp\u00b70.01%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8) \uc62c\ub824 4.10%\ub85c \uc870\uc815\ud588\ub2e4. \ud45c\uacb0\uc740 5\ub300 4\uc600\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\ub294 2\uc6d4 CPI(\uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218)\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\ub294 CPI(\uc804\uccb4 \ubb3c\uac00)\uac00 \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 3.8%, \uadfc\uc6d0\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \uc808\uc0ac\ud3c9\uade0 \ubb3c\uac00(trimmed mean\u00b7\uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \uae09\ub4f1\ub77d \ud56d\ubaa9\uc744 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc81c\uc678\ud574 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c)\uac00 3.4%\ub2e4.  \n\n\ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uac00 3\uc6d4 18\uc77c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.50~3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\ub2e4. \ud45c\uacb0\uc740 11\ub300 1\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 3\uc6d4 \uc7a0\uc815 PMI\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\uba70, 4\ubd84\uae30 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc131(\ub178\ub3d9 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc131)\uacfc \ub2e8\uc704\ub178\ub3d9\ube44\uc6a9(unit labour cost\u00b7\uc0b0\ucd9c 1\ub2e8\uc704\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \ub370 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uac00\ub294 \uc778\uac74\ube44)\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \ub098\uc628\ub2e4.  \n\n1\uc2dc\uac04 \ucc28\ud2b8 \uae30\uc900 AUD\/USD\ub294 0.6950 \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud55c \ub4a4 0.7013\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 0.7030, 0.7050, 0.7070\uc73c\ub85c, \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc740 0.7000, 0.6980, 0.6950\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub410\ub2e4.  \n\n<h3>\ud558\ub77d(\uc57d\uc138) \uad00\uc810\uc758 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc544\uc774\ub514\uc5b4<\/h3>  \n\ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138(\uae30\ucd08\uc5ec\uac74)\ub3c4 \ud638\uc8fc\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \ucda9\uaca9\uc740 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud638\uc8fc\uc758 2026\ub144 1\uc6d4 \uc6d4\uac04 CPI \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 3.4%\ub85c \uc27d\uac8c \ub0b4\ub824\uc624\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc544 RBA\uc5d0 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud604\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(cash rate\u00b7RBA\uc758 \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac)\uac00 4.35%\uc778 \ub9cc\ud07c, \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \uacbd\uae30\uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc57d\ud558\uba74 RBA\uac00 \ubb3c\uac00\uc640 \uacbd\uae30 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \uc120\ud0dd\uc774 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0 \ub193\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.  \n\n\ubc18\uba74 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \ucabd \uc5ec\uac74\uc740 \uc791\ub144\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac15\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uc5f0\ubc29\uae30\uae08\uae08\ub9ac(Fed funds rate\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc815\ucc45\uae08\ub9ac)\ub294 5.25~5.50%\ub85c \ub354 \ub192\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 2\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d CPI\ub3c4 3.2%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\uac00 \ub354\ub518 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098, \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28(\ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \uc0c1\ud0dc)\uac00 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ubcf4\uc720\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \uc791\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4.  \n\n\uc774\ub7f0 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 AUD\/USD\uc758 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \ud558\ub77d \ub610\ub294 \uae09\ub77d\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488(\uc635\uc158 \ub4f1) \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \ub9cc\ud558\ub2e4. \ud48b\uc635\uc158(put\u00b7\uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ud314 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac) \ub9e4\uc218\ub294 1~2\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \ud558\ub77d \ubca0\ud305 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774\ub2e4. \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\ub824\uba74 \ubca0\uc5b4 \ud48b \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(bear put spread\u00b7\ud48b\uc744 \uc0ac\uace0 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ud48b\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \ud314\uc544 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub85c \ud558\ub77d \ud3ed\uc744 \ud2b9\uc815\ud574 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.  \n\n\ub610\ud55c \ub2e8\uae30 \ubc18\ub4f1\ub3c4 \uacbd\uacc4\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc800\ud56d \uad6c\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c 0.6600\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc774 \ub098\uc624\uba74 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc20f(\ub9e4\ub3c4) \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uad6c\ucd95\uc758 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc678\uac00\uaca9 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(out-of-the-money call\u00b7\ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c) \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub098 \ucf5c \uc2a4\ud504\ub808\ub4dc(call spread\u00b7\ucf5c\uc744 \uc0ac\uace0 \ub2e4\ub978 \ucf5c\uc744 \ud314\uc544 \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ub294 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9)\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc57d\uc138 \uad00\uc810\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774\ub2e4.\n<p>\n\n<p><strong>\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 &#8211; VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694 <\/strong> <\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD, 0.7000 \ubd95\uad34 \u2018\uae09\ub77d \uacbd\ubcf4\u2019\u2026\ud638\uc8fc PMI \uc1fc\ud06c\uc5d0 0.6980\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc00\ub838\ub2e4. RBA\u00b7Fed \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28 \uc18d CPI\u00b7PMI \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \ud5a5\ubc29 \uac00\ub97c \ub4ef, \uc57d\uc138 \uc635\uc158\uc804\ub7b5 \ubd80\uac01.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-42185","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42185","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=42185"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42185\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=42185"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=42185"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=42185"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}