{"id":42089,"date":"2026-03-21T00:44:21","date_gmt":"2026-03-21T00:44:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ea%b7%b8%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%80-%ec%84%a0%ea%b1%b0-%ec%97%b0%eb%8f%84-%ed%8c%a8%ed%84%b4%ec%9d%84-%eb%b0%98%ec%98%81%ed%95%b4-sp-500%ec%9d%b4-%ea%b3%a7-%ec%b6%94%ec%84%b8%eb%a5%bc-%ea%b1%b0%ec%8a%ac\/"},"modified":"2026-03-21T00:44:21","modified_gmt":"2026-03-21T00:44:21","slug":"%ea%b7%b8%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%80-%ec%84%a0%ea%b1%b0-%ec%97%b0%eb%8f%84-%ed%8c%a8%ed%84%b4%ec%9d%84-%eb%b0%98%ec%98%81%ed%95%b4-sp-500%ec%9d%b4-%ea%b3%a7-%ec%b6%94%ec%84%b8%eb%a5%bc-%ea%b1%b0%ec%8a%ac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ea%b7%b8%eb%93%a4%ec%9d%80-%ec%84%a0%ea%b1%b0-%ec%97%b0%eb%8f%84-%ed%8c%a8%ed%84%b4%ec%9d%84-%eb%b0%98%ec%98%81%ed%95%b4-sp-500%ec%9d%b4-%ea%b3%a7-%ec%b6%94%ec%84%b8%eb%a5%bc-%ea%b1%b0%ec%8a%ac\/","title":{"rendered":"\uadf8\ub4e4\uc740 \uc120\uac70 \uc5f0\ub3c4 \ud328\ud134\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud574 S&#038;P 500\uc774 \uace7 \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \uac70\uc2ac\ub7ec \ubc18\ub4f1\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uba70, \ud574\ub2f9 \ud328\ud134\uc740 3\uc6d4 \uc800\uc810\uacfc 3\uc6d4 \uace0\uc810\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uc5c5\ub370\uc774\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 **\uc911\uac04\uc120\uac70\uac00 \uc788\ub294 \ud574(mid-term election year)**\uc758 **\uacc4\uc808\uc131(seasonality, \ud2b9\uc815 \uc2dc\uae30\uc5d0 \ubc18\ubcf5\ub418\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784)**\uc744 \uadfc\uac70\ub85c S&#038;P 500\uc758 **\uc5f0\ucd08 \ub300\ube44(YTD, Year To Date: \uc62c\ud574 \ucd08\ubd80\ud130 \uc9c0\uae08\uae4c\uc9c0)** \uc800\uc810\uc774 **3\uc6d4 13\uc77c \uc804\ud6c4**, \uace0\uc810\uc774 **3\uc6d4 20\uc77c \uc804\ud6c4**\uc5d0 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd24\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4(\uac01 \ub0a0\uc9dc\ub294 **\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uae30\uc900 \u00b13\uc77c**\ub85c \ubd04). \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 **3\uc6d4 13\uc77c 6632**\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc14\ub2e5\uc744 \ucc0d\uace0, **3\uc6d4 17\uc77c 6754**\uc5d0\uc11c \uace0\uc810\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n**3\uc6d4 20\uc77c**\uc5d0\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 **6500 \uadfc\ucc98**\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uba70 \uc0c8 \uc800\uc810\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. **3\uc6d4 17\uc77c \uace0\uc810**\uc740 \u00b13\uc77c \ubc94\uc704 \uc548\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc624\uc9c0\ub9cc, **3\uc6d4 20\uc77c\uc758 \uc9c0\uc218 \uc218\uc900\uc740 3\uc6d4 13\uc77c \uc800\uc810\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.**\n\n<h3>\uacc4\uc808\uc131 \ud328\ud134\uacfc \uac00\uaca9(\uc2dc\uc138)\uc758 \ucc28\uc774<\/h3>\n\ud574\ub2f9 **\uacc4\uc808\uc131 \ud328\ud134**\uc740 \ubcf4\uace0\ub41c \uace0\uc810\u00b7\uc800\uc810\uc744 **13\ubc88 \uc911 9\ubc88** \ub9de\ucdc4\uace0, \ub2e4\ub978 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \uc138\uba74 **13\ubc88 \uc911 10\ubc88** \ub9de\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc774\ubc88 \uc5c5\ub370\uc774\ud2b8\ub294 **3\uc6d4 31\uc77c \uc804\ud6c4**\uc5d0 \uc800\uc810\uc774 \ub098\uc62c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcf4\uba70, \uace0\uc810\uc774 **3\uc6d4 17\uc77c**\uc5d0 \uc774\ubbf8 \ub098\uc654\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc800\uc810\uc774 **\ub354 \uc55e\ub2f9\uaca8\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131**\ub3c4 \uc5b8\uae09\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5b8\uae09\ub41c **\uae30\uc220\uc801(\ucc28\ud2b8) \uac00\uaca9\ub300**\ub294 **0.236 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc(retracement, \uc774\uc804 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ubd84\uc758 \uc77c\ubd80\ub97c \ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\ub294 \uad6c\uac04)**\uc774 **6492 \uadfc\ucc98**, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 **1.618\ubc30 \ud655\uc7a5(extension, \uc774\uc804 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc5d0 \ube44\ub840\ud574 \ubaa9\ud45c \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc7a1\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd)**\uc774 **6493**\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 **2\uc6d4 25\uc77c \uace0\uc810**\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2dc\uc791\ub41c **\uc5d4\ub529 \ub2e4\uc774\uc560\uace0\ub110(ending diagonal, \uc0c1\uc2b9\u00b7\ud558\ub77d\uc758 \ud798\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\uba70 \uc410\uae30 \ubaa8\uc591\uc73c\ub85c \ub9c8\ubb34\ub9ac\ub418\ub294 \ud30c\ub3d9 \ud615\ud0dc)**\uc758 \ubaa9\ud45c\uac12\uc73c\ub85c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub410\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c \uacbd\ub85c\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4: **6490 \u00b1 10**\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9c8\ubb34\ub9ac \u2192 \uc774\ud6c4 **\uce74\uc6b4\ud130\ud2b8\ub80c\ub4dc(countertrend, \ud070 \ud750\ub984\uacfc \ubc18\ub300 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc758) B\ud30c(B-wave, \uc870\uc815 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1\uc774 \ub098\uc624\ub294 \ub2e8\uacc4)** \ubc18\ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c **4\uc6d4 18\uc77c\uc5d0 6900 \u00b1 100** \u2192 \uadf8 \ub2e4\uc74c **\ube68\uac04 W-c \ud558\ub77d(red W-c decline, W\ub85c \ud45c\uc2dc\ud55c \uc870\uc815 \uad6c\uc870\uc758 c\ud30c \ud558\ub77d)**\uc774 \uc9c4\ud589\ub418\uba70 \ucd5c\uc18c\ud55c **0.382 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc(\ub354 \uae4a\uc740 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc \uad6c\uac04)**\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud558\ub77d.\n\n<h3>\ub2e8\uae30 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uacfc \ubc18\ub4f1<\/h3>\n\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 7020 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \ubc1b\ub294\ub2e4\uba74, 2025\ub144\uc5d0 \ub17c\uc758\ud588\ub358 B\ud30c \uad6c\uc870\ucc98\ub7fc **\uc5ed\ucd94\uc138 \ubc18\ub4f1**\uc774 \ub098\uc62c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd05\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\uc5d0\uac8c **\ud5e4\uc9c0(hedge, \ubc18\ub300 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \uac83)**\ub97c \ud558\uac70\ub098 \ub2e8\uae30 \ub9e4\uc218 \uad00\uc810\uc758 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uc7a1\uc744 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 **\ucf5c\uc635\uc158(call option, \ud2b9\uc815 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ub9ac)**\uc73c\ub85c **7150 \ubd80\uadfc \uc7ac\uc2dc\ud5d8(\ub2e4\uc2dc \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud558\ub294 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784)**\uc744 \ub178\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774\ub97c **\ub2e4\uc74c \ud558\ub77d \uc804\uc758 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784**\uc73c\ub85c \ubd05\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n\uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec **\uadfc\uc6d0 \ubb3c\uac00(core inflation, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ud070 \uc2dd\ud488\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00)**\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc **3.1%**\ub85c \uc62c\ub77c, \uc774\ubc88 \uc870\uc815 \uc804\uccb4\uac00 \ub354 \ud070 \ud558\ub77d \uacfc\uc815\uc758 \uc77c\ubd80\ub77c\uace0 \ubd05\ub2c8\ub2e4. B\ud30c \ubc18\ub4f1\uc774 \uc2e4\ud328\ud558\uba74 \ub354 \ud070 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uc2dc\uc791\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ub2a6\ubd04\uc5d0 **6800 \uadfc\ucc98\uc758 0.382 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9bc**\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc\uc758 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \uc870\uc2ec\ud574\uc11c \ubd10\uc57c \ud558\uba70, \ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \ub354 \uae34 **\ubcf4\ud638\uc6a9 \ud48b(protective put, \ud070 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \uc0ac\uc11c \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95)**\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph-->\n<p><b>VT Markets \ub77c\uc774\ube0c \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/trade-now\/\">\uac70\ub798<\/a>\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694.<\/b><\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2025\ub144 \uc2dc\uc98c\uc131\uc740 3\/13 \uc800\uc810\u00b73\/17 \uace0\uc810\uc73c\ub85c \uc801\uc911. \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc 2026\ub144\uc740 \ub2e4\ub974\ub2e4: 7250 \ud558\ub77d \ud6c4 7020 \uc9c0\uc9c0 \uad00\ucc30, \ub2e8\uae30 \ubc18\ub4f1 \ub4a4 6800 \uc7ac\ud558\ub77d \uac00\ub2a5\u2014\uc635\uc158 \ud5e4\uc9c0 \ud544\uc694. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-42089","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42089","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=42089"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42089\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=42089"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=42089"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=42089"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}