{"id":42080,"date":"2026-03-20T23:43:19","date_gmt":"2026-03-20T23:43:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr\/uncategorized\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ec%a0%84%ec%9f%81%ea%b3%bc-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%eb%b0%80%eb%a0%a4-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a6%9d%ec%8b%9c-%ec%a7%80\/"},"modified":"2026-03-20T23:43:19","modified_gmt":"2026-03-20T23:43:19","slug":"%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ec%a0%84%ec%9f%81%ea%b3%bc-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%eb%b0%80%eb%a0%a4-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a6%9d%ec%8b%9c-%ec%a7%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/live-updates\/%ec%9d%b4%eb%9e%80-%ec%a0%84%ec%9f%81%ea%b3%bc-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80%ec%9d%98-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b8%b0%ec%a1%b0%ec%97%90-%eb%b0%80%eb%a0%a4-%eb%af%b8%ea%b5%ad-%ec%a6%9d%ec%8b%9c-%ec%a7%80\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc774\ub780 \uc804\uc7c1\uacfc \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uae30\uc870\uc5d0 \ubc00\ub824 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc99d\uc2dc \uc9c0\uc218 \ud558\ub77d\u20264\uc8fc \uc5f0\uc18d \ub099\ud3ed \ud655\ub300 \uc804\ub9dd"},"content":{"rendered":"\ubbf8\uad6d \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc740 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc6b0\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc57d 257\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(0.6%) \ub0b4\ub838\uace0, S&P500\uc740 0.8%, \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5\uc740 1.2% \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780-\uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8 \uac04 \uacf5\uc2b5, \ud398\ub974\uc2dc\uc544\ub9cc \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc124 \uacf5\uaca9, \ubbf8 \ud574\ubcd1\ub300 \ucd94\uac00 \ud30c\ubcd1 \ubcf4\ub3c4, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc218\uc870 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uaddc\ubaa8 \ud30c\uc0dd\uc0c1\ud488\uc774 \ud55c\uaebc\ubc88\uc5d0 \ub9cc\uae30\ub418\ub294 \u2018\ucffc\ub4dc\ub7ec\ud50c \uc704\uce6d(\uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218 \uc120\ubb3c\u00b7\uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218 \uc635\uc158\u00b7\uac1c\ubcc4\uc8fc\uc2dd \uc635\uc158\u00b7\uac1c\ubcc4\uc8fc\uc2dd \uc120\ubb3c\uc774 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9cc\uae30\ub418\ub294 \ub0a0)\u2019\uc774 \uacb9\uce58\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 4\uc8fc \uc5f0\uc18d \uc8fc\uac04 \ud558\ub77d\uc73c\ub85c \ud5a5\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n\ub2e4\uc6b0\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 4\ub9cc7,400\uc120 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc815\uc810\uc744 \ucc0d\uc740 \ub4a4 \uc57d 1,700\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ubc00\ub9ac\uba70 4\ub9cc5,700\uc120\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub0b4\ub824, \uc5f0\uc911 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uac04 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub2e4\uc6b0\ub294 \uc57d 1.5%, S&P500\uc740 \uc57d 0.9%, \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5\uc740 \uc57d 0.8% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc6b0\ub294 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc885\uac00 \ub300\ube44 8.6%, \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5\uc740 8% \uc774\uc0c1 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n

\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\u00b7\uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uae09\ub4f1<\/h3>\n\ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \ud55c\ub54c \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 120\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uadfc\uc811\ud588\ub2e4. WTI(\ubbf8\uad6d \uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0 \uc6d0\uc720)\uc640 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\ub294 2\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \uc804\uc7c1 \ubc1c\ubc1c \uc774\ud6c4 40% \uc774\uc0c1 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ubca4\ucc98 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c\uacfc \uc170\ub2c8\uc5d0\ub974 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\ub294 \uc8fc\uac04 \uae30\uc900 \ub450 \uc790\ub9bf\uc218 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc720\ub7fd \uac00\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 4\ub144\ub798 \uace0\uc810 \ubd80\uadfc\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n\uc5f0\uc900(Fed\u00b7\ubbf8\uad6d \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589)\uc740 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.50%~3.75%\ub85c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc810\ub3c4\ud45c(\uc5f0\uc900 \uc704\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc774 \ud45c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud558\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd)\ub294 2026\ub144\uc5d0 0.25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8(25bp) \uc778\ud558 1\ud68c\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud588\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58(FedWatch\u00b7\uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0\/\uc778\uc0c1\/\uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ucd94\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 6\uc6d4 \ub3d9\uacb0 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uc57d 89%(\uae30\uc874 63%)\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud588\uace0, \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \ube44\uc911\uc740 \uc57d 12%\uc600\ub2e4.\n\n\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc778\ub371\uc2a4(\uc8fc\uc694 \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\uc218)\ub294 100.50\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uc558\ub2e4\uac00 99.60 \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4. \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 5,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824 4,650\ub2ec\ub7ec \ucabd\uc73c\ub85c \ubc00\ub838\uace0, \uc740 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ud558\ub8e8 \ub9cc\uc5d0 8% \uc774\uc0c1 \uae09\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \ub274\ubaac\ud2b8\ub294 \uc57d 7.5% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uace0, \uc54c\ucf54\uc544\ub294 8% \ub118\uac8c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \ud398\ub371\uc2a4\ub294 \uc8fc\ub2f9\uc21c\uc774\uc775(EPS\u00b7\uc8fc\ub2f9 \uc774\uc775)\uc774 5.25\ub2ec\ub7ec, \ub9e4\ucd9c 240\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud558\uace0 \uc5f0\uac04 \uac00\uc774\ub358\uc2a4(\ud68c\uc0ac \uc2e4\uc801 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58)\ub97c 19.30~20.10\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc0c1\ud5a5\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc57d 9% \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4.\n\n

\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \ud5e4\uc9c0<\/h3>\n\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uacfc \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574\uc758 \uae09\ub77d \uacbd\ud5d8\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud558\uba74, SPY(S&P500\uc744 \ucd94\uc885\ud558\ub294 ETF)\uc640 QQQ(\ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5100\uc744 \ucd94\uc885\ud558\ub294 ETF) \uac19\uc740 \uad11\ubc94\uc704 \uc2dc\uc7a5 ETF\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ubcf4\ud638\uc6a9 \ud48b\uc635\uc158(\uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d \uc2dc \uc190\uc2e4\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc0ac\ub294 \u2018\ud558\ub77d \ub300\ube44 \ubcf4\ud5d8\u2019 \uc131\uaca9\uc758 \uc635\uc158)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. CBOE \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc9c0\uc218(VIX\u00b7S&P500 \uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc73c\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \u2018\uacf5\ud3ec\uc9c0\uc218\u2019, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300\uce58\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc90c)\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc 2\uc8fc \uc0ac\uc774 13\uc5d0\uc11c 18\uc744 \ub118\uc5b4\uc11c\uba70 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ub300 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ubcf4\ub0c8\ub2e4. VIX \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc2dc \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc635\uc158)\uc744 \ub9e4\uc218\ud558\uba74, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud560 \ub54c \ubc29\uc5b4(\ud5e4\uc9c0\u00b7\uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \uac70\ub798)\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n\n\uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c8 \ub54c \uc720\uac00\uac00 \uc624\ub974\uba74\uc11c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uc8fc\ub294 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 95\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ud5a5\ud574 \uc624\ub974\uace0, OPEC+(OPEC\uacfc \ub7ec\uc2dc\uc544 \ub4f1 \ud611\ub825 \uc0b0\uc720\uad6d \uc5f0\ud569)\uac00 \uac10\uc0b0(\uc0dd\uc0b0\ub7c9 \ucd95\uc18c)\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 XLE(\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc139\ud130 ETF) \uac19\uc740 \uc0c1\ud488\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158(\uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc2dc \uc774\uc775\uc774 \ub098\ub294 \uc635\uc158)\uc774 \ub300\uc548\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc775 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4.\n\n\ub610\ud55c \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd \ubcc0\ud654\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 \uadc0\uae08\uc18d\uc5d0 \ud070 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc900\ub2e4. CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 6\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \ud55c \ub2ec \uc804 70%\ub300\uc5d0\uc11c 40% \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ubc18\uc601(\ub9ac\ud504\ub77c\uc774\uc2f1\u00b7\uc0c8 \uc815\ubcf4\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucdb0 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc7ac\uc870\uc815)\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc7ac\uac1c\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \uae08\u00b7\uc740 \ub4f1 \uadc0\uae08\uc18d\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. GLD(\uae08 ETF)\ucc98\ub7fc \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \uc0c1\ud488\uc5d0\ub294 \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ud558\ub77d \ubca0\ud305\uc744 \ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4.\n\n\ud558\ub77d\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uac1c\ubcc4 \uc885\ubaa9\uc740 \uc2e4\uc801\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \uc0dd\uae34\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc801 \uc2dc\uc98c\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc7ac\ubb34 \uccb4\ub825\uc774 \ud0c4\ud0c4\ud55c \uae30\uc5c5\uc758 \uc2e4\uc801 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc804\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uc2a4\ud2b8\ub798\ub4e4(\uac19\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\u00b7\uac19\uc740 \ud589\uc0ac\uac00\uc758 \ucf5c\uc635\uc158\uacfc \ud48b\uc635\uc158\uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc218\ud574, \uc8fc\uac00\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uba74 \ubc29\ud5a5\uacfc \ubb34\uad00\ud558\uac8c \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ub178\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5)\ucc98\ub7fc \ub0b4\uc7ac\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131(\uc635\uc158 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uae30\ub300\uce58)\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uc885\ubaa9\uc5d0\uc11c \uc4f0\ub294 \uc635\uc158 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ub300\uc548\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\n

\n\n

\uc9c0\uae08 \ubc14\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc138\uc694 – VT Markets \uc2e4\uacc4\uc88c\ub97c \uac1c\uc124\ud558\ub824\uba74 \uc5ec\uae30<\/a>\ub97c \ud074\ub9ad\ud558\uc138\uc694 <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc911\ub3d9 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc640 \u2018\ucffc\ub4dc\ub7ec\ud50c \uc704\uce6d\u2019 \ucda9\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubbf8 \uc99d\uc2dc 4\uc8fc \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d. \uc720\uac00\u00b7\uac00\uc2a4 \uae09\ub4f1, Fed \ub3d9\uacb0\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\u00b7\uadc0\uae08\uc18d \uae09\ub77d. ETF \ud48b\u00b7VIX\ucf5c\u00b7\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ucf5c\ub85c \ud5e4\uc9c0 \ubd80\uc0c1.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-42080","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42080","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=42080"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42080\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=42080"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=42080"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/kr-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=42080"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}